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With the conclusion of the Wild Card Round, we’re now down to eight teams vying for the Lombardi Trophy. Seven of the top eight seeds, spanning both conferences, have advanced to the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs.
Based on the Divisional Round matchups, the Detroit Lions have opened up a gap over the Kansas City Chiefs with the oddsmakers to win Super Bowl 59. The Lions are now +275 favorites, while the Chiefs remain at +350 odds. Both teams had a first round bye and will have home field advantage throughout the Playoffs.
Can the Lions or any other team step up to dethrone the Chiefs? Let’s take a closer look at the updated 2025 Super Bowl odds and make our predictions.
Where Is Super Bowl 2025?
The Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana, will be the home for Super Bowl 59 on February 9, 2025. This marks the eighth time that the Superdome has hosted a Super Bowl and the 11th time held in the city of New Orleans.
2025 Super Bowl Halftime Show
Grammy winner, Kendrick Lamar, is set to perform at the Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show in New Orleans. In 2022, Lamar appeared with a host of performers like Dr. Dre, Snoop Dogg, Eminem, 50 Cent and Mary J. Blige at the 2022 Super Bowl Halftime Show. This year, he will be the headline performer.
2025 Super Bowl Odds
For a complete list of betting lines for all 32 teams, check out the latest Scores and Stats Super Bowl odds
| Teams | Opening Odds | Preseason | Midseason | Wild Card | Divisional |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions | +1200 | +1200 | +650 | +325 | +275 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +550 | +550 | +425 | +350 | +350 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 | +650 | +400 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +1200 | +900 | +650 | +550 | +450 |
| Buffalo Bills | +1400 | +1200 | +900 | +550 | +500 |
| Los Angeles Rams | +8800 | +8800 | +8000 | +3500 | +1600 |
| Washington Commanders | NA | NA | NA | NA | +2800 |
| Houston Texans | +1200 | +1600 | +1400 | +8000 | +5000 |
As mentioned, the Lions have increased their lead over the Chiefs with oddsmakers. The Ravens, Bills, and Eagles are all around the same mark. The Houston Texans are the biggest longshots at +5000 odds.
2025 Super Bowl Betting Favorites
The following NFL teams are considered betting favorites, according to the top sports betting sites
Detroit Lions
The Detroit Lions opened as +1200 betting favorites to win SB 59. They then improved to +900 in the preseason. At the midway point of the 2024-25 regular season, the Lions saw their odds shrink to +650. Two months later, they’re favored to win the Super Bowl at +325 odds.
Additionally, the Detroit Lions are large favorites to win the NFC Conference at +105 odds. They’re nearly two times the favorite as the Eagles at +165 odds.
Following the Wild Card Round, the path for the Lions to earn a spot in the Super Bowl has become clear.
They must beat the Washington Commanders in the Divisional Round and then beat the winner of the Rams vs. Eagles. Fortunately, Detroit will host both games.
With that said, the Lions will look to devour the opposition with arguably the best offense in the league. Detroit led the league in scoring (33.2 ppg) and touchdowns per game (4.1). They were also 2nd in total yards (409.5 ypg), 4th in third down percentage (47.57%), 3rd in red zone touchdown conversion rate (69.44%), 2nd in passing yards (263.2 ypg), and 6th in rushing yards (146.4 ypg).
It remains to be seen if David Montgomery can return to the backfield or if the Lions will have to ride Gibbs the rest of the Playoffs. Either way, this offense is explosive and can outscore anyone left in the postseason.
Can anyone go into Motown and upset the high-octane Detroit Lions?
Kansas City Chiefs
The Kansas City Chiefs opened the year as the odds-on favorites to win Super Bowl 59 with a +550 betting line. This should come as no surprise considering that they won the last two NFL Championships. Their line dropped to +425 in November and +350 at the start of the Playoffs. Currently, the Chiefs remain with the same line heading into the Divisional Round.
Yet, the Kansas City Chiefs have seen their odds improve to win the AFC Conference with +130 odds as of this writing. They’re nearly twice the betting favorite as the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills who are both listed at +225 to +230 odds.
The Chiefs are very fortunate to have home field advantage throughout the Playoffs and to only have to play the Ravens or Bills, not both of them. KC will host the Houston Texans in the Divisional Round who they already beat in Week 16 by the score of 27-19.
They will then play the winner of the Ravens vs. Bills. Whichever team survives that heavyweight clash will have to head to Arrowhead Stadium to play the mighty KC Chiefs.
Another scary prospect is that the Chiefs are as healthy as they’ve been all season, minus the absence of Rice. And, if that weren’t enough to put fear into opponents, this KC defense is one of the best as they allowed only 19.2 points per game (4th), 320.6 total yards per game (9th), 2.2 touchdowns per game (5th), and just 101.8 rushing yards per game (8th).
KC has already beat the Texans and Ravens this year. Plus, they beat the Ravens and Bills in the Playoffs last year. Not to mention, Patrick Mahomes is unbeaten versus Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen in the postseason. It’s hard to imagine anyone upstaging Mahomes and the Chiefs in the AFC.
Philadelphia Eagles
The Philadelphia Eagles entered the playoffs as the #2 seed, having won the NFC East Division. Yet, they looked inept versus the Packers in the Wild Card Round. Most notably, their passing game was awful with only 131 yards on the day.
That won’t cut it if they want to upset the Lions in Detroit or face a team like the Chiefs, Ravens or Bills in the Super Bowl.
In fact, their performance was so subpar that I have legitimate concerns about Philly getting out of the NFC. I no longer pick the Eagles to win the NFC Championship. For the first time all year long, I am taking someone else – the Detroit Lions.
Sure, the Eagles could bounce back this weekend versus the Rams in the Divisional Round. If you recall, the Eagles crushed the Rams 37-20 in Week 12. Barkley put up a monster game that week and he also showed up in the Wild Card game versus Green Bay. However, he was the only offensive player that really shined.
Jalen Hurts has now looked bad in his last two Playoff games and I don’t see how that kind of play can instill any confidence in Philly backers. Can the Eagles soar again or will they cost themselves a trip to the Super Bowl?
Baltimore Ravens
The Baltimore Ravens put an absolute beating on their AFC North Division rival Pittsburgh Steelers in the Wild Card Round. Now, they must head to Buffalo to play a revenge-minded Bills team. The Ravens handed Buffalo their worst loss of the season by crushing them 35-10 in Week 4.
Sure, a lot has changed since these two teams met. However, one thing is for certain and that’s the fact that Baltimore has one of the best offenses in the NFL and the scariest duos in recent history with Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry.
The Ravens are third in scoring (30.5 ppg), 1st in total yards (424.9 ypg), 3rd in third down conversions (48.17%), 1st in rushing yards (187.6 ypg), and 7th in passing yards (237.4 ypg).
The duo of Jackson and King Henry were on full display in their Wild Card game as the team put up nearly 300 rushing yards on the Steelers.
With the way Baltimore is playing right now, they might just be the best team in football. They might get two chances to prove this statement if they can beat the Bills and Chiefs to earn a spot in the Super Bowl.
Buffalo Bills
The Buffalo Bills had the best Wild Card performance out of all 12 teams playing. Buffalo dominated on both sides of the ball to crush the Denver Broncos 31-7. They are the healthiest that they’ve been all season long.
Further emphasizing this point, is that they will have four of their best defenders playing in the Divisional Round matchup versus the Ravens. These four men didn’t play in the Week 4 game: Bernard, Milano, Miller and Johnson.
Terrell Bernard and Matt Milano are the two starting linebackers for Buffalo and play all three downs. Von Miller is a HOF pass rusher and Taron Johnson is the best nickel corner in the NFL. This team runs nickel more than any other defense in the league. Yet, they were in shambles without these four defenders.
I fully expect the Bills defense to play much better than they did in Week 4. In fact, I expect them to be the difference in this Divisional Round game.
Buffalo’s offense flexed their muscles on the Broncos and didn’t even play their best game as they only scored one red zone TD in numerous trips.
Buffalo is the second highest scoring team in the league at 30.9 points per game. They also are 2nd in red zone touchdown efficiency (71.64%) and 2nd in touchdowns scored per game (3.8 TDs). So, it was quite surprising when they failed to reach these averages against the Broncos.
I expect this team to improve on these numbers against the Ravens as field goals will not win that matchup. Additionally, Buffalo is unbeaten at home all season long. Lastly, they’re the only team to beat Mahomes this season. If Buffalo can get past Baltimore, then they are the one team that can beat KC.
Top Super Bowl 59 Betting Value
At +500, the Buffalo Bills offer the best betting value. Sure, they have a tough matchup versus the Ravens in the Divisional Round. But, let’s keep a few things in mind for this game.
First, the Bills will have their four most impactful defenders playing in this game unlike their Week 4 matchup versus the Ravens. Second, Buffalo is undefeated this year at home, where they will play at in the Divisional Round game.
Third, Buffalo beat the Ravens in the Playoffs at Buffalo a few years back. Fourth, Jackson has a losing record in the Playoffs. He’s just 3-4 in the postseason. Josh Allen is 6-1 against everyone not named Burrow or Mahomes in the postseason.
Fifth, the Bills have established a running game since playing the Ravens which was on full display in the Wild Card game versus the Broncos. Lastly, they added some big defensive tackles like Jordan Phillips since their loss to Baltimore.
This is a different team, an improved defense, and they have revenge on their minds. Plus, add the Bills Mafia to the mix and Buffalo has a real shot at beating the Ravens. In fact, if they can get by Baltimore, Buffalo would have an easier chance versus the Chiefs who they beat this year. And, they also already beat Detroit who they could play in the Super Bowl.
Top Super Bowl 59 Longshot
The Los Angeles Rams were my longshot pick at the start of the preseason and they remain my longshot pick to win Super Bowl 59. Their odds to win SB 59 were +8000 in November. Currently, the Rams are listed at +1600 to win their second championship in the last four years.
The Rams finished the regular season with a 10-7 record and winning the NFC West. Despite having a high turnover on the defensive side of the ball, I believed that the championship DNA of QB Matthe Stafford and head coach Sean McVay were enough to get this team back into NFC contention.
That’s exactly what happened in their Wild Card win over the Minnesota Vikings. The Rams swarmed the Vikings on the defensive side of the ball and Matthew Stafford had a solid outing throwing the ball to all of his weapons like Kupp and Nacua.
I said going into the Wild Card Round, that the Rams were the most slept on team. Well, that’s all changed now. This team has a real shot of beating the Eagles who underperformed on offense.
Philly’s defense was great against the Packers, but Jordan Love is not Matthew Stafford. The latter is a Super Bowl winning quarterback with nearly 15 years in the league. Plus, the Rams already played the Eagles and know what it takes to beat them.
Let’s not forget that the Rams almost beat Detroit in Week 1 of the regular season. The lost in Overtime despite not having star receiver Puka Nacua. This team is far better than they were when they first beat Detroit. In fact, the Rams are one team that can upset the Lions in the Playoffs. They have Detroit’s former QB in Stafford, the offense to match the Lions, and an improved defense that should be slightly better than Detroit’s depleted unit.
Who Will Win The 2025 Super Bowl?
In my preseason breakdown of Super Bowl 59, I made the following comments about which team to bet on:
Until someone actually dethrones the Kansas City Chiefs, it’s hard to pick against them. I often say, don’t get cute, get the money. Well, when it comes to betting on one franchise to win the Super Bowl – it’s the Chiefs.
Well, that hasn’t changed at all. The Chiefs tied the Lions for the best record in the NFL at 15-2; albeit their second loss came in Week 18 where KC rested all of their starters. In reality, their starting unit went 15-1 on the season.
The Chiefs have home field advantage throughout the AFC Conference Playoff games, play the Texans in the Divisional Round, and only have to face the winner of the Ravens vs. Bills, not both teams.
Kansas City remains the team to beat and the franchise that everyone is chasing. There’s no need to look elsewhere when it comes to making Super Bowl predictions. Keep riding the Chiefs until someone can step up and beat them in the Playoffs.
NFL Bet: Kansas City Chiefs +350
Recent Super Bowl Winners
The Kansas City Chiefs were last year’s Super Bowl winner. In fact, they’ve won the last two Super Bowls in a row, three of the last five, and have appeared in four of the last five NFL Championships. The following is a list of the most recent Super Bowl winners:
| Year | Super Bowl Winner | Conference |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kansas City Chiefs | AFC |
| 2023 | Kansas City Chiefs | AFC |
| 2022 | Los Angeles Rams | NFC |
| 2021 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | NFC |
| 2020 | Kansas City Chiefs | AFC |
| 2019 | New England Patriots | AFC |
| 2018 | Philadelphia Eagles | NFC |
| 2017 | New England Patriots | AFC |
| 2016 | Denver Broncos | AFC |
| 2015 | New England Patriots | AFC |
| 2014 | Seattle Seahawks | NFC |
