UFC on ESPN+ 113 Odds and Predictions

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Kody Miller

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MMA fans get a good one this weekend, as Sean Brady faces off with Leon Edwards at UFC Fight Night 255. The action gets started at 12:00 pm EST on ESPN+ with the Prelims, and closes out with the main card at 3:00 pm EST.

I’ve got you covered if you’re looking for UFC picks for this event, as UFC Fight Night 255 odds are live at most MMA sportsbooks, and now is as good a time as ever to place your bets.

Betting on the UFC remains one of the best ways to profit from sports betting online, especially if you can get a nice mixture of favorites, props, and upsets. Let’s see what picks stand out for this weekend’s card.

Where To Watch UFC Fight Night 255?

Tune into ESPN+ to catch all of UFC Fight Night 255, starting with the Prelims and including the main card.

When Is UFC Fight Night 255?

The UFC FN 255 Prelims fires off at 12:00 pm EST, while you can catch the main card at 3:00 pm EST.

Where Is UFC Fight Night 255?

The action touches down at The O2 Arena in London, England this weekend, with Edwards vs. Brady headlining a March 22nd card.

UFC Fight Night 255 Main Card Odds

Check out the latest UFC Fight Night 255 odds for the Main Card, courtesy of the top sports betting sites

UFC FN FavoriteUFC FN UnderdogUFC FN Prediction
Sean Brady (-159)Leon Edwards (+139)Leon Edwards (+139)
Carlos Ulberg (-305)Jan Blachowicz (+255)Carlos Ulberg (-305)
Gunnar Nelson (-119)Kevin Holland (-101)Kevin Holland (-101)
Alexia Thainara (-180)Molly McCann (+155)Alexia Thainara (-180)
Jordan Vucenic (-400)Chris Duncan (+300)Jordan Vucenic (-400)
Morgan Charriere (-160)Nathaniel Wood (+140)Morgan Charriere (-160)

The UFC FN 255 odds are pretty welcoming. We have a pretty split main event, as Leon Edwards hopes to get back on track following a title loss, and Sean Brady eyes a title shot of his own.

There’s also the explosive Carlos Ulberg going up against a living legend in Jan Blachowicz, while not a single main card bout has a favorite north of -400. Two of the betting favorites are still of the lopsided variety, but overall, this is a nice-looking main card.

You can use my UFC Fight Night 255 predictions listed in the table above, or read on for a little more insight as to why I like each bet. Want more advice? Check in with the best handicappers available online for more betting picks and guidance.

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UFC Fight Night 255 Predictions For The Main Card

The main card for UFC Fight Night 255 gets going at 12:00 pm EST.

Sean Brady (-159) vs. Leon Edwards (+139)

There is no denying the fact that Sean Brady (17-1) is a good fighter and that he has major motivation to parlay his bout with Leon Edwards (22-4) into a title shot. However, this is a sharp contrast of styles that probably benefits Edwards the most.

Brady wants this fight to go to the ground, and Edwards wants to keep it on the feet. If Edwards has his way, we know Brady (3 KOs) isn’t going to knock him out, and he obviously also won’t be able to submit him. I also think this one favors Edwards if it’s a war of attrition.

It’s never easy to bet against a solid fighter like Brady, but Edwards is just one year older, has a height and reach advantage (2 inches), and is the more dangerous striker. Edwards has also never been finished and offers more betting value as the +139 underdog.

Bet: Leon Edwards (+139)

Carlos Ulberg (-305) vs. Jan Blachowicz (+255)

I don’t want to bet against a former champion in Jan Blachowicz (29-10) that has dominant finishing ability, but the reality is he is now 42 and has gone just 1-2-1 over his last five fights.

Obviously you’re getting an insane price with Blachowicz, and there’s major risk of FOMO if he shows up looking like the guy who TKO’d Aleksandar Rakic just two years ago. However, he is running into a really dangerous fighter at the wrong stage of his career. Carlos Ulbger (12-1) is an absolute menace (7 knockouts) and he keeps taking out whoever the UFC slides in front of him.

Ulberg doesn’t have the experience or seasoned skill-set of someone like Jan, but age is not just a number in mixed martial arts. I think Ulberg stands a really good chance to get a KO here and cement his status as one of the most dangerous UFC fighters on the circuit.

Bet: Carlos Ulberg (-305)

Gunnar Nelson (-119) vs. Kevin Holland (-101)

There was a time when I’d never think to bet against Kevin Holland. He’s as brash as they come, but he used to be able to back it up (22 wins by stoppage). That hasn’t really been the case lately – at least on a consistent basis – as he’s just 3-6 over his last nine fights.

That said, I like the value here with Holland (26-13), as he is the much more lethal striker in comparison to Gunnar Nelson (19-5-1), and he’s four years younger. In addition, he can more than hold his own on the canvas, and his 9-inch reach edge should help him quite a bit.

Nelson is a threat and Holland’s shaky form has some skeptical, but he’s the better striker. If he can keep this fight on the feed, I love his chances to win, and a KO isn’t out of the question.

Bet: Kevin Holland (-101)

Alexia Thainara (-180) vs. Molly McCann (+155)

Molly McCann (14-7) is a big name in the UFC as far as the women’s division goes, but she’s 34 now and is running into a pretty dangerous prospect in Alexia Thainara (11-1).

McCann has had her moments in MMA, but she’s clearly regressed and has gone just 1-3 over her last four fights. Meatball has the ability to grind her opponent to a pulp, but we really haven’t seen her do it in a couple of years now.

Odds are she won’t do it against Thainara, who is riding a nine-fight winning streak and keeps racking up submissions. Don’t be shocked if she makes McCann tap for the fourth time in her career.

Bet: Alexia Thainara (-180)

Jordan Vucenic (-400) vs. Chris Duncan (+300)

Vucenic (13-3) comes in as a huge favorite thanks to being a little younger and having a mild reach advantage. Oh, and he’s a terror on the mat (6 submissions). He didn’t get it done in his UFC debut, but a Decision loss to Guram Kutateladze is nothing to be ashamed of.

Duncan is a respectable fighter with a solid skill-set, and actually grades out as the superior striker (7 KOs), but if this fight goes to the ground, it’s nighty night.

Vucenic was on fire and got edged out by a good fighter. I expect him to bounce back and remind the UFC why they took a chance on him in the first place.

Bet: Jordan Vucenic (-400)

Morgan Charriere (-160) vs. Nathaniel Wood (+140)

The last fight of the UFC FN 255 main card pits Morgan Charriere (20-10-1) against Nathaniel Wood (20-6). These are two experienced fighters, but Charriere is simply more dangerous (12 KOs).

Charriere is the favorite and certainly has not been in bad form. He KO’d Gabriel Miranda last September, and has been crushing it lately with five wins over his last six bouts. It’s fair to say Wood is a bit more well-rounded, but he’s been vulnerable to big hitters in the past. Give me the KO upside with Charriere.

Bet: Morgan Charriere (-160)

UFC Fight Night 255 Preliminary Card Odds

Check out the latest UFC Fight Night 255 odds for the Preliminary Card.

UFC FN FavoriteUFC FN UnderdogUFC FN Prediction
Jai Herbert (-115)Chris Padilla (-105)Chris Padilla (-105)
Lone’Er Kavanagh (-300)Felipe dos Santos (+250)Felipe dos Santos (+250)
Mick Parkin (-125)Marcin Tybura (+105)Mick Parkin (-125)
Christian Leroy Duncan (-550)Andrey Pulyaev (+420)Christian Leroy Duncan (-550)
Shauna Bannon (-179)Puja Tomar (+154)Shauna Bannon (-179)
Nathan Fletcher (-125)Caolan Loughran (-105)Nathan Fletcher (-125)
Guram Kutateladze (-450)Kaue Fernandes (+350)Garum Kutateladze (-450)

Much like the main card for this event, we have several evenly matched bouts. Guram Kutateladze and Christian Leroy Duncan are the biggest favorites, but every other match is going to be tough to call.

We get some big names on this one, with Chris Padilla and Marcin Tybura coming in as mild underdogs, while Mick Parkin hopes to stay undefeated.

Use my fight picks in the table above, or read on for a bit more data and analysis to back each UFC Fight Night 255 pick up.

UFC Fight Night 255 Predictions For The Preliminary Card

The UFC Fight Night 255 Prelims will roll out at 3:00 pm EST.

Jai Herbert (-115) vs. Chris Padilla (-105)

The Prelims have a nice little undercard, starting with this potentially explosive battle between Jai Herbert (13-5) and Chris Padilla (15-6). Herbert has historically been a handful (9 KOs), but his recent form (3-4-1) has been a bit suspect, and he hasn’t finished anyone since 2021.

He’s the much older fighter here, as Padilla is seven years younger and grades out as the more impactful and more accurate striker. Padilla is equally imposing (13 wins by stoppage) and is riding high with five straight wins behind him.

This one should be close, but I lean Padilla and wouldn’t be shocked if this one ended early.

Bet: Chris Padilla (-105)

Lone’Er Kavanagh (-300) vs. Felipe dos Santos (+250)

We get a perfect record on the line in this one, as Lone’Er Kavanagh is 8-0 and looking to stay unbeaten when he battles Felipe dos Santos (8-2). These are two young fighters looking to make a name for themselves, and they also boast solid striking numbers.

My lean is for dos Santos to stage the upset. He’s definitely going up against a dangerous fighter, but Felipe is lethal in his own right and owns a three-inch reach and height advantage here. I think that could prove to be the difference, plus his +250 price tag is awesome.

Bet: Felipe dos Santos (+250)

Mick Parkin (-125) vs. Marcin Tybura (+105)

Another undefeated fighter will put his record on the line at UFC Fight Night 255, when Mick Parkin (10-0) takes on Marcin Tybura. Parkin (6 KOs) has been pretty impressive so far, going 4-0 to start his UFC career.

It’s fair to suggest Parkin hasn’t run into much of a challenge yet, and Tybura (26-9) could present that, even at age 39. Tybura is much more experienced and could still pose a threat here, but Parkin is on the rise and is 10 years younger.

The striking numbers favor Tybura in accuracy, but Parkin lands 4.91 significant strikes per minute and has a slight reach edge.

Bet: Mick Parkin (-125)

Christian Leroy Duncan (-550) vs. Andrey Pulyaev (-420)

Andrey Pulyaev (9-2) is a massive underdog when he takes on Christiaj Leroy Duncan (10-2). These guys are virtually the same age with no real height advantage, but Duncan is arguably the much more skilled fighter.

On top of being able to win in a multitude of ways, Duncan is quicker on his feet and more explosive. The price gap is obscene, but Duncan is the way to go here. I’d probably hunt down a KO bet before taking the -550 line, however.

Bet: Christian Leroy Duncan (-550)

Shauna Bannon (-179) vs. Puja Tomar (+154)

Shauna Bannon (6-1) will hope to avoid her second career loss when she takes on Puka Tomar (9-4). She hasn’t displayed elite finishing ability (2 KOs), but the sample size is small and she’s also proven to be quite tough.

If this one goes the distance, which it probably will, it’s likely Bannon just inflicts a bunch of damage and wins that way. She’s still live to get the KO here, too. Her massive reach edge here (6 inches) is going to help her out a lot here.

Bet: Shauna Bannon (-179)

Nathan Fletcher (-125) vs. Caolan Loughran (-105)

Next up is Nathan Fletcher (9-1), who will be favored when he battles Caolan Loughran (9-2). He will want this fight to go to the ground (7 submissions), and he’s shown he can be vulnerable on the feet.

He did impress in his UFC debut with a submission win over Zygimantas Ramaska, and I suspect that is the likely outcome for him getting a win against Loughran. A two-inch reach edge should help him in that regard, but he does have to worry about Caolan’s explosiveness.

Loughran has 5 knockouts to his name and could always surprise here, but his recent form (1-2 over his last three fights) isn’t super inspiring.

Bet: Nathan Fletcher (-125)

Guram Kutateladze (-450) vs. Kaue Fernandes (+350)

Lastly, we have Guram Kutateladze (13-4), who is a huge favorite to win when he faces Kaue Fernandes (9-2). Kutateladze is just 1-2 over his last three fights, but he did bounce back in a Decision win over Jordan Vucenic last August.

Kutateladze has 7 KOs to his name and is a dangerous fighter, and he’ll come into this one with more impactful striking numbers. The accuracy goes to Kaue, of course, who has a slight reach edge and has seven wins via stoppage.

He’s just 1-1 inside the UFC so far and is simply running into a more skilled and slightly more dangerous opponent.

Bet: Garum Kutateladze (-450)

The Best UFC Fight Night Picks

The following is our best UFC Fight Night picks for this weekend’s event:

  • Leon Edwards (+139)
  • Carlos Ulberg (-305)
  • Mick Parkin (-125)

Edwards is still very good and the fact that we get him at underdog money in a main event is wild. Sean Brady is good, but I think Edwards is the better fighter still.

Ulberg has a tough out in front of him in Jan, but he has monstrous upside and elite finishing ability. I think he can get a KO here.

Mick Parkin is probably going to stay undefeated. He has massive upside and isn’t really priced correctly when considering he’s undefeated and showing a lot of promise, either.

UFC Fight Night 255 Card

Check out the updated UFC Fight Night fight card:

UFC FN FavoriteUFC FN UnderdogUFC FN Prediction
Sean Brady (-159)Leon Edwards (+139)Leon Edwards (+139)
Carlos Ulberg (-305)Jan Blachowicz (+255)Carlos Ulberg (-305)
Gunnar Nelson (-119)Kevin Holland (-101)Kevin Holland (-101)
Alexia Thainara (-180)Molly McCann (+155)Alexia Thainara (-180)
Jordan Vucenic (-400)Chris Duncan (+300)Jordan Vucenic (-400)
Morgan Charriere (-160)Nathaniel Wood (+140)Morgan Charriere (-160)
Jai Herbert (-115)Chris Padilla (-105)Chris Padilla (-105)
Lone’Er Kavanagh (-300)Felipe dos Santos (+250)Felipe dos Santos (+250)
Mick Parkin (-125)Marcin Tybura (+105)Mick Parkin (-125)
Christian Leyor Duncan (-550)Andrey Pulyaev (-420)Christian Leroy Duncan (-550)
Shauna Bannon (-179)Puja Tomar (+154)Shauna Bannon (-179)
Nathan Fletcher (-125)Caolan Loughran (-105)Nathan Fletcher (-125)
Guram Kutateladze (-450)Kaue Fernandes (+350)Garum Kutateladze (-450)

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