2025 NFL Free Agency Odds, Predictions and Rumors

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Despite the Super Bowl being over and done with, March is an exciting time for football fans as the new league year officially begins and NFL teams start to assemble the building blocks for the upcoming season. Not only does this include designating franchise or transition tags on players, it’s also when NFL Free Agency begins.

This year, there are a number of star players entering Free Agency or available via trade. In fact, as we inch closer to the start of the new league year, it seems like more players are becoming available or making demands that could have them shipped out. 

Let’s break down the swirling NFL Free Agency rumors, analyze the latest NFL prop bets, and make some NFL Free Agency predictions on where these stars could end up playing in the 2025-26 NFL season.

What Is NFL Free Agency?

NFL Free Agency refers to a period of time where players with expiring contracts can begin negotiating with other teams. And, if a deal is struck, these players can sign with new teams. 

However, there are a few different types of free agent categories that players fall into:

Unrestricted Free Agents: players with expired contracts that have accrued at least four seasons. They are allowed to sign with any team that they choose.  

Restricted Free Agents: players with expired contracts that have accrued three seasons. Original teams can extend qualifying offers to these players (RFAs). 

However, these players are allowed to negotiate with new teams during Free Agency period. Yet, the original teams have the right to match that contract or receive draft compensation depending on the level of qualifying offer. Deadlines for RFAs are one week prior to the NFL Draft. 

Exclusive Rights Free Agents: players with expired contracts that have accrued seasons or less. Original teams can extend them a qualifying offer, which then means that these players must either accept the deal or sit out the season. 

Undrafted Free Agents: eligible collegiate players that weren’t selected in the NFL Draft. They’re free to sign with any team and usually begin negotiations as soon as the draft ends. 

When Does NFL Free Agency Start?

On Wednesday, March 12, 2025, at 4pm ET, the new league year begins and the NFL Free Agency officially starts. However, prior to this date, the NFL allows a Negotiation Period from March 10^th up until the Free Agency period begins. 

This Negotiation window allows teams to talk about contracts with players that are going to become Unrestricted Free Agents. However, even if both sides agree to terms, a contract cannot be signed until the Free Agency period begins. 

Additionally, when the new league year begins, NFL teams become eligible to make trades after all 2024 contracts have expired. 

NFL Free Agency Odds

Check out the latest NFL Free Agency odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites:

NFL Free Agency Predictions

Check out our NFL free agency predictions for the following players:

Cooper Kupp Next Team (If Not Rams)

• Los Angeles Chargers (+300) 
• Buffalo Bills (+350) 
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+500) 
• Denver Broncos (+600) 
• Cincinnati Bengals (+800) 
• Washington Commanders (+800) 
• New England Patriots (+1200) 
• Green Bay Packers (+1400)
• Dallas Cowboys (+1600) 
• Baltimore Ravens (+1800) 

It’s hard to believe that the Los Angeles Rams are going to part ways with Cooper Kupp. The star wide receiver has been one of the faces of the franchise for the past few years, including during their Super Bowl victory a few seasons ago.

Whispers of Kupp playing his last game in LA started popping up in the Playoffs. Yet, it was actually Kupp who confirmed this with the following tweet:

“I was informed that the team will be seeking a trade immediately and will be working with me and my family to find the right place to continue competing for championships. I don’t agree with the decision and always believed it was going to begin and end in LA.”

These comments apparently upset the Rams organization, most likely because it removes any leverage they might have had prior to the comments. With that said, the rumored asking price for Kupp is a fourth-round pick just like with Keenan Allen last year.

Every Playoff-caliber team should be beating down LA’s doors to get Kupp for that price. Additionally, the Rams are expected to eat some of Kupp’s salary in order to make this deal happen.

For a team like the Chargers, who are the odds-on favorite in this prop bet, it makes little sense to bring in Kupp who pretty much plays the same role as McConkey.

The same can be said about Buffalo. They have Khalil Shakir who does a lot of the same things that Kupp does. The Bills need more of an outside threat, not Kupp. Same with Green Bay and so on.

With that said, I really like the Dallas Cowboys in this prop bet. Dallas is the one team that could use a solid #2 receiver like Kupp. He could definitely help alleviate the double coverage on Lamb, while also providing Dak Prescott with another reliable weapon.

At +1600 odds, Dallas is too good to pass up here.

Bet: Dallas Cowboys (+1600)

Aaron Rodgers Team (If Not Jets)

• Pittsburgh Steelers (-180) 
• Las Vegas Raiders (+110) 
• Los Angeles Rams (+800)
• Tennessee Titans (+1200) 
• Cleveland Browns (+1200)
• New York Giants (+1600)  
• Indianapolis Colts (+1600) 
• New Orleans Saints (+1800) 
• Minnesota Vikings (+1800) 

The Aaron Rodgers soap opera will take over the Free Agency period until he signs somewhere. Rodgers was dumped by the New York Jets after one mediocre year. Sure, it wasn’t all Rodgers fault with the on-field product. However, his salary combined with his personality made it easy for the Jets to move in a different direction.

Rodgers is in the twilight of his career but could still help a Playoff contender. Well, that’s if he can keep his ego in check and that the team has the optimal supporting cast to protect Rodgers and get open for him.

So, that basically rules out the Raiders, Titans, Browns and Giants. All of these teams are a few years away from making the Playoffs. I don’t see the Saints or Vikings saddling their franchises to Rodgers for a year or two.

The Colts need to keep building up Richardson and not prevent his development with the addition of a one-year rental in Rodgers.

There really is only one option for Rodgers, if he wants to play for a contender. And, that’s the Pittsburgh Steelers. Both of last year’s QBs (Wilson and Fields) are free agents.

The front office would have to decide if Rodgers is better than Wilson at this stage of their careers. It would be smart of them to bring back Fields as the backup QB. However, it’s questionable as to whether or not Rodgers is a true upgrade over Wilson.

With that said, I do see Pittsburgh being desperate enough to go down this route and then get a new QB in two seasons. One team to keep an eye on as a sleeper, is the Los Angeles Rams. You can read more about that situation further below, in our Matthew Stafford section.

Bet: Pittsburgh Steelers (-180)

Davante Adams Team (If Not Jets)

• Buffalo Bills (+250) 
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+400) 
• Los Angeles Chargers (+500) 
• Washington Commanders (+600) 
• San Francisco 49ers (+700) 
• Green Bay Packers (+900) 
• Denver Broncos (+1000) 
• Los Angeles Rams (+1000) 
• New England Patriots (+1200) 
• Dallas Cowboys (+1400)

With the Jets announcing that they won’t bring Rodgers back, it’s widely assumed that New York will do the same thing with Davante Adams. The talented receiver came to New York via trade last season after demanding to be shipped out of Las Vegas. He grew tired of the team’s futility.

The Jets will be in a similar position as the Raiders were, by going through a rebuilding year. And, the only way the team would keep Adams is if he took a pay cut. There’s absolutely no reason for Adams to take a pay cut to stay on a losing team.

The Jets have no leverage here, and I’m sure that Adams would make any trade attempt a difficult one unless it was to a Playoff team that he approves of. And, no team would give what the Jets are asking because they could just wait until the team cuts him.

I would imagine that most Playoff teams in need of a receiver, would be lining up to sign Adams once he’s free and clear. That’s why you see the Bills and Steelers as the favorites.

If Rodgers ends up a Steeler, would Adams follow him there? Buffalo was interested in Adams before, and I see the Bills showing interest again. However, the money would have to make sense.

I think the best option for Adams would be the Green Bay Packers. He could return to a team and franchise that would welcome him with open arms. Keep in mind, running back Josh Jacobs said what everyone is thinking – the Packers need a #1 receiver.

They have plenty of talent to support franchise QB Jordan Love, but they don’t have that #1. Adams still has a season or two left as being a #1 receiver and it could be a sweet reunion for both sides if he goes back there.

I would also keep an eye on where Rodgers ends up. I wouldn’t rule out the Steelers as a landing spot for Adams if Rodgers signs there.

Bet: Green Bay Packers (+900)

Myles Garrett Next Team (If Not Browns)

• Dallas Cowboys (+300) 
• Washington Commanders (+500) 
• Kansas City Chiefs (+600)
• San Francisco 49ers (+800)  
• Las Vegas Raiders (+900) 
• Philadelphia Eagles (+900) 
• Buffalo Bills (+1000) 
• Green Bay Packers (+1200) 
• Detroit Lions (+1400) 

A few weeks ago, one of the league’s premier defensive players finally made a trade demand to get out of Cleveland. Although Myles Garrett loves and appreciates Cleveland, he wants to win and the Browns organization is not going to make that happen anytime in the near future.

Garrett made the following comments about his trade demands:

“While I’ve loved calling this city my home, my desire to win and compete on the biggest stages won’t allow me to be complacent. The goal was never to go from Cleveland to Canton, it has always been to compete for and win a Super Bowl. With that in mind, I have requested to be traded from the Cleveland Browns.”

So, what will teams have to give up for a future HOF defensive lineman still in his prime?

For starters, they will have to give up at least two high draft picks, most likely two firsts or a first and a second. Additionally, the team pursuing the trade would need to extend Garrett who has two years, $40 mil left on his deal.

Without going into detail about every betting option for the Myles Garrett sweepstakes, let’s just focus on the most likely teams to land the defensive end: Washington Commanders (+500) and Buffalo Bills (+1000).

The Commanders came out of nowhere last season. They were supposed to be a rebuilding team but shot all the way up to the NFC Championship game where the fell to the Eagles. However, this team has proven that they have a strong foundation to be a contender this year as well.

Washington is the second odds-on favorite to land Garrett, just behind the Cowboys. There’s no way that Dallas can afford both Garrett and Parsons. So, let’s just kill that pipe dream now.

The Commanders could use an upgrade at defensive end and have nearly $80 million in salary cap space for 2025. So, they certainly have the money to afford a new deal for Garrett.

The Buffalo Bills need a defensive end more than any other position. In fact, this is something they have been trying to acquire since signing Von Miller to a massive deal a few seasons ago. The Miller experiment didn’t work out and he’s most likely getting cut this offseason.

The Bills have moves they can make to free up more cash. It will be a game of musical chairs, but Brandon Beane is a maestro at this. Additionally, Buffalo has a first and two second round picks in the 2025 NFL Draft.

Buffalo is one team that could win the Super Bowl by trading for Garrett. They know it, Garrett knows it, and the rest of the league knows it.

Bet: Buffalo Bills (+1000)

Sam Darnold Team (If Not Vikings)

• Las Vegas Raiders (+200) 
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+250) 
• Minnesota Vikings (+350)
• New York Jets (+600) 
• New York Giants (+800) 
• Tennessee Titans (+1400) 

What a remarkable season Sam Darnold had for the Minnesota Vikings in 2024-25. He led the Vikings to a 14-3 record, broke records, and earned his first Pro Bowl appearance. However, the former New York and San Francisco quarterback is now a free agent and the Vikings have some big decisions to make.

Publicly, Minnesota head coach Kevin O’Connell was non-committal on the QB situation:

“I think a lot goes into it. We haven’t made that decision yet. I talked to really all three, you know, both JJ [McCarthy], and J.J.’s here every day, but I talked to Sam [Darnold] yesterday for a long time, talked to Daniel Jones for a long time. I just want those guys to know that there’s an element in this where our relationship matters.”

The Vikings drafted JJ McCarthy in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft. Unfortunately, the rookie missed the entire regular season due to a knee injury. But he did flash potential in the preseason. Minnesota also swooped up Daniel Jones after the New York Giants cut him last December.

So, it makes little sense to keep Darnold when you have those two QBs on the roster. Yet, it makes even less sense to let Darnold go for nothing.

Viking’s receiver Justin Jefferson is lobbying for Darnold to return:

“Having 14 wins in this league is not easy. To bring us to a playoff game to win 14 games and only lose three, that’s something difficult to do. I wouldn’t mind having him back in the building. Of course, I feel like J.J. is going to have his opportunity and his chance, but I would love to have Sam back and see if he can do it again.”

I think all of Minnesota would love to see Darnold run it back. Yet, even if he returns to the Vikings, it won’t be for more than two years. Additionally, he already has a replacement waiting for a slip up or injury to occur. Plus, Minnesota won’t be able to pay Darnold what other teams would.

What Darnold did last year should parlay into a big payday for him this offseason. And, the one team that could really benefit from Minnesota’s blunder is the Las Vegas Raiders.

Here’s a team in a full rebuild with new faces from ownership down to the coaching staff. They do have a high draft pick this year, but it’s no guarantee that they can get one of the top collegiate quarterbacks.

What is a guarantee is that Darnold could improve this team. And, for an offense that was one of the worst in the NFL last year, the Raiders desperately need an upgrade at QB.

I see Darnold cashing in on his success from last year since Minnesota is unable or unwilling to give him the contract he’s looking for. And, the Raiders are the one team that would shell out a ton of money to a QB that had one good year.

Bet: Las Vegas Raiders (+200)

Harold Landry III Next Team (If Not Titans)

• Washington Commanders (+500)
• Philadelphia Eagles (+500)
• Atlanta Falcons (+600)
• Dallas Cowboys (+900)
• Seattle Seahawks (+1000)
• Kansas City Chiefs (+1000)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1200)
• Los Angeles Chargers (+1200)

The Tennessee Titans could move on from Harold Landry III, opening the door for several teams in need of an edge rusher. Tennessee currently holds the No. 1 pick in April’s NFL Draft, but they could look to add to their war chest of picks by moving the 28-year-old former Pro Bowler.

Landry has been with the Titans since he was drafted in the 2nd round back in 2018. He’s been remarkably durable, as he’s played in at least 15 games in every season of his career. The Boston College product has racked up 50.5 sacks across his 6 years in the NFL, with no fewer than 9 in any of the last 3 campaigns.

The Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles are co-favorites to land Landry via trade at +500, as both clubs are seeking defensive reinforcements. Atlanta, with its cap space, could also be a strong contender. Given the need for pass-rushing in Washington, look for the Commanders to make a push. The team is eager to build off of last year’s NFC Championship Game appearance, and adding a proven presence like Landry to the D-line could help them take the next step.

Bet: Washington Commanders (+500)

Jaire Alexander Next Team (If Not Packers)

• Buffalo Bills (+600)
• Washington Commanders (+700)
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+800)
• Philadelphia Eagles (+900)
• New England Patriots (+900)
• New York Giants (+1000)
• Dallas Cowboys (+1000)
• Cincinnati Bengals (+1200)

Jaire Alexander is one of the league’s top cornerbacks, and if the Green Bay Packers move on, multiple suitors will emerge. Alexander has been one of the league’s best defensive backs when healthy, but staying healthy has proven to be a difficult ask. After playing in 16 games back in 2022, Alexander has totaled just 14 games in the 2 seasons since.

Green Bay is almost surely testing the trade market for Alexander’s services. He’s still only 28 years old, but his durability concerns may keep other teams from parting ways with the assets the Packers may be seeking in a trade. As a result, rumors have emerged suggesting the Packers may even release Alexander outright, which would make him an unrestricted free agent immediately. The Packers also need to clear some cap space, and cutting Jaire would be one way to do it.

The Buffalo Bills (+600) and Washington Commanders (+700) are the early favorites to land Alexander if he does become available, but I have my eye on the Pittsburgh Steelers at +800. Pittsburgh is looking for a playmaker to start next to young standout Joey Porter Jr., and Alexander’s age means he fits the Steelers’ win-now timeline.

A dark-horse (Philadelphia?) could certainly emerge, but I like the value on the Steelers at +800. Where there’s smoke, there’s usually fire.

Bet: Pittsburgh Steelers (+800)

Jonathan Allen Next Team (If Not Commanders)

• Detroit Lions (+700)
• Chicago Bears (+800)
• Green Bay Packers (+800)
• San Francisco 49ers (+1000)
• Arizona Cardinals (+1000)
• Los Angeles Chargers (+1200)
• New England Patriots (+1400)
• Jacksonville Jaguars (+1600)

Jonathan Allen has been a stalwart for the Washington Commanders, but trade rumors are starting to swirl. The star defensive tackle is reportedly seeking a trade, and the Commanders should find no shortage of suitors if they do, indeed, put Allen on the market. Allen is Washington’s longest-tenured player, as he’s spent the first 8 seasons of his career in the nation’s capital.

The Detroit Lions (+700) are the early favorite, which should come as no surprise. Detroit’s defense was ravaged by injuries last season, and those injuries ultimately derailed the Lions’ quest for their first-ever Super Bowl appearance. We can expect the Lions to be aggressive in seeking upgrades on both sides of the football, and a veteran presence like Allen would be an ideal fit in the heart of the defensive line.

Detroit’s NFC North rivals – the Chicago Bears – are also in the running at +800. In Chicago, Allen would be reunited with former Washington teammate Montez Sweat, who was traded to the Bears in the middle of the 2023 season. The duo formed a terrific partnership in Washington just a few years ago, and we’ve already seen the Bears swing a couple of trades since the offseason got underway.

If you’re looking for a long shot with some potential upside, the Arizona Cardinals stand out at +1000. The 30-year-old likely wouldn’t cost the Cardinals much via trade, and Arizona is a team that could use an infusion of experience talent on the defensive side of the football.

The Lions and Bears both have significant needs along the defensive front and could make strong offers, but I like Arizona here given the +1000 odds.

Bet: Arizona Cardinals (+1000)

Stefon Diggs Next Team (If Not Texans)

• New England Patriots (+300)
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+350)
• Dallas Cowboys (+400)
• Los Angeles Chargers (+600)
• Baltimore Ravens (+800)
• Las Vegas Raiders (+1000)
• Green Bay Packers (+1000)
• Kansas City Chiefs (+1200)

Stefon Diggs has only been a member of the Houston Texans for a year, but we’re already starting to hear murmurs that he could go one-and-done in H-Town. Diggs’ 2024 season got off to a promising start before it was derailed when he suffered a torn ACL at the end of October.

The former Buffalo Bills star was supposed to help turn the Texans’ offense into a juggernaut, and he was still productive before going down with the injury. Diggs caught 47 passes for 496 yards and 3 touchdowns through his 8 games in a Texans uniform, but Houston is reportedly planning to let the veteran test the free-agent market this summer.

Diggs is now 31 years old. Coming off of a serious knee injury, he’s highly unlikely to earn a huge payday on the open market. Still, he should have little issue finding a team in need of his services. A reunion with the Texans is a distinct possibility, but Houston could also go in another direction with the likes of Davante Adams, Chris Godwin, and Amari Cooper among the receivers also available in free agency.

Of the prospective suitors listed above, the Dallas Cowboys (+400) make a lot of sense. Dallas is coming off of a nightmare of a season, and the team just cleared an extra $20 million in cap space by restructuring CeeDee Lamb’s contract. Diggs obviously won’t command that much salary, but the Cowboys are desperately in need of some playmakers on offense. Brandin Cooks is another receiver likely past his prime, while Jalen Tolbert, Jonathan Mingo, and KeVontae Turpin don’t provide much depth.

In Dallas, Diggs could also be reunited with his brother Trevon…assuming Trevon doesn’t find his way to greener pastures this summer, as well. More on that in a moment.

Bet: Dallas Cowboys (+400)

Bet: Minnesota Vikings (+1000)

Rob Gronkowski Next Team If He Makes a Comeback in 2025/26 NFL Season

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+200)
• New England Patriots (+300)
• Buffalo Bills (+400)
• Kansas City Chiefs (+600)
• Las Vegas Raiders (+1000)
• New York Giants (+1200)
• Dallas Cowboys (+1400)
• Miami Dolphins (+1600)

While Rob Gronkowski has insisted he’s fully retired, speculation always arises about a potential return. Gronkowski has already retired and made a comeback once before, and we’ve seen rumors pop up once again about a potential return to the NFL. Gronk is still only 35, but a return at this point still seems rather unlikely.

Gronk recently said himself that he has “no football” in his plans.

If he does make a comeback, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers remain the favorites at +200 given his history with the team. A reunion with the New England Patriots (+300) could always be in the cards, but that seems less likely now that Bill Belichick has moved on. I’d bet on the Bucs (+200) before betting on anyone else here, but I don’t think a Gronk comeback is in the cards.

Bet: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+200)

Jameis Winston Next Team (If Not Browns)

• New York Jets (+200)
• New York Giants (+400)
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+600)
• Las Vegas Raiders (+800)
• Indianapolis Colts (+1000)
• Carolina Panthers (+1200)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1400)
• Chicago Bears (+1600)

Jameis Winston has shown flashes of brilliance but has struggled with consistency over the course of his up-and-down NFL career. We saw more of the same from Jameis last season after he took over for the injured Deshaun Watson with the Cleveland Browns. Winston threw for over 2,100 yards in 12 appearances with 13 touchdowns and 12 interceptions.

A reunion with the Browns is possible, especially considering Watson’s status for next season is very much in doubt after he re-aggravated the Achilles injury that sidelined him last season. However, Cleveland seems likely to move on, and there’s a chance they’ll draft Watson’s ultimate replacement. That’ll leave Jameis to find yet another team.

He may not be a full-time starter, but Winston would be one of the league’s best backups wherever he lands. The New York Jets (+200) check in as the early favorite following their public divorce from Aaron Rodgers. The New York Giants (+400) aren’t far behind, while the Pittsburgh Steelers (+600), Las Vegas Raiders (+800), and Indianapolis Colts (+1000) loom as potential destinations.

The Colts look like the best value bet of the bunch. Indianapolis needs a reliable backup for the oft-injured/inconsistent Anthony Richardson, and Joe Flacco showed last season that his best days are in the rearview mirror. Winston would at least give the Colts a viable signal-caller in the event Richardson goes down with yet another injury next season.

Bet: Indianapolis Colts (+1000)

Darius Slay Jr Next Team

• Detroit Lions (+600)
• New York Giants (+700)
• Chicago Bears (+800)
• Buffalo Bills (+900)
• Indianapolis Colts (+1000)
• Dallas Cowboys (+1200)
• Washington Commanders (+1400)
• Carolina Panthers (+1600)

Darius Slay Jr. is fresh off of helping the Philadelphia Eagles win their 2nd Super Bowl title, but the team released the veteran earlier this week. Slay is now 34, and the Eagles made the call to part ways before he entered the final year of his contract.

If Slay wants to keep playing, a reunion with the Detroit Lions (+600) looks like the most likely outcome. The 6-time Pro Bowler spent the first 7 years of his decorated career in the Motor City, and we know Detroit needs reinforcements on defense. Slay won’t command a hefty contract at this advanced stage of his career, so that’s a logical landing spot.

Slay presumably wants a chance to win another Super Bowl, so landing with teams like the Giants, Bears, Colts, and Panthers seems rather unlikely. I like the value on him to return to the Lions this offseason at +600.

Bet: Detroit Lions (+600)

Sauce Gardner Next Team

• New England Patriots (+500)
• New York Giants (+700)
• Philadelphia Eagles (+800)
• Minnesota Vikings (+900)
• Detroit Lions (+1000)
• Dallas Cowboys (+1200)
• Indianapolis Colts (+1400)
• Washington Commanders (+1600)

The New York Jets’ 2024 season was a disaster, but they’re still hoping they can turn things around in 2025. Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams are goners, but New York is reportedly willing to lock up a couple of their young stars to contract extensions.

The Jets have said both Sauce Gardner and Garrett Wilson could sign new deals this offseason to keep them in town for the foreseeable future. Gardner is set to enter his 4th NFL season, and he’s been one of the league’s better cover corners since the team drafted him out of Cincinnati in 2022.

He’d have a lot of value on the trade market, but Gardner is more likely to remain with the Jets than move on. I’ll pass on betting on Gardner’s next team.

Bet: No Bet

Garrett Wilson Next Team (If Not Jets)

• Denver Broncos (+500)
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+600)
• Indianapolis Colts (+700)
• Los Angeles Rams (+900)
• Las Vegas Raiders (+1000)
• Los Angeles Chargers (+1200)
• Dallas Cowboys (+1400)
• Detroit Lions (+1600)

As mentioned, it sounds like Gardner and Garrett Wilson are both likely to put pen to paper on extensions with the Jets. New York doesn’t want to start another rebuilding phase, and they’d be completely bereft of playmakers in the passing game if they moved on from both Wilson and Davante Adams.

Adams is gone, but Wilson will stay.

Bet: No Bet

Brock Purdy Next Team

• Cleveland Browns (+500)
• Detroit Lions (+700)
• San Francisco 49ers (+900)
• New York Giants (+1000)
• Tennessee Titans (+1200)
• Indianapolis Colts (+1400)
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+1600)
• Seattle Seahawks (+1800)

Brock Purdy has been a divisive figure in San Francisco over the past couple of seasons. On one hand, the Niners clearly got a steal when they nabbed Purdy with the final pick in the 2022 draft. Purdy has since gone on to enjoy 2.5 terrific seasons as the 49ers’ starting signal-caller, including a Super Bowl appearance in 2024.

Critics say Purdy’s statistical success is a product of playing in a stacked offense featuring stars like Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, and Deebo Samuel. The criticisms aren’t unfair, but the 49ers are reportedly unfazed. San Francisco has reportedly opened contract extension negotiations with Purdy, with their first offer coming in around $45 million a year for his services.

As a result, Purdy staying in the Bay Area looks like the most likely outcome here.

Bet: No Bet

Kyler Murray Next Team (If Not Cardinals)

• New York Giants (+700)
• Indianapolis Colts (+900)
• Tennessee Titans (+1000)
• Miami Dolphins (+1200)
• New Orleans Saints (+1400)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1600)
• Minnesota Vikings (+1800)
• Las Vegas Raiders (+2000)

Kyler Murray has battled some injuries in his career, but he was finally healthy last season. He ultimately wasn’t able to lead the Arizona Cardinals to a playoff berth, but this does appear to be a team on the rise. With playmakers like Trey McBride and Marvin Harrison Jr. in the mix, Arizona will hope to make some noise in the NFC West next season.

The jury is still out on whether Murray is good enough to lead a team to a Super Bowl, but I can’t imagine the Cardinals are ready to move on just yet. The former Heisman Trophy winner is still only 27 years old, and it’s not like Arizona would have an easy time finding a replacement or upgrade at the QB position.

Kyler’s not going anywhere.

Bet: No Bet

Denzel Ward Next Team

• Arizona Cardinals (+700)
• New England Patriots (+800)
• Minnesota Vikings (+900)
• Green Bay Packers (+1000)
• Dallas Cowboys (+1100)
• Jacksonville Jaguars (+1200)
• Indianapolis Colts (+1400)
• Seattle Seahawks (+1500)

Myles Garrett and Jameis Winston aren’t the only Browns players who could be on the move this offseason. Cleveland is a team going nowhere fast, and their ability to upgrade the roster is tied thanks to Deshaun Watson’s lucrative contract. As a result, the Browns could trade some of their other established veterans as a way to free up cap space while also adding potential draft capital.

Denzel Ward is another name who could be available this summer. Ward has been a shutdown corner for his entire career, and he’s still only 27. He’d instantly become the top corner available on the market, especially given his durability. The former No. 4 overall pick has played in at least 12 games in every season of his career, including 16 last season.

The New England Patriots (+800) make a lot of sense. New England is looking to bounce back following a few lean years, and they could use an injection of experience in the secondary, in particular. The Pats have more than enough in terms of draft considerations to tempt the Browns via trade, so this is a logical match.

Bet: New England Patriots (+800)

Completed NFL Free Agency Prop Bets

The following is a look at our past analysis for NFL Free Agency prop bets that have been decided already.

Matthew Stafford Next Team

• Stays at Los Angeles Rams (-200) 
• Las Vegas Raiders (+300) 
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+500) 
• Minnessota Vikings (+700) 
• New York Jets (+600) 
• New Orleans Saints (+1100) 
• San Francisco 49ers (+1200) 
• Cleveland Browns (+1400)

The Los Angeles Rams are at the center of numerous rumors that have LA fans in an uproar and other teams chomping at the bit.

We already discussed Cooper Kupp above and all of the issues stemming around the team wanting to trade the 30+ receiver. Well, things are buzzing around Matthew Stafford as well. Apparently, the Rams are growing tired of aspects surrounding Stafford. Additionally, they don’t want to pay him the money he’s asking for or the market dictates.

Apparently, the Rams are asking for a haul when it comes to trading Stafford. Colin Cowherd detailed what the Rams are demanding the New York Giants send back in a Stafford trade:

“What the Rams want, I am told, they want the Giants’ first-round pick at No. 3. So they probably want a first, a second, a first, a third, but you’ve got to pay Stafford if you’re the Giants. You have to give him a new deal. They’ll probably get a first and a fourth, but let’s just talk about that No. 3 pick. The Rams want that No. 3 pick in the draft because they’re drafting way later. They want to take that pick, move down, and get more picks.”

Trading Stafford goes beyond just acquiring picks and getting out from his contract. The Rams don’t want to commit to more money. Additionally, they feel like Aaron Rodgers would be cheaper and a bridge to their future QB.

That future QB is expected to come from the 2026 NFL Draft as most pundits believe that will be a stronger QB class than this year’s crop. And, they’re 100% correct.

So, basically, the Rams want to trade Stafford, free up cap space, acquire draft picks, trade said picks to move down and acquire more picks in 2026 for that desired quarterback, and sign Aaron Rodgers via free agency.

That’s far too many moving pieces to make a Stafford deal work. Why would the Giants trade all of those picks for Stafford when they can sign someone like Wilson or Rodgers for less money and keep all of their draft picks. New York has the no. 3 pick in the draft. They can get a franchise player or draft one of the two top QBs instead.

Los Angeles made this bed; they will have to lay in it. I’m picking Stafford to stick with the Rams on a team-friendly deal. However, if they somehow pull off this deal that Cowherd outlined above, then you have to give this team a ton of credit. Almost as much credit as everyone gave them when they traded for Stafford in the first place.

Bet: Stays at Los Angeles Rams (-200)

Tee Higgins Next Team (If Not Bengals)

• Denver Broncos (+400) 
• Washington Commanders (+500) 
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+600) 
• Los Angeles Chargers (+600) 
• New England Patriots (+700) 
• Green Bay Packers (+700) 
• Tennessee Titans (+900) 
• Buffalo Bills (+1000) 
• San Francisco 49ers (+1400) 
• Dallas Cowboys (+1800)

The Cincinnati Bengals are in trouble this offseason. With $50 mil in cap space, they must find a way to sign Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Trey Hendrickson and Mike Gesicki. There’s no way they can make this happen. And, would they really franchise Higgins just to keep him?

Cincy has some young receivers behind Chase and Higgins that could fill some of the void if the latter leaves. Chase is the top priority in this group. And, then Cincy should prioritize Hendrickson. They need even more help on defense, so there’s no way they should risk losing their top defensive player.

Anyone of these teams listed as a betting option could use Higgins. With that said, we touched on the Washington Commanders in the Garrett prop bet above. I really like them as Higgins landing spot.

With $80 million in salary cap, and a need to put as many weapons around franchise QB Jayden Daniels, adding Higgins is an absolute no-brainer. The Commanders could outbid the competition in any free agent bidding war.

Additionally, they could also throw a first and third for Higgins if the Bengals try to franchise and trade the talented receiver. There are plenty of options for Washington to land Higgins. One thing is for sure, adding more talent on offense is top priority for this team.

Bet: Washington Commanders (+500)

Deebo Samuel Next Team (If Not 49ers)

• Washington Commanders (+300) 
• Los Angeles Chargers (+400) 
• Carolina Panthers (+500) 
• Denver Broncos (+600) 
• New England Patriots (+700) 
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+800) 
• Las Vegas Raiders (+1000) 
• Los Angeles Rams (+1200) 

It looks like Deebo Samuel’s time in San Francisco has come to an end. Not only have they given Samuel permission to seek potential trade partners, reports have come out saying that the 49ers might end up cutting the talented receiver if they can’t trade him:

“I don’t anticipate that the 49ers will get a lot for Samuel because he is also going to have to need to be extended. And it’s pretty clear that the 49ers will likely have to cut him if they don’t trade him, so they really don’t hold much leverage here.”

Samuel is 29-years-old, and will want a new contract or to have the current one extended by any new team. However, when given enough touches, Samuel is still a game-changing talent that could help any Super Bowl contender.

At this point, the 49ers would take pretty much whatever reasonable offer they could get. So, don’t let their public posturing fool you here. The relationship between Samuel and the team is damaged to the point where a divorce is the only choice.

If Samuel has any leverage in decide where he wants to go, then I don’t see any scenario where he would talk to the Carolina Panthers, New England Patriots or Las Vegas Raiders. These teams are all at the bottom of the barrel and Samuel will most likely want to be on a contending team.

I don’t see the 49ers trading Samuel within the NFC West, so you can cross the Los Angeles Rams off the list. Additionally, I don’t see a scenario where the 49ers agree to trading a weapon to the Washington Commanders, especially considering that San Francisco will be challenging the Commanders for the NFC Championship.

The most realistic options are the Los Angeles Chargers, Denver Broncos and Pittsburgh Steelers. All three of these teams could use a player like Samuel on the offensive side of the ball. Of these three teams, I like the Steelers to make the most compelling offer to land Samuel.

Pittsburgh is void of offensive talent outside of George Pickens. They desperately need another talented receiver. The same could be said about the Chargers, but they seem to be building through the draft along with the Broncos.

The Steelers are a franchise that wants to get back to challenging for Super Bowls, not just making the Playoffs, which were moral victories for Denver and Los Angeles. I also think Pitt’s +800 odds offers plenty of betting value.

Samuel’s style of physical football is the perfect fit for the Steelers’ brand.

Bet: Pittsburgh Steelers (+800)