2024 Paris Olympics Women’s Swimming Odds and Predictions

The 2024 Paris Olympics features 37 swimming events spanning both the women’s and men’s competitions. These events are scheduled to run from July 27 to August 9, and will take place at the Paris La Defense Arena. This is also where the Olympics Water Polo events will occur. 

Swimming has the second highest number of events, just behind Olympics Athletics (48) which includes track and field. Swimming is one of the most popular sports in the Summer Games and has been a part of the Modern Olympics since 1896. However, women’s swimming events didn’t become part of the Summer Games until 1912. 

If you are looking to bet on the Olympics, keep reading below as we dive into the latest Paris Games Women’s Swimming odds and make our Summer Olympics Women’s Swimming predictions. 

Paris Olympics Swimming Events

Both the men and the women will have 18 events apiece, with one mixed event. The following women’s swimming events will take place at the Paris Games:

• Backstroke: 100, 200
• Breaststroke: 100, 200
• Butterfly: 100, 200
• Freestyle: 50, 100, 200, 400, 800, 1500
• Individual Medley: 200, 400
• Relays: 4×100 free, 4×200 free
• Marathon: 10km

Paris Olympics Women’s Swimming Odds

Check out the latest Paris Olympics Women’s Swimming odds courtesy of the best sports betting sites: 

Women’s 50m Freestyle 

• Sarah Sjostrom (SWE) -220
• Katarzyna Wasick (POL) +500
• Shayna Jack (AUS) +600
• Gretchen Walsh (USA) +900
• Simone Manuel (USA) +1200
• Meg Harris (AUS) +1600

Sarah Sjostrom (SWE) -220 is the clear-cut betting favorite for this event. She’s putting up the fastest times at this distance in the world and was the silver medalist at Tokyo in the 50m free. Last year, she set the world record and then broke it in the same event. I fully expect Sjostrom to smash the field in this one as her dominance has been on full display in recent major competitions. 

In other words, the most intrigue for this event is on who finishes second. We have Wasick, Jack and Walsh all fighting for the silver medal and a podium finish. 

Walsh’s gold will come in the 100m butterfly, but a silver here could add to her impressive showing at Paris. With that said, Poland’s Wasick is most likely taking home the silver with Jack getting the bronze. These two are the only other swimmers, outside of Sjostrom, to swim a sub-24 mark. 

Bet: Sarah Sjostrom (SWE) -220

Women’s 100m Backstroke 

• Kaylee McKeown (AUS) +100
• Regan Smith (USA) +110
• Katharine Berkoff (USA) +800
• Mollie O’Callaghan (AUS) +1000
• Kylie Masse (CAN) +1200
• Emma Terebo (FRA) +2500

It should be noted that Australia’s swimming team is on par with the Americans. These two countries will be battling for gold medals in most of the women’s swimming events. A great example of this head-to-head battle will be in the 100m backstroke. In fact, it’s these two countries and everyone else fighting for bronze in this event. 

Last year, Kaylee McKeown set the world record for the 100m backstroke at 57.33 seconds. She entered 2024 as the odds-on favorite to win the gold in Paris. However, that all changed last month at the US Olympic Trials when American Regan Smith broke McKeown’s world record with a 57.13 time. 

I can see a new world record being set at the Olympics as both McKeown and Smith enter this competition in top form. With that said, I’m taking Smith to win the gold by a tenth of a second over McKeown.

Bet: Regan Smith (USA) +110

Women’s 100m Breaststroke 

• Qianting Tang (CHN) -285
• Lilly King (USA) +350
• Tatjana Smith (RSA) +500
• Benedetta Pilato (ITA) +800
• Ruta Meilutyte (LTU) +1200
• Angharad Evans (GBR) +1400

Tang enters as the sizable betting favorite after putting up some strong performances this year at the World Aquatics Championships and at the Chinese National Championships. In fact, she’s the only woman to swim under 1.05 this year. 

Tang set the Asian record with a 1:04:39 mark, which is 0.26 behind Lily King’s world record. That mark was set in 2017. King, a soon to be three-time Olympian, already has five Olympic medals on her resume including two gold. She won the 100m breaststroke gold in Rio, but finished with a bronze in Tokyo.

Ruta Meilutyte provides the best value for this bet as she smashed the field at the World Aquatics Championships last year. 

With that said, heading into Paris, Tang appears to be the fastest swimmer. King and others have yet to come close to Tang’s times this year.  

Bet: Qianting Tang (CHN) -285

Women’s 100m Butterfly

• Gretchen Walsh (USA) -200
• Torri Huske (USA) +220
• Zhang Yufei (CHN) +1100
• Angelina Kohler (GER) +1200
• Emma McKeon (AUS) +1800
• Maggie McNeil (CAN) +1800

The 100m butterfly is shaping up to be an all-American battle between Gretchen Walsh and Torri Huske. Walsh is the world record holder in this event, but her American teammate is only a few tenths of second behind her. The other top contenders (Zhang, Kohler, McKeon, McNeil) aren’t even close to Walsh’s best times. 

If you want value, take Huske. However, if you want to play it smart then take Walsh to win this event in convincing fashion.

Bet: Gretchen Walsh (USA) -200

Women’s 100m Freestyle 

• Mollie O’Callaghan (AUS) +100
• Siobhan Haughey (HKG) +240
• Marrit Steenbergen (NED) +450
• Sarah Sjostrom (SWE) +600
• Shayna Jack (AUS) +900

Mollie O’Callaghan and Siobhan Haughey are the clear-cut favorites for this event, but don’t count out Sarah Sjostrom or Shayna Jack. Sjostrom is the best at the 50m freestyle, and Jack’s times aren’t far off from her teammate O’Callaghan’s times. In fact, Sjostrom still holds the 100m freestyle world record at 51:71 seconds. I don’t see that record being broken at the Olympics. 

O’Callaghan is a two-time world champion in the 100m free and has one of the fastest times on the year. Siobhan Haughey took home two silver medals at the Tokyo Games for the 100m and 200m freestyle events. Her personal best 52:02 is slightly faster than O’Callaghan’s best of 52:08. 

O’Callaghan appears to be the fastest swimmer in this event heading into Paris if we’re to base it on recent results. I’m rooting for Sjostrom to upset the favorites here, but it’s not even guaranteed that she will compete in this event. 

For me, I like the value with Haughey. I think the Hong Kong swimmer is going to edge out O’Callaghan for the gold medal. 

Bet: Siobhan Haughey (HKG) +240

Women’s 200m Backstroke 

• Kaylee McKeown (AUS) -200
• Regan Smith (USA) +175
• Phoebe Bacon (USA) +1100
• Kylie Masse (CAN) +1100
• Jaclyn Barclay (AUS) +1600
• Peng Xuwei (CHN) +2500

Get your popcorn ready because we have an epic rematch between Kaylee McKeown and Regan Smith from the 100m backstroke event. In that one, I picked Smith to edge out McKeown as Regan has come on strong over the last year and has the ability to beat the Australian at the shorter distance. 

Unfortunately, at this distance, Smith’s chances of winning are lower. McKeown is even better at the longer distance and has backed that up with strong times. In recent competitions, McKeown’s best marks were over a half second faster than Smith’s best. 

Bacon and Masse will fight for the bronze medal in what should be an exciting battle. However, it’s clear that the top two spots are already taken. As for the winner, McKeown will get her revenge from a 100m backstroke defeat to take home the gold in this event. 

Bet: Kaylee McKeown (AUS) -200

Women’s 200m Breaststroke

• Tatjana Schoenmaker (RSA) Ev 
• Kate Douglass (USA) +180 
• Tes Schouten (NED) +450 
• Lilly King (USA) +850

Tatjana Smith is the reigning gold medal winner for this event having won at Tokyo. She’s also picked up golds at the 2022 World Championships and an assortment of other major competitions. Schoenmaker holds the world record for this event at 2:18:95 and came close to breaking that this year with a 2:19:01 mark. 

Kate Douglass won this event at the U.S. Olympic Trials along with the 100m freestyle. However, she chose to withdraw from the 100m in order to focus on the 200m breaststroke since the two events overlapped each other in the Olympics. Douglass’ best time in the 200m was 2:19.30 earlier this year. At the Trials, she posted a 2:19:46 mark. 

I think the top two spots are guaranteed to go to Douglass and Schoenmaker. However, the bronze medal is up for grabs between Schouten and King. 

At the Paris Games, I believe we see the world record broken. And, I believe it will be Schoenmaker making new world records. Take the South African champion to win another Olympic gold medal. 

Bet: Tatjana Schoenmaker (RSA) +100

Women’s 200m Freestyle 

• Ariarne Titmus (AUS) -110
• Mollie O’Callaghan (AUS) +125
• Summer McIntosh (CAN) +600
• Siobhan Haughey (HKG) +1400

With all four of these betting options breaking 1:54 at the 2023 World Championships, there’s no other swimmers in this event that can compete with that time. 

Ariarne Titmus is the reigning gold medal champ in both the 200m and 400m freestyle events. And, she appears to be in better shape than she was at Tokyo in 2020. That’s scary news for the rest of the competitors. We should also note that Titmus set a new 200m world record last month. 

Titmus’ biggest competition for this event is her teammate, Mollie O’Callaghan. She was a former 200m world record holder before Titmus broke it. The two have gone back and forth as to who is the best especially with McIntosh most likely out of this event as she wants to focus on other distances. 

O’Callaghan offers better value, but Titmus should win the gold. 

Bet: Ariarne Titmus (AUS) -110

Women’s 400m Freestyle 

• Ariarne Titmus (AUS) -225
• Summer McIntosh (CAN) +275
• Katie Ledecky (USA) +475
• Erika Fairweather (NZL) +1600

This is going to be a battle of the best in the world as Titmus, McIntosh and Ledecky all aim for gold. The American, Katie Ledecky, is the greatest woman swimmer of all-time. However, she was defeated by Ariarne Titmus for the gold medal at Tokyo. 

Summer McIntosh is going to win gold at Paris. The only question is what event will that take place in. The 400m Individual Medley is her bread and butter, but don’t sleep on McIntosh for the freestyle as well. She was a former world record holder at this distance, but was recently edged out by Titmus. With that said, Titmus is poised to win gold in this event once again. 

Bet: Ariarne Titmus (AUS) -225

Women’s 400m Individual Medley 

• Summer McIntosh (CAN) -10000
• Katie Grimes (USA) +1000
• Freya Colbert (GBR) +1800
• Anasatsia Gorbenko (ISR) +2500

 Summer McIntosh’s odds for the 400m IM is the largest out of any swimming event for both the men and women competitions. She is the world record holder for this event and a two-time world champion. We could see McIntosh set a new world record at the Olympics as she crushes the competition and secures the gold. 

Bet: Summer McIntosh (CAN) -10000

Women’s 800m Freestyle 

• Katie Ledecky (USA) -350
• Ariarne Titmus (AUS) +400
• Bingjie Li (CHN) +1200
• Lani Pallister (AUS) +1400
• Simona Quadarella (ITA) +1600
• Isabel Gose (GER) +1600

After smashing world records in the 200m and 400m, Ariarne Titmus is not only the gold medal favorite in those events but she wants to challenge Katie Ledecky for gold in the 800m as well. Titmus recognizes that Ledecky is the best of all-time at this distance but promised to give it her all to upset the American swimmer.

As talented and respected that Titmus is, there’s no way she beats Ledecky in the 800m. The American swimmer has won three straight Olympic gold medals in this event and six straight golds at the World Championships. Her world record time is over eight seconds faster than the next challenger. I’m surprised that Ledecky’s odds aren’t higher. 

Bet: Katie Ledecky (USA) -350

Women’s 1500m Freestyle

• Katie Ledecky (USA) -4000 
• Simona Quadarella (ITA) +1300 
• Lani Pallister (AUS) +2000 
• Bingjie Li (CHN) +2000

Just like with the 800m freestyle, Ledecky holds the world record for the 1500m freestyle as well. However, unlike the 800m event, there’s no real competition at this distance. It’s a foregone conclusion that Ledecky wins gold again at the 1500m freestyle. 

Bet: Katie Ledecky (USA) -4000