2024-25 NFL Most Receptions Odds and Predictions

Tyreek Hill was so good last year that he was just voted the #1 player in the NFL’s Top 100 player poll. He also paced the entire league in receiving yardage, which is a big reason for that nod.

Hill is the favorite to lead the NFL in receiving yardage again in 2024, and logic would suggest he’ll be a legit threat to rack up the most catches, too.

He’s not the favorite, but he finished second in receptions last year (119) despite missing a game. Naturally, he’ll again be a strong candidate to make a push for the league crown.

The NFL odds to back Hill for this prop bet are actually pretty great. However, he’s not the top guy in terms of odds, and he is facing a ton of competition.

Looking to bet on the 2024 NFL reception leader? I’ve got your back, as I’ll go over the latest 2024-25 NFL most receptions odds and come to a prediction.

2024-25 NFL Receptions Odds

Tyreek Hill has been popping on social media lately, but it’s worth noting he suggested not too long ago that chasing individual stats is selfish.

Whether or not you think that’s hyperbole and he aims for records in his age-30 season is up to you. Before you place any bets, though, look over the latest odds to lead the NFL in catches in 2024.

The following pricing can be found at bet365, but you should be able to locate this wager at numerous sports betting sites.

CeeDee Lamb leads the way with the best odds to catch the most passes in the NFL this year, and that makes sense. 

He led the league with 135 catches on 181 targets in 2023, and nothing has changed with his talent or role going into 2024.

It’s not easy to repeat as a stat leader in the NFL, of course, and in a 17-game season with a ton of balls being thrown around, there is increased competition for the receptions crown.

Due to that, I wouldn’t settle for Lamb right away. He’s still in play – and more on that in a second – but the value for numerous other worthwhile alternatives is staggering.

In general, though, you should definitely be looking at some specific criteria as far as what a legit candidate for the NFL reception crown should have.

Here’s what I’d be looking at before I bet on someone:

• Elite individual talent
• Past top level production
• Huge target workload
• Past contention for catch lead
• Quality QB play
• Strong offense that throws a lot

You can and should have interest in some options that don’t check every single box, but the more criteria that aligns with your prospective bets, the better.

It’s worth noting CeeDee Lamb passes the eye test with flying colors, so he definitely makes sense as the favorite, and is a great place to start the conversation.

Let’s look at why CeeDee could be a good bet to repeat, and then also break down his biggest threats.

Why is CeeDee Lamb Favored to Have the Most Catches in 2024?

Put simply, it’s because he had the most receptions in the NFL a year ago. It’s funny to think back to when Richard Sherman said this dude wasn’t an elite wide receiver, but here he is, pacing the league in catches.

Lamb quited his critics in a hurry last year, as he command more targets than anyone else and recorded his second straight season with more than 100+ grabs.

The only negative when looking at Lamb’s ability to repeat as the NFL receptions leader is his lingering contract situation.

It’s logical to assume the Dallas Cowboys get that hammered out in the not too distant future, though, which would keep Lamb among the catches leaders.

Working in his favor is the lack of a true #2 target in the Cowboys offense, as well as their natural tendency to throw the ball a lot. Dak Prescott was top five in the NFL in passing attempts last year, and that isn’t something that is likely to change.

One huge reason why? Dallas doesn’t have a reliable rushing attack. After letting Tony Pollard walk in free agency, they brought back the corpse of Ezekiel Elliott and are putting their trust in JAGs like Royce Freeman and Rico Dowdle.

In other words, Lamb is a target hound that is about to get paid and he resides in a pass-heavy offense that will feature him at will.

Top Contenders to Catch the Most Passes in 2024

Lamb is a fine bet to repeat as the NFL catch king, but he’s still not a lock. There’s more value to be had by going a different route, too.

I like a lot of wide receivers to contend for this betting market, but the following four stand out the most.

Amon-Ra St. Brown +800

St. Brown has proven to be a durable and consistent receiving threat. He upped his level of play last year, of course, notching career highs across the board – namely with 119 catches.

While that alone is impressive, he reportedly did this despite suffering a major injury.

St. Brown is clearly one tough dude, and he’s also been remarkably efficient. Despite garnering the fifth most targets in the NFL, he managed to tie for the second most receptions.

His one knock? The Detroit Lions like to run the football and he could have an emerging threat in Jameson Williams ready to siphon some of his targets.

If his role stays the same, St. Brown has the skill-set, target share, and drive to give this milestone a serious go. One thing is for sure, based on his demeanor and talent level, betting against him never feels like a great idea.

He’s not my favorite bet given his odds (and so many other viable options), but there’s no denying he is one of the top threats in 2024.

Ja’Marr Chase +1000

I’d feel a lot better about someone like Chase, who is naturally a more physically gifted player than St. Brown, and historically has a more explosive role.

It’s difficult to buy into Chase based solely on what he did last year, seeing as Joe Burrow only played 11 games. Chase still found a way to produce, though, as he finished 12th in catches with 100.

Last year was his first season with 100+ catches, so perhaps it was a sign of things to come. The fact that he made that happen despite playing with Jake Browning for a decent chunk of the year says everything you need to know about his ability to produce.

Chase is as explosive as anyone, and his 2023 numbers gave us a sneak peak of his upside. It is also worth noting that fellow Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins is unhappy.

If things hit the fan and Higgins sits out or gets traded, Chase could be in for an insane workload. He doesn’t need that to happen to be in play for this betting market, but it couldn’t hurt.

Justin Jefferson +1000

An even better bet than Chase or St. Brown might be Jefferson. He was my pick to lead the NFL in receiving yards in 2024, and it has everything to do with his massive role.

This is a dude who managed to average over 100 yards per game without Kirk Cousins last year. With Cousins, he was an unstoppable force, and we know he can pace the league in catches after he did just that (128 receptions) in 2022.

Minnesota might not even be in bad hands under center, either. Sam Darnold could win the starting gig, but rookie J.J. McCarthy has actually looked pretty good as well.

Jefferson found a way to dominate with the likes of Joshua Dobbs and Nick Mullens tossing him ducks, so I doubt he’d have much trouble demanding targets with Darnold or McCarthy.

Nobody said it has to be efficient or lead to wins, either. The Minnesota Vikings project to be worse this year than they were in 2023, and they could be forced to throw a ton. The math checks out here, with Jettas being forced to take on as much as he can handle.

Tyreek Hill +1000

I can’t write about potential NFL receptions leaders without giving a shout to Tyreek Hill. Not only did he rack up the most receiving yardage last year, but he tied for the most touchdown catches (13) and also tied for the second most catches.

That dominant statistical effort led to him earning the top spot in the NFL Top 100 polling.

You can argue all day whether or not it was actually deserved, but for the sake of this discussion, it puts a bow on his upside as a stat stuffer.

Hill even did all of that despite missing a game and not being fully 100% at times, too. In theory, if he can stay at full strength and play all 17 games, he’d be very much in the race to lead the NFL in receptions.

The Miami Dolphins love to utilize Hill’s speed down the field, but he’s always been a guy that garners a lot of targets. Considering they like throwing the ball, he remains a viable bet for 2024.

Best 2024 NFL Reception Leader Value Bet

As if Lamb and four additional contenders weren’t enough to get you started, there are actually several value bets that have a shot at glory this year.

Two that stand out right away are Garrett Wilson (+2000) and Davante Adams (+2800). Adams was tied for 10th in the NFL with 103 catches last year, and finished second in receptions back in 2021.

We know Adams can get open as well as anyone, and the Las Vegas Raiders could be forced to air it out a lot as they play from behind in 2024.

There’s also Garrett Wilson, who is more explosive than Adams, but gets to team up with the Raiders star’s old quarterback in Aaron Rodgers. A-Rod loves to feed his top target, so it isn’t crazy to imagine Wilson racking up the most catches of his career.

Of course, no value bet feels as good as Los Angeles Rams star wide receiver, Cooper Kupp. He was already a fun value bet, but news that Puka Nacua left practice with a knee issue only gives him a boost.

Kupp has battled his own injury demons throughout his career, but the last time he was at full strength he hauled in an insane 145 catches on 191 targets.

Nacua’s long-term presence might lower Kupp’s ceiling, but he could very easily return to his glory days role. If that happens, Kupp is an absolute smash bet at his current +4000 betting odds.

Who Will Lead the NFL in Receptions in 2024-25?

I won’t fault you for giving into the CeeDee Lamb hype. He had the most catches last year, he is a total stud, and nothing about his situation says he can’t do it again.

However, everything needs to go right to lead the league and dominate like that. Plus, nine guys had more than 100 catches last year, so there is a ton of competition to fend off.

The price is fine, but I prefer to seek out more value. I don’t know if I trust Kupp enough to go at him hard, but if you want a high upside pick that legitimately has a shot at hitting, he’s a great try.

Of course, I want a high upside bet that offers value, is fairly stable, and logically checks out as a strong play. To me, that is Justin Jefferson.

Last year’s top receiving yardage producer did not have the most catches, but that was the case in each of the previous four seasons.

I have Jettas leading the league in receiving yards, so I naturally love him to also get the most catches. All of the receivers vetted in this guide are in play, but at +1000 odds to have the most receptions, I think he’s the best bet.

Bet: Justin Jefferson +1000