2024 NFL Week 15 Odds and Predictions

By:

Rick Rockwell

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The 2024 NFL season is flying by. With Week 15 already upon us, playoff races are heating up as teams jockey for position in their divisions and the Wild Card races in both conferences.

This week’s slate offers several exciting matchups, including divisional showdowns, potential playoff previews, and plenty of betting opportunities. Let’s break it all down with odds, analysis, and predictions for every game.

NFL Week 15 Schedule

DateTime (ET)Road TeamHome Team
Thursday, Dec. 128:15 PMLos Angeles Rams (+114)San Francisco 49ers (-135)
Sunday, Dec. 151:00 PMBaltimore Ravens (-1000)New York Giants (+650)
Sunday, Dec. 151:00 PMWashington Commanders (-310)New Orleans Saints (+250)
Sunday, Dec. 151:00 PMKansas City Chiefs (-205)Cleveland Browns (+170)
Sunday, Dec. 151:00 PMMiami Dolphins (+120)Houston Texans (-142)
Sunday, Dec. 151:00 PMNew York Jets (-175)Jacksonville Jaguars (+145)
Sunday, Dec. 151:00 PMCincinnati Bengals (-205)Tennessee Titans (+170)
Sunday, Dec. 151:00 PMDallas Cowboys (+110)Carolina Panthers (-130)
Sunday, Dec. 154:05 PMIndianapolis Colts (+154)Denver Broncos (-185)
Sunday, Dec. 154:25 PMPittsburgh Steelers (+190)Philadelphia Eagles (-230)
Sunday, Dec. 154:25 PMTampa Bay Buccaneers (+124)Los Angeles Chargers (-148)
Sunday, Dec. 154:25 PMBuffalo Bills (+105)Detroit Lions (-125)
Sunday, Dec. 154:25 PMNew England Patriots (+185)Arizona Cardinals (-225)
Sunday, Dec. 158:20 PMGreen Bay Packers (-142)Seattle Seahawks (+120)
Monday, Dec. 168:15 PMChicago Bears (+250)Minnesota Vikings (-310)
Monday, Dec. 168:15 PMAtlanta Falcons (-230)Las Vegas Raiders (+190)

NFL Week 15 Predictions

Here’s a breakdown of each matchup, including NFL odds, analysis, predictions, and the best bets.

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Los Angeles Rams+114+2.5 (-105)Over 48.5 (-112)
San Francisco 49ers-135-2.5 (-115)Under 48.5 (-108)

Week 15 kicks off with a divisional showdown between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams in Santa Clara. Both teams remain in the thick of the NFC West race, still chasing the division-leading Seattle Seahawks in what has been a tightly contested battle. Both the Rams and 49ers picked up crucial wins in Week 14 to stay in the hunt. The 7-6 Rams sit just one game behind Seattle, while the 6-7 49ers find themselves two games off the pace, making this matchup pivotal for both teams’ playoff hopes.

The Rams snapped the Buffalo Bills’ winning streak last week in a thrilling, high-scoring affair. Puka Nacua was unstoppable, hauling in 12 passes for 162 yards on 14 targets. He also found the end zone twice, including his first rushing touchdown of the season, showcasing his versatility. With one of the most balanced and dangerous offenses in the league, Los Angeles will aim to exploit a banged-up 49ers defense that has struggled to stay healthy this season.

The 49ers returned to the win column last week with a hard-fought victory at home over the Chicago Bears. With key offensive pieces like Christian McCaffrey, Jordan Mason, and Brandon Aiyuk sidelined, Jauan Jennings stepped up in a major way, catching seven passes for 90 yards and two touchdowns. Third-string running back Isaac Guerendo also delivered a big performance, but unfortunately, he’s expected to miss Thursday’s game after suffering a foot injury. That leaves San Francisco likely turning to Patrick Taylor and recently signed Israel Abanikanda to handle the rushing duties against Los Angeles.

I like the Rams here as underdogs. While San Francisco’s playoff hopes are still alive, LA comes into this matchup as the healthier and, quite frankly, better team. The Rams should be riding high on confidence after their impressive win over Buffalo, and I expect them to carry that momentum into this game. At +114 on the moneyline, LA is one of my favorite bets of the week.

Betting Trends:

  • The Rams are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs.
  • The 49ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • The total has gone under in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Rams +2.5 (-105) – The Rams are trending in the right direction and could pull off the upset.
  • Moneyline: Rams (+114) – With San Francisco’s injuries, the Rams are a solid value play.
  • Total: Under 48.5 (-108) – Expect a slower-paced game with two struggling offenses.
Final Score Prediction: Rams 24, 49ers 20
Best Bet: Rams ML (+114)

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Giants Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Baltimore Ravens-1000-15 (-108)Over 43 (-112)
New York Giants+650+15 (-112)Under 43 (-108)

This one looks like a mismatch on paper. It’s not often you see -1000 moneyline favorites in the NFL, but that’s exactly where the Baltimore Ravens stand as they hit the road to take on the struggling New York Giants. Baltimore comes into this game well-rested after a bye, while New York appears to be firmly in tank mode with Drew Lock under center at quarterback.

Baltimore enters Week 15 as the current No. 5 seed in the AFC playoffs, sitting two games behind the Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC North race. While catching Pittsburgh isn’t out of the question, the Ravens will likely need to win out to have a shot at claiming the division title. They’ll have an excellent opportunity to get that campaign started against what is arguably the NFL’s worst team right now. The Giants are riding an eight-game losing streak, and it’s hard to see them slowing down Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry, who should have no trouble running all over New York’s hapless defense.

The 15-point spread is a big one, but there’s little reason to believe Baltimore can’t cover it. The Giants’ defense won’t be able to slow down the Ravens’ dynamic offense, and while Baltimore’s defense has been inconsistent, it should have no trouble stifling New York’s lifeless attack. It’s always risky to lay this many points in an NFL game, but given the mismatch, Baltimore looks poised to cover comfortably.

Betting Trends:

  • The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as double-digit favorites.
  • The Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • The total has gone under in 6 of Baltimore’s last 8 games.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Ravens -15 (-108) – Baltimore’s dominance on both sides of the ball should lead to a blowout.
  • Moneyline: Ravens (-1000) – Safe for parlay plays but offers little standalone value.
  • Total: Under 43 (-108) – New York’s offense is unlikely to contribute much to the total.
Final Score Prediction: Ravens 34, Giants 10
Best Bet: Ravens -15 (-108)

Washington Commanders vs New Orleans Saints Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Washington Commanders-310-7 (-112)Over 43 (-110)
New Orleans Saints+250+7 (-108)Under 43 (-110)

The Washington Commanders return from their bye week and head to the Big Easy for a matchup against the New Orleans Saints. This game marks a homecoming of sorts for former LSU star and Heisman Trophy winner Jayden Daniels, who will be playing in Louisiana for the first time since leaving the Tigers. Washington is looking to solidify its position as a likely NFC wild card team, while the Saints, with their playoff hopes dashed, are simply playing out the string.

Derek Carr suffered both a broken hand and a concussion last week, and there’s a strong possibility he won’t suit up for the rest of the season. The Saints turned to Jake Haener in relief after Carr’s injury, though Spencer Rattler, who started three games earlier this year under since-fired head coach Dennis Allen, remains an option. Interim head coach Darren Rizzi has stated that the team has yet to decide which backup will get the nod against Washington.

Regardless of who starts at quarterback, the Saints are likely to struggle putting points on the board against a much-improved Washington defense. Outside of Alvin Kamara, New Orleans’ offense is painfully short on reliable playmakers. On the other side, the Commanders should have opportunities to score against a Saints defense that has noticeably regressed as the season has worn on. This could be a tough outing for New Orleans on both sides of the ball.

Betting Trends:

  • The Commanders are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games as favorites.
  • The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
  • The total has gone under in 6 of the Saints’ last 8 games.
  • The Commanders are 5-1 straight up in their last 6 games against NFC opponents.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Commanders -7 (-112) – Washington’s defense should keep the Saints at bay.
  • Moneyline: Commanders (-310) – A safe pick outright given the Saints’ injury issues.
  • Total: Under 43 – New Orleans will struggle to produce points.
Final Score Prediction: Commanders 23, Saints 7
Best Bet: Commanders -7 (-112)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cleveland Browns Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Kansas City Chiefs-205-4 (-110)Over 45 (-110)
Cleveland Browns+170+4 (-110)Under 45 (-110)

The Kansas City Chiefs continue their march toward the AFC’s top seed after improving to 12-1 last week. This week, they hit the road to take on the Browns in Cleveland. While Kansas City’s games are rarely easy, they’ve consistently found ways to come out on top. The Browns, on the other hand, are firmly in spoiler mode as their season spirals further out of contention. However, with the defending champs coming to town, Cleveland should have no shortage of motivation to put up a fight.

Jameis Winston has been a clear upgrade over Deshaun Watson for Cleveland, bringing more life to their offense. However, if the Browns hope to pull off the upset, they’ll likely need some production from their running game. Unfortunately, Nick Chubb hasn’t quite returned to his pre-injury form after last season’s devastating knee injury, and Kansas City has been one of the league’s toughest teams to run against all year. That means the pressure will fall squarely on Winston’s shoulders, but he’s proven so far that he’s capable of carrying the load.

The Chiefs just keep doing what they do best—finding ways to win. Isiah Pacheco is steadily working his way back from injury, which should add another dimension to Kansas City’s offense. On the other side, all eyes will be on Myles Garrett and the Cleveland pass rush to see if they can disrupt Patrick Mahomes. Then again, it might not matter much—Mahomes has consistently thrived under pressure, making him one of the hardest quarterbacks to rattle.

The Chiefs have been heavy favorites throughout the season, but they’re just 4-point road favorites here, and that feels about right. While Kansas City keeps winning, they haven’t been lighting up the scoreboard every week, and the Browns have proven to be a pesky opponent. Four points is a tricky spread, and if you’re feeling bold, taking Cleveland at +170 on the moneyline isn’t a crazy idea. It’s a risky play, but there’s real payoff potential if this turns into a trap game for the Chiefs.

Betting Trends:

  • The Chiefs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as favorites.
  • The Browns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
  • The total has gone under in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Browns +4 (-110) – The Browns have some vigor, while the Chiefs don’t necessarily look like a real 12-1 team.
  • Moneyline: Browns (+170) – Tons of risk, but I like the profit potential.
  • Total: Under 45 (-110) – Both defenses should keep this game relatively low-scoring.
Final Score Prediction: Browns 24, Chiefs 20
Best Bet: Browns ML (+170)

Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Miami Dolphins+120+2.5 (-102)Over 47.5 (-108)
Houston Texans-142-2.5 (-118)Under 47.5 (-112)

The Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans are both battling for playoff spots as the season nears its conclusion. Houston is in good shape to secure the AFC South crown in what has been a surprisingly weak division, while Miami faces a tougher road and will likely need a wild card berth to get in. The Dolphins are coming off a gritty home win in overtime over the Jets, while the Texans return from their bye week rested and ready for this crucial matchup.

The Texans haven’t quite lived up to expectations this season, with injuries to key players and inconsistent offensive line play making life tough for C.J. Stroud. However, the bye week couldn’t have come at a better time, allowing Houston to regroup ahead of this critical matchup. With a potential playoff team in Miami coming to town, the Texans should be locked in and ready to prove they’re better than they’ve shown for much of the season. Joe Mixon, in particular, could be in for another big day against a potentially fatigued Dolphins defense that has struggled to contain physical rushing attacks.

The Texans’ defense has been vulnerable to big plays, particularly through the air—exactly where the Dolphins thrive. Miami’s passing attack, led by Tua Tagovailoa and dynamic receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, could find plenty of success in this matchup. Adding to the offensive potential, the game will be played in the dome, which naturally favors higher-scoring outputs. If any game on this week’s schedule has the potential to turn into a shootout reminiscent of last week’s Rams-Bills thriller, it’s this one.

Betting Trends:

  • The Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as underdogs.
  • The Texans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as favorites.
  • The total has gone over in 7 of Houston’s last 9 home games.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Texans -2.5 (-118) – Houston’s defense and home-field advantage give them the edge.
  • Moneyline: Texans (-142) – A solid outright pick against an inconsistent Miami team.
  • Total: Over 47.5 (-108) – Both offenses are capable of putting up points in bunches.
Final Score Prediction: Texans 34, Dolphins 28
Best Bet: Over 47.5 (-108)

New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
New York Jets-175-3.5 (-105)Over 40.5 (-112)
Jacksonville Jaguars+145+3.5 (-115)Under 40.5 (-108)

The New York Jets and Jacksonville Jaguars face off in a game with little on the line, as both teams have fallen out of contention. The Jets squandered a sizable lead last week, ultimately falling to Miami in overtime, extending their losing streak to four games. Meanwhile, the Jaguars snapped a five-game skid with a gritty 10-6 win over the Titans in Nashville. Despite the victory, Jacksonville’s struggles this season leave plenty of questions heading into this matchup against a similarly underwhelming Jets squad.

While wins have been hard to come by, the Jets’ offense showed signs of life last week. Aaron Rodgers had his first 300-yard passing game in years, and both Garrett Wilson and Davante Adams eclipsed 100 yards receiving. On the ground, New York managed to find some success even without Breece Hall, as rookies Braelon Allen and Isaiah Davis both averaged close to 4 yards per carry. Despite the loss, it was an encouraging performance from an offense that has struggled to find consistency this season.

Jacksonville has its share of injury concerns as well. With Trevor Lawrence out for the season, Mac Jones is set to make another start under center. In the backfield, Tank Bigsby appears to have taken over as the lead running back, surpassing Travis Etienne. Against the Titans, Bigsby carried the ball 18 times compared to just four carries for Etienne. The Jaguars are likely to lean heavily on the ground game once again in this matchup, relying on Bigsby to shoulder the load.

In the end, the Jets showed enough promise last week to inspire confidence that they can keep their offensive momentum rolling. Against a Jaguars team that has been bleeding yards and points all season, New York should have plenty of opportunities to capitalize. I’m taking the Jets to cover the spread on the road and win comfortably in this matchup.

Betting Trends:

  • The Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as road favorites.
  • The Jaguars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • The total has gone under in 4 of New York’s last 5 road games.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Jets -3.5 (-105) – New York’s defense should give Jacksonville’s backup QB fits.
  • Moneyline: Jets (-175) – A safer outright play at home.
  • Total: Under 40.5 (-108) – This game has all the makings of a low-scoring defensive struggle.
Final Score Prediction: Jets 20, Jaguars 13
Best Bet: Jets -3.5 (-105)

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Tennessee Titans Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Cincinnati Bengals-205-5 (-110)Over 48 (-110)
Tennessee Titans+170+5 (-110)Under 48 (-110)

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Tennesee Titans has the makings of another mismatch, despite both teams entering with losing records. Cincinnati improved to 5-8 with a hard-fought win over Dallas on Monday Night Football, while Tennessee dropped a low-scoring battle at home to Jacksonville. The Bengals still have a slim chance at a playoff berth, but this is a must-win game to keep those hopes alive. Expect Cincinnati to come out focused and desperate to stay in the hunt.

Whether the Titans—or anyone—can slow down the connection between Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase remains to be seen. After a slow start to the season, Chase is on an absolute tear, and he delivered another dominant performance against Dallas. He hauled in 14 of 18 targets for 177 yards and two touchdowns, including a game-winning score in the final seconds. Chase now boasts over 1,300 receiving yards on just 93 catches this season, averaging an impressive 14+ yards per reception. Slowing him down will be Tennessee’s top priority, but it’s easier said than done.

What’s left to be said about the Titans? Will Levis struggled to get anything going last week, even in a favorable matchup against Jacksonville, and he’ll face another porous defense this week in Cincinnati. Unfortunately for Tennessee, even at home, it’s hard to see them slowing down the Bengals’ high-powered attack.

This game quietly has shootout potential, especially considering Cincinnati’s ongoing struggles in the secondary, which could give Levis some opportunities to air it out. However, the Bengals seem far better equipped to capitalize on this matchup.

Betting Trends:

  • The Bengals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as favorites.
  • The Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 road games.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Bengals -5 (-110) – Burrow and company should comfortably outpace the Titans.
  • Moneyline: Bengals (-205) – A strong pick outright as Cincinnati looks to stay hot.
  • Total: Over 48 (-110) – Cincinnati’s explosive offense should push this game over the total.
Final Score Prediction: Bengals 31, Titans 21
Best Bet: Over 48 (-110)

Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Dallas Cowboys+110+2.5 (-110)Over 43 (-110)
Carolina Panthers-130-2.5 (-110)Under 43 (-110)

The Dallas Cowboys saw their faint playoff hopes officially dashed last week in a tough loss to the Bengals. Meanwhile, the Carolina Panthers have been far more competitive than expected in recent weeks, even if it hasn’t translated into many wins.

Carolina put up another impressive fight against the Eagles last week, only to lose yet another close one late. The Panthers have now dropped tight games to the Chiefs, Buccaneers, and Eagles in recent weeks, signaling just how far they’ve come since their early-season struggles, when they looked like one of the league’s worst teams.

For the first time all season, the Panthers enter a game as favorites. While the Cowboys haven’t been terrible with Cooper Rush under center, their defense is dealing with a rash of injuries. The loss of standout linebacker DeMarvion Overshown, who suffered a devastating knee injury against the Bengals, further depletes Dallas’ already thin defensive unit. Carolina will likely look to exploit his absence, leaning on their ground game and short passing attack to control the tempo and put pressure on the Cowboys’ defense.

This might not be the most thrilling matchup of the week, but there’s value to be found with Dallas as an underdog. The Cowboys have been much better on the road than at home this season, which makes them an intriguing pick in this spot. While it’s understandable why the Panthers are favored, betting on them as a favorite feels risky given their inconsistency. I’m taking Dallas to pull off the upset here.

Betting Trends:

  • The Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
  • The Panthers are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 home games.
  • The total has gone under in 6 of Carolina’s last 8 games.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Cowboys +2.5 (-110) – Carolina is a flimsy favorite, so I like the value on Dallas on the road.
  • Moneyline: Cowboys (+110) – Dallas has been a far better team on the road than at home this year.
  • Total: Under 43 (-110) – Expect a low-scoring, grind-it-out affair.
Final Score Prediction: Cowboys 21, Panthers 17
Best Bet: Cowboys (+110)

Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Indianapolis Colts+154+4 (-112)Over 44 (-112)
Denver Broncos-185-4 (-108)Under 44 (-108)

Ah yes, the Peyton Manning Bowl—featuring the Indianapolis Colts and Denver Broncos. Denver has been the far better team this season, riding a strong home-field advantage and a resurgent stretch of play. Meanwhile, the Colts still cling to faint playoff hopes despite their inconsistency.

Surprisingly, the Broncos are only 4-point favorites in this matchup, which feels a bit light considering their impressive recent form and Indy’s up-and-down performances. This one could be closer than expected, but Denver’s dominance at home makes them a tough team to bet against.

Both teams are coming off byes, so they should be well-rested for this matchup. Bo Nix is making a late push for Rookie of the Year honors, rivaling Jayden Daniels for the award. The former Oregon star and Heisman hopeful has been solid in his first NFL season, throwing 17 touchdowns to just 8 interceptions. Denver hasn’t asked Nix to do too much, but he’s also brought an impressive rushing element to the table, adding 304 yards and 4 touchdowns on the ground. His dual-threat ability has been a key factor in the Broncos’ success this season.

Anthony Richardson knows a thing or two about running the football. Since reclaiming the starting job from Joe Flacco, the former Florida Gator has impressed with his athleticism and playmaking ability, even if questions remain about whether he’s the Colts’ long-term answer at quarterback.

Richardson’s passing numbers remain a work in progress—he has more interceptions (9) than touchdown passes (7) this season—but he’s been electric on the ground, averaging 5.5 yards per carry and scoring 4 rushing touchdowns. His ability to make plays with his legs makes him a constant threat in the Colts’ offense.

Denver’s defense has been ferocious this season, and it’s hard to imagine them not forcing Richardson into at least a couple of turnovers in this matchup. If Bo Nix can continue to protect the football and make smart decisions, the Broncos should be in a great position to cover the spread comfortably at altitude. Denver’s defense and home-field advantage make them a tough team to beat in this spot.

Betting Trends:

  • The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
  • The Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as underdogs.
  • The total has gone under in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Broncos -4 (-108) – Denver’s balanced attack should allow them to cover.
  • Moneyline: Broncos (-185) – A solid outright pick at home.
  • Total: Under 44 (-108) – Both defenses should keep this one relatively low-scoring.
Final Score Prediction: Broncos 30, Colts 17
Best Bet: Broncos -4 (-108)

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Pittsburgh Steelers+190+4.5 (-110)Over 42.5 (-110)
Philadelphia Eagles-230-4.5 (-112)Under 42.5 (-110)

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles sets the stage for an exciting matchup between Pennsylvania’s franchises. Both teams are sitting atop their respective divisions, with Philadelphia entering as a 4.5-point home favorite. The Eagles are flying high on a nine-game winning streak, while the Steelers have regained momentum with two straight victories following a snowy Thursday night loss to Cleveland a few weeks ago. This clash of first-place teams should bring plenty of energy and intrigue.

The Eagles have leaned heavily on their dominant ground game this season, setting up an intriguing strength-on-strength battle against the Steelers’ stout run defense. Philadelphia’s tandem of Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts has been nearly unstoppable, powering their nine-game winning streak. However, if any team is equipped to slow them down, it’s Pittsburgh, whose defense thrives on physicality and discipline in the trenches. This matchup will likely hinge on whether the Steelers can contain the Eagles’ rushing attack.

The Steelers are hopeful that George Pickens will return from injury after missing last week’s win over Cleveland. Even without Pickens, Pittsburgh’s offense managed to do enough to secure a comfortable victory. Russell Wilson has been a revelation in his first year with the team, throwing for 12 touchdowns against just 3 interceptions while racking up over 1,700 passing yards in only seven games. Though Najee Harris and the run game have been inconsistent, the Steelers’ offense hasn’t missed a beat since Wilson took over for Justin Fields. His steady play has kept Pittsburgh’s attack humming.

Even though the Eagles are at home, there’s a real chance the Steelers could end Philly’s winning streak here. If Pittsburgh can control the clock and dictate the tempo with a balanced attack, they’ll have a strong shot at keeping this game close. It’s not the safest bet, but there’s plenty of value in taking the Steelers at +190 on the moneyline to pull off the upset and win this one outright.

Betting Trends:

  • The Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
  • The Steelers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
  • The total has gone under in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Steelers +4.5 (-108) – 4.5 is a lot of points to be laying against Pittsburgh.
  • Moneyline: Steelers (+190) –The Steelers are for real, and I think they can give the Eagles a real test.
  • Total: Under 42.5 (-110) – With both defenses playing well, a low-scoring game is likely.
Final Score Prediction: Steelers 28, Eagles 27
Best Bet: Steelers ML (+190)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Los Angeles Chargers Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+124+3 (-112)Over 46.5 (-110)
Los Angeles Chargers-148-3 (-108)Under 46.5 (-110)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Los Angeles Chargers face off in what promises to be an entertaining matchup between two playoff hopefuls. Tampa Bay is coming off a dominant performance against the struggling Raiders, while Los Angeles suffered a heartbreaking loss at Arrowhead against the Chiefs. With both teams fighting for postseason positioning, this game should bring plenty of intensity and excitement.

The Chargers’ defense has been one of the league’s best, making this a significant test for Baker Mayfield. Mayfield has been phenomenal all year and arguably deserves to be in the MVP conversation, though he’ll likely be overshadowed when voting rolls around.

Tampa Bay’s ground game could also face challenges, especially if rookie standout Bucky Irving isn’t able to return after exiting last week’s game with a sore back. If Irving is out, the Buccaneers will turn to Rachaad White and Sean Tucker to shoulder the load in the run game against a tough Chargers front.

The Chargers have struggled to establish their ground game since losing JK Dobbins to injury. While they prefer to be a run-first team, Gus Edwards and Kimani Vidal haven’t been able to generate much on the ground, leaving the offense one-dimensional at times. That will place even more responsibility on Justin Herbert’s shoulders, but this week’s matchup could work in his favor.

Tampa Bay’s secondary has struggled, often finding itself in high-scoring shootouts, which could provide Herbert with plenty of opportunities to exploit the Bucs’ defensive weaknesses.

Give me the Bolts to win this one on home turf.

Betting Trends:

  • The Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • The Buccaneers are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 6 games.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Chargers -3 (-108) – LA’s offense should be enough to edge out Tampa Bay.
  • Moneyline: Chargers (-148) – A safer pick outright at home.
  • Total: Over 46.5 (-110) – Both offenses are capable of big plays, pushing the total over.
Final Score Prediction: Chargers 30, Buccaneers 24
Best Bet: Chargers -3 (-108)

Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Buffalo Bills+105+1.5 (-108)Over 55 (-108)
Detroit Lions-125-1.5 (-112)Under 55 (-112)

Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions is unquestionably the game of the week—and perhaps a preview of Super Bowl 59. The Bills saw their impressive winning streak snapped in Los Angeles last week, while the Lions extended theirs to an incredible 11 games with a thrilling victory over the Packers on Thanksgiving night. These are arguably the two best teams in football right now, setting the stage for what should be a fantastic matchup. The over/under of 55 points isn’t just the highest of the week; it’s the highest total for any game this season, reflecting the firepower both teams bring to the table.

Detroit’s offense has been nearly unstoppable this season, and they’ll present a serious challenge to a Buffalo defense looking to bounce back after allowing 44 points to the Rams last week. The Lions’ balance on offense is what makes them so dangerous. The dynamic rushing duo of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs has been exceptional, while Jared Goff benefits from a trio of outstanding pass-catching weapons in Amon-Ra St. Brown, Sam LaPorta, and Jameson Williams. Whether Buffalo’s defense has enough firepower to account for all of Detroit’s playmakers is a valid question—and one that could define the outcome of this game.

Josh Allen was spectacular last week, accounting for six total touchdowns. Had the Bills pulled off the win, it might have been enough for him to overtake Lamar Jackson as the midseason MVP favorite. Despite the loss, Allen remains firmly in the running, thanks to his incredible contributions to Buffalo’s offense this season.

What Allen has achieved is nothing short of remarkable, especially given the rotating cast of characters around him. If he can lead the Bills to an upset victory against Detroit in this spot, it could be the signature performance that propels him to the top of the MVP conversation.

Hitting the over on 55 points is a tall order, but with these two explosive offenses, it’s certainly within reach. Whether the game lives up to those lofty expectations, however, is another question. That said, the Lions seem better equipped to deliver in this matchup, especially with the advantage of playing at home. With Detroit as a slight 1.5-point favorite, there’s solid value in backing the Lions to come through and extend their winning streak.

Betting Trends:

  • The Bills are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.
  • The Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
  • The total has gone over in 4 of Buffalo’s last 6 road games.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Lions -1.5 (-112) – Detroit’s home-field advantage and strong running game give them the edge.
  • Moneyline: Lions (-125) – The safer pick outright at home.
  • Total: Over 55 (-108) – With both offenses firing on all cylinders, expect plenty of points.
Final Score Prediction: Lions 34, Bills 30
Best Bet: Lions -1.5 (-112)

New England Patriots vs. Arizona Cardinals Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
New England Patriots+185+5.5 (-112)Over 46 (-110)
Arizona Cardinals-225-5.5 (-108)Under 46 (-110)

The Arizona Cardinals took a tough loss last week, getting swept by the Seahawks in their season series. Despite the setback, Arizona remains in the thick of the NFC West race, though another loss this week could spell the end of their playoff hopes. Meanwhile, the New England Patriots are coming off their bye week, but with their season all but over, they’re simply playing out the string at this point. This game carries far more weight for Arizona, making it a pivotal matchup in their postseason push.

Kyler Murray’s early mistakes proved costly last week, as a pair of first-quarter interceptions allowed Seattle to jump out to an early lead—a deficit the Cardinals couldn’t overcome. While New England’s defense has shown some improvement recently, this still shapes up as a solid bounce-back opportunity for Arizona’s offense.

Murray should be poised to rebound and deliver a much cleaner performance, while this matchup also provides a great chance for James Conner to get back on track after a string of underwhelming games. Look for the Cardinals to exploit the Patriots’ vulnerabilities and find some offensive rhythm.

Drake Maye has been a bright spot in his rookie season for the Patriots, and his ability to impact the game with his legs adds an intriguing dynamic to New England’s offense. However, with a lack of reliable playmakers around him, it’s hard to have much confidence in this unit’s ability to consistently put up points. The over/under of 46 feels quite high, especially considering the Patriots’ ongoing struggles to move the ball effectively. This game seems more likely to feature a lower-scoring affair dominated by Arizona’s offensive edge.

The 5.5-point spread feels too small for this matchup. While the Cardinals aren’t exactly a powerhouse, they’ve shown enough to inspire confidence in a must-win game at home. With their playoff hopes hanging in the balance and facing a struggling Patriots team, Arizona should handle their business and cover the spread comfortably on home turf.

Betting Trends:

  • The Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as home favorites.
  • The Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • The total has gone under in 6 of New England’s last 8 games.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Cardinals -5.5 (-108) – Arizona’s superior talent on both sides of the ball should lead to a comfortable win.
  • Moneyline: Cardinals (-225) – A strong pick outright against a struggling Patriots team.
  • Total: Under 46 (-110) – New England’s inability to score consistently could keep this game under.
Final Score Prediction: Cardinals 27, Patriots 14
Best Bet: Cardinals -5.5 (-108)

Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Green Bay Packers-142-2.5 (-118)Over 46.5 (-108)
Seattle Seahawks+120+2.5 (-102)Under 46.5 (-112)

Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks has the makings of a sneaky shootout between two teams likely bound for the NFC playoffs. Green Bay saw its win streak snapped last week in a tough loss to Detroit, while Seattle came out on top in a divisional showdown against Arizona.

A home win for the Seahawks would give them a clear edge in the NFC West race with just four games remaining. Meanwhile, the Packers’ chances of winning the NFC North are all but gone, but they remain in strong contention for a wild card spot, making this a crucial game for both teams.

Kenneth Walker III’s status remains uncertain after missing last week’s game for Seattle, but the Seahawks didn’t skip a beat in his absence. Zach Charbonnet stepped up in a big way, delivering the best performance of his young career. The UCLA product carried the ball 22 times for 134 yards, added 7 catches for 59 yards, and found the end zone twice in Seattle’s crucial road win over Arizona. Even if Walker isn’t ready to return, Charbonnet has proven he’s more than capable of carrying the load for the Seahawks’ offense.

Josh Jacobs has been the driving force behind the Packers’ offense in recent weeks. The former Raider has already surpassed 1,000 rushing yards this season, finding the end zone 11 times. Remarkably, 8 of those touchdowns have come in just the last 4 games, including a pair of 3-touchdown performances against the 49ers and Lions.

Jacobs’ dominance has somewhat overshadowed the steady progress of Jordan Love, who has quietly gone three straight games without an interception—a significant improvement given the turnover issues that plagued him earlier in the season. With Jacobs powering the ground game and Love taking better care of the football, the Packers’ offense looks more balanced and dangerous heading into this matchup.

Green Bay is a reasonable favorite, but it’s hard to overlook Seattle’s outstanding home-field advantage over the past decade. The Seahawks have consistently thrived in front of the 12th Man, and Green Bay has shown vulnerabilities when playing on the road. This game feels like a true toss-up, but given Seattle’s history at home, I’d hesitate to bet against them in this spot.

Betting Trends:

  • The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The Seahawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.
  • The total has gone under in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Seahawks +2.5 (=102) – Gimme the Seabirds in front of their home crowd.
  • Moneyline: Seahawks (+120) – You’ll rarely see the Seahawks listed as such large home underdogs so I like the value here.
  • Total: Over 46.5 (-108) – The juice is on the under, but I like the over given the offensive playmakers on both teams.
Final Score Prediction: Seahawks 28, Packers 20
Best Bet: Seahawks ML (+120)

Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Chicago Bears+250+7 (-115)Over 44 (-105)
Minnesota Vikings-310-7 (-105)Under 44 (-115)

The Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings are NFC North rivals heading in opposite directions, but divisional games are always unpredictable. Chicago struggled in their first game of the post-Matt Eberflus era, falling to the 49ers, while Minnesota continued their strong run of form with another win, this time over the Falcons at home. This matchup pits a rebuilding Bears team against a surging Vikings squad, but anything can happen when division foes square off.

The Vikings are aiming to stay hot after another big win last week, while the Bears are hoping for a fresh start following their recent coaching change. Caleb Williams has flashed potential for Chicago but has been wildly inconsistent. Meanwhile, Minnesota continues to roll behind Sam Darnold, who has been steady in place of the departed Kirk Cousins. With the Vikings’ playoff hopes still alive, they’ll be tough to beat at home.

Sam Darnold was firing on all cylinders last week against Atlanta, throwing five touchdown passes in an impressive performance. He connected three times with Jordan Addison and twice with Justin Jefferson, showcasing the Vikings’ dynamic passing attack. With that win, Minnesota kept pace with Detroit and remains just one game behind the Lions in the NFC North. A win over Chicago this week, combined with a Detroit loss to Buffalo, would pull the Vikings into a tie for the division lead, keeping their hopes for a division title very much alive.

Caleb Williams showed flashes last week, throwing two touchdown passes to Rome Odunze, but Chicago will need a much better start if they hope to pull off an upset here. The Bears have been abysmal in the first halves of their last two games, only managing to turn things around after halftime. If they can flip the script and come out stronger from the opening whistle, they might have a chance to raise some eyebrows with a road win against a tough Minnesota team.

I don’t see that happening, though. While I’m not completely sold on the Vikings, they’re a much more complete team than the Bears. With Minnesota’s dynamic offense and Chicago’s tendency to play catch-up, I expect a high-scoring game here. The over on 44 points feels like the best way to bet on this NFC North rivalry clash.

Betting Trends:

  • The Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
  • The Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.
  • The total has gone under in 4 of Chicago’s last 6 games.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Vikings -7 (-105) – Minnesota’s home-field advantage and momentum should lead to a cover.
  • Moneyline: Vikings (-310) – A strong pick outright against an inconsistent Bears team.
  • Total: Over 44 (-105) – Both offenses are capable of putting up points in bunches.
Final Score Prediction: Vikings 37, Bears 30
Best Bet: Over 44 (-105)

Atlanta Falcons vs. Las Vegas Raiders Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Atlanta Falcons-230-4.5 (-110)Over 44 (-112)
Las Vegas Raiders+190+4.5 (-110)Under 44 (-108)

The second game of the Monday Night Football doubleheader features the Atlanta Falcons taking on the Raiders in Las Vegas. Atlanta slipped behind Tampa Bay in the NFC South race after last week’s loss to Minnesota, while the Raiders suffered yet another setback, both on the scoreboard and the injury report, in their loss to the Buccaneers.

Quarterback Aidan O’Connell sustained a bone bruise in his leg and is questionable for this week. If he can’t go, it’s looking increasingly likely that Desmond Ridder will make his first start of the season for Las Vegas, adding another layer of uncertainty to this matchup.

Desmond Ridder’s first start as a Raider will come against his old team, adding an intriguing storyline to this matchup. The former University of Cincinnati standout has seen limited action this season, but he brings a rushing element to the table that neither Aidan O’Connell nor Gardner Minshew provides. That added dimension could make this a trickier game for Atlanta’s defense to handle.

Look for rookie tight end Brock Bowers to play a bigger role as well. After being held to just 5 catches for 49 yards last week, Bowers will aim to bounce back, especially after his breakout performance against Kansas City two weeks ago, where he racked up 140 yards and a touchdown.

As for the Falcons, Kirk Cousins has struggled recently, but this game is an ideal opportunity for him to bounce back. The Raiders have been unable to slow opposing passing attacks all season, making this a prime spot for Atlanta to get back into the win column. The 4.5-point spread feels too small, and there’s excellent value in backing the Falcons to cover on the road.

Betting Trends:

  • The Falcons are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 home games.
  • The Raiders are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.
  • The total has gone under in 5 of Atlanta’s last 7 games.

Predictions:

  • Spread: Falcons -4.5 (-110) – Atlanta’s talent advantage should allow them to cover comfortably.
  • Moneyline: Falcons (-230) – A solid pick outright at home.
  • Total: Under 44 (-108) – Expect a slower-paced game with limited scoring.
Final Score Prediction: Falcons 23, Raiders 16
Best Bet: Falcons -4.5 (-110)

NFL Week 15 Best Bets

After analyzing the Week 15 matchups, here are our top betting picks:

  • Los Angeles Rams +2.5 (-105)
  • Cincinnati Bengals -5 (-110)
  • Detroit Lions -1.5 (-112)

Each of these bets offers solid value as standalone plays, but combining them into a parlay could lead to a much larger payout. For example, a $100 parlay on these three bets would return approximately $595 if all three hit. You can choose to bet on these individually or go for the bigger payoff with a Week 15 parlay.