UFC Fight Night 250 Odds and Predictions

The UFC Fight Night 250 odds are out, so now is a good time to get in your picks. My picks for UFC 311 were rock solid, so hopefully you were along for the ride.

If you missed the fun, you can always hop aboard the money train this week, as we get a really fun card featuring Israel Adesanya vs. Nassourdine Imavov as the main event. There are several other great bouts lined up, which makes this a fun card to wager on.

Not sure how to bet, or just want some extra information before throwing some money down? Join me as I look at the latest Adesanya vs. Imavov odds and offer my picks for every match this weekend.

UFC Fight Night 250 Odds

Here are the UFC Fight Night 250 odds available at most MMA betting sites. 

The pricing for this weekend’s big MMA event is really nice. There are no massive underdogs you feel compelled to back, but there is still good value and several tightly contested matchups.

The UFC Fight Night 250 main card is enough of a draw by itself, but there are also some good Prelims showdowns you’ll want to bet on.

You can roll with all of my UFC Fight Night 250 betting picks, or you can check out our free handicapping trial to get a little extra help with his card, among other sports betting events.

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UFC Fight Night 250 Main Card Predictions

The main card gets rolling at 11:00 am EST on ESPN+.

Israel Adesanya (-160) vs. Nassourdine Imavov (+130)

The main event is a good one, as it pits Israel Adesanya (24-4) against Nassourdine Imavov (15-4). The Last Stylebender has slipped as of late, with the 35-year old going just 1-3 over his last four bouts.

That said, those losses have come to Dricus De Plessis, Sean Strickland, and Alex Pereira, so it’s nothing he should be ashamed of. The form isn’t super alluring, but he did knock out Pereira in 2023 and his resume speaks for itself.

Are the wheels finally coming off for Adesanya? Maybe, but he is still a KO factory (16 KOs) and has been stopped early just twice in his entire career. He also comes into this one with a five-inch reach edge and has more experience than his opponent.

Imavov is the mild underdog after winning three straight fights. He’s topped Brendan Allen, Jared Cannonier, and Roman Dolidze during that stretch, and he does offer better striking in this matchup.

While I think Imavov has the striking and versatility to pose a threat, it’s time for Israel to snap out of his funk. I love the value with him at -160.

Bet: Israel Adesanya (-160)

Shara Magomedov (-190) vs. Michael Page (+160)

Next up is a date between Shara Magomedov (15-0) and Michael Page (22-3). Share has yet to lose in his young career, with the 30-year old looking quite impressive during a 4-0 run to start his UFC tenure.

Magomedov has scored two KO wins already under the UFC banner and has 12 career knockouts. He has not proven to be a major threat on the ground, but his unblemished record and tenacity make him a tough guy to bet against.

The bad news is Shara loses a good six inches in reach against Michael Page, while Venom offers a bit more range and experience as a fighter. Even so, Magomedov is the more lethal striker, Page is considerably older, and doesn’t offer form that is as promising.

Shara could have a tougher challenge on his hands than some expect, but all things considered, his -190 moneyline price is a steal.

Bet: Shara Magomedov (-190)

Said Nurmagomedov (-170) vs. Vinicius Oliveira (+140)

Said Nurmagomedov (18-3) is a mild favorite to upend Vinicius Oliveira (21-3) in a bout that is incredibly difficult to call.

Nurmagomedov dropped a Decision to Jonathan Martinez two fights ago, but otherwise hadn’t lost since 2019. He bounced back nicely by submitting Muin Gafurov and offers terrific versatility.

Said simply isn’t a guy that is easy to finish, so Oliveira definitely has his work cut out for him. The slightly younger fighter is closer to his physical prime and is the more vicious finisher (16 KOs), but he also has a soft chin (3 KO defeats) and isn’t as gifted on the floor.

This is a big opportunity for Oliveira to prove himself, and he’s running hot with four straight wins. That said, I trust Nurmagomedov’s skills and resiliency. It should be close, but if it goes to a Decision or the mat, he’s the guy I’d feel better about backing.

Bet: Said Nurmagomedov (-170)

Sergei Pavlovich (-315) vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik (+240)

Here’s a slugfest waiting to happen, as Sergei Pavlovich (18-3) is favored to upend Jairzinho Rozenstruik (15-5). 

Both of these guys are tough as nails and offer monstrous finishing ability. Pavlovich sports an insane 15 knockouts, but after starting 18-1, he’s dropped two bouts in a row. He got KO’d by Tom Aspinall two fights ago, and failed to rebound against Alexander Volkov in June of 2024.

This could easily be where he gets right, of course, as Rozenstruik is now 36 and has gone just 4-4 over his last eight fights. More troubling, though, is the fact that he’s been stopped early in two of those losses.

Even so, Rozenstruik has 13 knockouts to his name and his aggressive style will give him a shot in this one. He’s also rebounded nicely with two straight wins, including a TKO over Shamil Gaziev last March.

Time is running out for Rozenstruik (37 in March), and he still brings a lot of power to the table. Sergei is the better fighter at this point, but he’s trending enough in the wrong direction to make a +240 shot at Rozenstruik feel pretty good.

Bet: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (+240)

Muhammadjon Naimov (-300) vs. Kaan Ofli (+225)

There’s supposed to be another fight on the main card, but it doesn’t have odds yet. For now, we’ll close things out with Naimov (11-3) versus Ofli (11-3-1).

Naimov is the obvious favorite, as he’s 6-1 over his last seven fights. He did stumble into a submission loss against Felipe Lima this past summer, although I’d imagine he’ll be aiming to get back on track in this one.

Ofli is tough to gauge, as he was 11-2-1 outside of the UFC, but failed to impress in his debut last August. Mairon Santos took him with a KO, so he’ll be looking to prove he belongs in this promotion.

I give the experience and versatility edge to Naimov, who feels like the correct pick here.

Bet: Muhammadjon Naimov (-300)

UFC Fight Night 250 Preliminary Card Predictions

UFC Fight Night 250 officially starts with the Prelims at 8:00 am EST on ESPN+.

Bolaji Oki (-175) vs. Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady (+145)

The UFC Fight Night 250 Prelims look underrated at first glance, and this showdown between Bolaji Oki (9-2) and Adbul-Kareem Al-Selwady (15-4) is one reason why. 

Oki hasn’t exactly lived up to expectations in the UFC so far (just 1-1 with no wins by stoppage), but we know he can be a menace (5 KO wins). The Zulu Warrior is a terrific athlete with good closing speed and brutal power, so even though he has yet to show it off in the UFC, he’s live to knock his opponent out.

Al-Selwady has more experience and has eight knockouts of his own, but he got taken out by Loik Radzhabov in his UFC debut. He was riding hot with five straight wins prior to his debut, but he also hasn’t won by early stoppage since 2021.

All things told, Oki is the more explosive talent and that elusive KO win in the UFC is going to pop up sooner rather than later. I’d bet on it happening at UFC Fight Night 250.

Bet: Bolaji Oki (-175) 

Shamil Gaziev (-355) vs. Thomas Petersen (+255)

An even bigger betting favorite is Shamil Gaziev (13-1), who has just one professional loss to this point. He tasted defeat in his second UFC match, losing via TKO to Jairzinho Rozenstrik last March. 

While that fight didn’t go as planned, he bounced back to top Don’Tale Mayes in August, moving him to 2-1 under the UFC banner. Gaziev now enters this weekend’s showdown with Thomas Petersen (9-2) as the favorite, with the 34-year old offering proven finishing ability (11 wins by early stoppage).

The 29-year old Petersen doesn’t feel like a major threat here, but he also won’t be easy to handle. He actually has the edge in striking here, as he lands much more significant strikes per minute, and has 71.06% striking accuracy.

In addition, Petersen has lost by early stoppage just once in his career, and he’s a solid 4-1 since that happened back in 2022. I expect Gaziev to get the job done here, but it should be a lot closer than the odds suggest.

Bet: Shamil Gaziev (-355)

Terrance McKinney (-430) vs. Damir Hadzovic (+330)

The last time we saw Terrance McKinney (15-7) he got kicked in the head by Esteban Ribovics. That fight interrupted a two-bout winning streak, but was a reminder of his recent inconsistency (4-4 over his last eight fights.

McKinney is an explosive fighter that possesses elite finishing ability, as all 15 of his bouts have ended early. Check that; every single one of his matches have ended early. His aggressive style has led to seven KO wins and eight submissions, but he’s also been KO’d five times and submitted twice.

Suffice to say, if you bet on anything, bet on this one to finish inside the distance. McKinney might still be the guy to back, but his soft chin and aggression leave him vulnerable. That could be bad news as he takes on Damir Hadzovic (14-7), who has 10 early stoppage wins under his belt. 

The problem? Hadzovic is eight years older, loses 3.5 inches in reach, and is the inferior striker between the two mixed martial artists. His form has been worse, too, as he’s gone just 1-3 over his last four bouts.

Hadzovic is live for the upset given McKinney’s career, but I think this one favors Terrance.

Bet: Terrance McKinney (-430)

Mike Davis (-140) vs. Fares Ziam (+110)

The 32-year old Mike Davis (11-2) enters this weekend’s bout as the slight favorite as he prepares to battle Fares Ziam (16-4). Davis is riding a four-fight winning streak and has displayed elite finishing ability, scoring 7 KOs and notching nine of his 11 wins before the final bell.

Davis has also never been KO’d, while his only two losses are impressive ones, as he got submitted by Gilbert Burns back in 2019 and took Sodiq Yusuff the distance in 2018.

Ziam is five years younger and has almost a three-inch reach advantage, but the striking edge rests with Davis. Ziam is on fire at the moment with four consecutive wins and has proven to be both versatile and dangerous (10 career wins by stoppage), so he’s absolutely in play for the upset.

The easy call here is probably a win inside the distance. Which fighter gets it done is admittedly anyone’s guess. That said, I like the value with Ziam. He’s younger, he has the reach edge, he has slightly more experience, and he’s just as good at finishing his opponents.

Bet: Fares Ziam (+110)

Lucas Alexander (-115) vs. Bogdan Grad (-115)

Next up is an evenly split match between Lucas Alexander (8-4) and Bogdan Grad (14-2). These fighters are quite similar, as they’re exactly the same age, they are both dangerous strikers, and the books don’t know who to back.

Grad has the experienced edge and the superior striking numbers, but Alexander is taller with a three-inch reach edge. Grad will be making his UFC debut, while Alexander is 1-2 through three UFC bouts and was stopped early in both of his losses.

Ultimately, I find it hard to go away from Grad. He’ll need to make up for the lost inches in reach, but he has more experience, has more finishing upside, and so far Alexander has lost some steam under the UFC banner.

Bet: Bogdan Grad (-115)

Jamal Pogues (-115) vs. Hamdy Abdelwahab (-115)

Can Hamdy Abdelwahab (5-0) stay perfect? That’s precisely what the 32-year old will try to do at UFC FN 250, as he tries to bounce back from a No Contest in his UFC debut.

Prior to landing with the UFC, Hamdy was 5-0, with each of his fights ending early. He has five knockouts to his name, and he is one tough nut to crack. He does leave himself open to a lot of punishment, however, and he’s not the quickest athlete on the circuit.

On the other side is Jamal Pogues (11-4), who is a little taller than Abdelwahab and has a major reach advantage (five inches!). His striking numbers aren’t as impressive, but he’s a solid 4-1 over his last five bouts and so far he’s 2-1 in the UFC.

Pogues does have four KO wins to his name, but he’s been taken out a few times already, with three of his four defeats ending early. His length could give Hamdy trouble, but I expect Abdelwahab to inflict a bunch of damage in this one.

Bet: Hamdy Abdelwahab (-115)

Jasmine Jasudavicius (-230) vs. Mayra Bueno Silva (+190)

Lastly, we have the only female vs. female bout on the UFC FN 250 card, as Jasmine Jasudavicius (12-3) prepares to take on Mayra Bueno Silva (10-4-1).

Jasudavicius is exiting her physical prime at age 35, but she has a 1.5-inch reach edge in this one and offers comparable striking numbers. In addition, Jasmine has been in solid form, winning each of her last three fights and going 5-1 over her last six.

Jasmine is a tough and skilled fighter that not only can finish or outlast opponents, but simply out-duels them. She’s lost three times, but she’s yet to be stopped early in any fashion.

I’m not sure this is where I’d bet on that trend to be bucked, as Mayra Bueno Silva has just one KO win. She has been very dangerous on the mat (7 submissions), but Jasudavicius is a crafty fighter with stellar defense and remarkable poise.

All things considered, her -230 moneyline feels a bit light. I do think this bout is likely to go the distance, but Jasmine at -230 feels like a steal.

Bet: Jasmine Jasudavicius (-230)

UFC Fight Night 250 Fight Card