UFC on ESPN 60 Lemos vs. Jandiroba Odds and Predictions

On Saturday, July 20, the UFC returns to Las Vegas for UFC on ESPN 60: Lemos vs. Jandiroba, also known as UFC Fight Night Vegas 94 or UFC Vegas 94. This event, which takes place at the UFC Apex, features a Top 5 women’s strawweight battle in the main event as #3 Amanda Lemos battles #5 Virna Jandiroba. 

In total, UFC on ESPN 60 has 12 bouts scheduled for Saturday’s event. Both the Main Card and the Preliminary Card are set to feature six bouts each. 

Let’s step inside the betting octagon to examine the latest UFC on ESPN 60 odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our UFC Fight Night Vegas 94 predictions.

UFC on ESPN 60 Odds

The following UFC on ESPN 60 odds are for the main card only:

UFC on ESPN 60 Main Card Predictions

The following UFC on ESPN 60 predictions are for the Main Card, which begins at 8pm ET live on ESPN+ and ESPN. All fighter stats are courtesy of Sherdog, while all fighter measurements are courtesy of UFC’s official site:  

Bill Algeo (-175) vs. Dooho Choi (+145)

The featherweight fight between Bill Algeo (18-8) and Dooho Choi (14-4-1) is expected to open up the Main Card of UFC on ESPN 60. And, fight fans are in for a treat as these two men are going to bring the fireworks.

Choi returned to the UFC in February 2023, after a three-year hiatus. That bout ended in a majority draw against Kyle Nelson. The draw snapped a three fight losing streak. Choi has a 3-3-1 record in the UFC as he made his debut in November 2014. 

Algeo also had an unpleasant result with Nelson in his last fight, as he lost via 1^st round TKO in March 2024. The loss snapped a two fight winning streak and dropped his UFC record to 5-4 since debuting with the promotion in the summer of 2020. 

Both men like to bring the pain with Algeo’s calculated striking and Choi’s brawling style. So, this bout will most likely come down to one of two outcomes: a Choi TKO/KO win or an Algeo decision victory. 

Algeo has a bit more of an all-around fight game and can go to the mat if he finds himself in trouble via striking with Choi. He has better grappling skills than Choi and that’s always a card he can play if needed or if the opportunity arises. Choi has the power advantage and could end this fight with a TKO/KO if Algeo isn’t careful. Some critics question Algeo’s chin after the Nelson fight. 

Because Algeo only has one TKO/KO loss, and Choi hasn’t won since 2016, I’m going to lean towards “Senor Perfecto” to pick up the decision victory. Take this fight to go Over 2.5 rounds (-190) and to go the full distance (-175). 

Bet: Bill Algeo (-175), Over 2.5 Rounds (-190), Fight Goes The Distance (-175)

Cody Durden (-125) vs. Bruno Silva (+105)

This flyweight clash features the #14 ranked Cody Durden (16-5-1) taking on the returning Bruno Silva (13-5-2).

Durden has been with the UFC for four years now and has produced a record of 5-3-1 with the promotion. The former amateur wrestler lost in his last fight to Taig Ulanbekov via 2^nd round submission. It was the third submission loss of his UFC tenure and the fifth of his career. The loss to Ulanbekov last December also snapped a four fight winning streak.

Silva hasn’t competed in 16 months, but rolls into this weekend’s contest on a three fight winning streak. He is 3-2 with 1 NC in the UFC. He also lost to Ulanbekov in October 2020, via decision. 

Durden has a high takedown rate and will lean on that in this contest. I expect the bout to go to the mat due to one of these takedowns and because Silva will welcome a grappling exchange. Silva has the edge in BJJ and will be able to take advantage of Durden and one of his exposed limbs.

16 of their combined 39 fights have gone the distance, which means that 23 have ended via finish. I see a stoppage victory in this contest as well. Durden has seen nine of his pro fights end via submission with four of those being losses. Silva is 4-1 in five fights that have ended via submission. 

Sure, there’s a scenario where these two grapple until time expires. But, the longer it goes on the mat, the more it favors Silva in my opinion. Take this bout to end inside the distance (+155). Avoid the O/U of 2.5 rounds as it could be a quick finish or a last-second stoppage. 

Bet: Bruno Silva (+105)

Kurt Holobaugh (+110) vs. Kaynan Kruschewsky (-130) 

The 37-year-old Kurt Holobaugh (20-8) takes on the 33-year-old Kaynan Kruschewsky (15-2) in this lightweight bout. 

Holobaugh lost three straight fights in his first UFC stint and was bounced from the promotion. However, the veteran fighter showed grit and determination by winning TUF 31 lightweight and earning another shot with the UFC. 

He would go on to beat Austin Hubbard via 2^nd round submission in August 2023. That victory extended his win streak to three fights in a row. Unfortunately, that streak was ended in March when Trey Ogden picked up the decision victory. 

For Kruschewsky, he rode a six fight unbeaten streak to the DWCS where he beat Dylan Mantello via 1^st round submission in September 2023. He would then take a short-notice fight roughly six weeks later and lost via 1^st round KO to Elves Brenner. 

I really don’t have much confidence in either fighter for this matchup. Both men have significant holes in their games, which can be exploited in this matchup. The wager I like the most for this bout is the fight to end inside the distance at -190 odds. 

Combined, these two men have only gone the distance in 10 of their 47 total fights. Kruschewsky hasn’t gone the distance in four years. His last six bouts have ended via stoppage. For Holobaugh, minus the overturned fight results, eight of his last 10 bouts have ended via stoppage. 

Between the two men, I am leaning towards Holobaugh to win via stoppage. Not because I’m confident in the American, but more so because he offers the better value in this matchup. 

Bet: Kurt Holobaugh (+110), Fight Ends Inside The Distance (-190)

Seungwoo Choi (+130) vs. Steve Garcia (-150)

This featherweight bout is going to be a banger between Seungwoo Choi (11-6) and Steve Garcia (15-5) as both men are avid strikers with the ability to end fights early. 

Choi joined the UFC in April 2019, but lost his debut to Movsar Evloev via decision. He dropped his second fight, three months later, to Gavin Tucker via 3^rd round submission. Choi would then get into the win column with three straight victories. The most notable victory over that span was a 1^st round KO over Julian Erosa in June 2021.

Unfortunately, the good times came to a crashing halt as the Korean fighter lost his next three fights with two coming by way of stoppage. Choi last fought in August 2023, and beat Jarno Errens via decision. Choi is now 4-5 in the UFC. 

After stints in numerous promotions like Bellator and LFA, Garcia picked up a 1^st round TKO win on DWCS in August 2019. However, he wouldn’t make his UFC debut until February 2020, where he lost to Luis Pena via decision. He would alternate wins and losses over the next two fights before going on his current three-fight winning streak. 

Over this streak, Garcia has won all three fights via TKO/KO including victories over Chase Hooper and most recently Melquizael Costa last December. Saturday’s clash is his first bout of 2024. 

The Over/Under is set at 1.5 rounds. That’s a bit tricky as these two men could land a knockout in the first round or it could take some wear and tear before the finish comes in the latter portions of this fight. The odds heavily favor this fight finishing inside the distance at -500, and I agree. 

As for the winner, I like Garcia in this matchup. Both men are very capable of winning, but Choi has a more wild, brawling type of offense where Garcia can be more measured and technical. I think this approach will bode well as he finds his opening and picks apart Choi until securing a TKO/KO victory.

Choi has two TKO/KO losses in his career with the most recent one coming in November 2022. 12 of Garcia’s 15 pro wins have come via TKO/KO. 

Bet: Steve Garcia (-150), Fight Ends Inside The Distance (-500), Garcia Wins Via TKO/KO (+120)

Junyong Park (-175) vs. Brad Tavares (+150)

This middleweight bout of Junyong Park (17-6) vs. Brad Tavares (20-9) will serve as the co-main event of the night. 

Tavares has been with the UFC for 14 years now and continues to be a steady, consistent fighter despite never cracking the Top 10 or contending for the middleweight title. He’s also just 1-3 in his last four bouts with two of those losses coming via TKO/KO. 

Tavares last fought in February 2024, and lost to Gregory Rodrigues via 3^rd round TKO. Going back further, he’s just 3-5 in his last eight bouts over the last six years. Tavares appears to be more of a fighter that rising stars use as a stepping stone. For example, Adesanya, Shahbazyan, and Du Plessis all steamrolled Tavares over the last few years, and made their way up the rankings to contend for the title.

I love the nickname “The Iron Turtle.” In fact, it’s one of my favorite nicknames in all of sports. Park lost his UFC debut in August 2019, via 2^nd round submission to Anthony Hernandez. He bounced back with three wins in a row before also losing to Gregory Rodrigues via 2^nd round KO. 

Since that loss, Park has gone 4-1, but did come out on the wrong side of a split decision result against Andre Muniz last December. I still believe he won that fight. That defeat snapped a four fight winning streak. Park is 7-3 inside the octagon for his career. 

This weekend, I expect The Iron Turtle to pick up his eighth win in the UFC. The man has never lost two fights in a row for his career. 

With that said, I’m leaning towards this fight going the full three rounds. Tavares has never been finished via submission, which Park tends to lean on when beating more reputable opponents. Tavares should be able to keep this fight upright for the most part. Either way, the winner will have to grind out the victory here, as it won’t be easy for either man. 

I’m taking The Iron Turtle to win this fight even though Tavares is a live dog due to the matchup of styles. For those wanting to be more aggressive, take Tavares in an upset. For those who love the name Iron Turtle, take Park to win via decision. 

Bet: Junyong Park (-175), Fight Goes The Distance (-190), Over 2.5 Rounds (-215)

Amanda Lemos (+110) vs. Virna Jandiroba (-130)

This Top 5 strawweight battle features the #3 Amanda Lemos (14-3-1) battling the #5 Virna Jandiroba (20-3) with a potential title shot on the line. Champion Zhang Weili is currently without an opponent for her next fight, which means this main event bout could serve as a #1 contender’s contest if the winner does so in impressive fashion. 

Lemos might be ranked higher, but she is the underdog for this contest. She’s 8-3 in the UFC with her last bout coming in February, where she beat Mackenzie Dern via decision. Lemos is 3-1 in her last four bouts. The lone defeat over that span was a five-round decision loss to Weli in August 2023. She would love to get a rematch against Zhang.

Jandiroba is 6-3 in the UFC, but comes into this weekend riding a three-fight winning streak. She last fought in march and beat Lupita Godinez via decision. All three of those wins over that span have come via decision. 

Between the two combatants, Lemos is the better striker and Jandiroba is the better grappler with a dangerous top game. So, we have a striker vs. grappler battle that I think will favor the striker this weekend. 

Lemos was able to survive on the ground against a feared grappler in Dern, which gives me hope and confidence that she can do the same with Jandiroba. 

This is Jandiroba’s first five-round bout. Additionally, she’s fought inferior opponents compared to Lemos. Where Jandiroba lost to Dern, Lemos beat her. They both recently fought Marina Rodriguez and Lemos starched her for a 3^rd round TKO/KO. Jandiroba won via decision. 

So, the question here is whether or not Jandiroba can get the fight to the mat and find the finish or avoid a late round stoppage via TKO/KO. 

I don’t see Jandiroba surviving five rounds with the striking prowess of Lemos. Although she was outclassed by Weili last year, Jandiroba isn’t even close to Zhang’s level. I’m taking Lemos to pick up a late round TKO/KO. 

Bet: Amanda Lemos (+110), Fight Does Not Go The Distance (-180), Lemos Via TKO/KO (+200)

UFC on ESPN 60 Preliminary Card Predictions

The following UFC on ESPN 60 predictions are for the Preliminary Card, which begins at 5pm ET live on ESPN+ and ESPN2.  

Thomas Petersen (+115) vs. Mohammed Usman (-135)

The UFC on ESPN 60 event is set to open with this heavyweight showdown between Thomas Petersen (8-2) and Mohammed Usman (10-3).

Petersen comes from the LFA where he went 5-1 before scoring a shot on DWCS in August 2023. He beat Chandler Cole via 2^nd round submission and earned a chance in the UFC. Unfortunately, he lost his octagon debut in February via decision to Jamal Pogues. 

Usman joined the UFC two years ago and beat Zac Pauga via 2^nd round KO in his debut. He followed that up with two consecutive decision victories over Junior Tafa and Jake Collier. Usman last fought in March and lost via decision to Michael Parkin, which snapped a three fight winning streak. 

Both men are about the same size, but Usman has a five-inch reach and three inch leg reach advantage. For two fighters who love to strike, those reach advantages should come into play for Usman. 

I see this bout ending inside the distance (+155) and going Under 2.5 rounds (+170). In his 10 pro fights, Petersen has only gone the distance once. Eight of his 10 bouts have ended via TKO/KO. Although six of Usman’s 13 pro fights have gone the distance, he does have 4 TKO/KO wins. 

I’m taking Usman to pick up a fifth career TKO/KO victory this weekend as he gets back into the win column at UFC on ESPN 60. 

Bet: Mohammed Usman (-135), Fight Ends Inside The Distance (+155)

Luana Carolina (-120) vs. Lucie Pudilova (+100)

Luana Carolina (10-4) is moving up in weight to compete against Lucie Pudilova (14-9) for this featherweight clash. Ironically, Pudilova is dropping down from bantamweight for this contest.  

Carolina enters this clash having won two straight fights, which both were also in Las Vegas. She beat Ivana Petrovic via decision in July 2023. In February 2024, she beat Julija Stoliarenko via 3^rd round TKO with just eight seconds left in the fight. 

These two victories improved Carolina’s octagon record to 5-3 overall. She debuted in May 2019, when she beat Priscila Cachoeira via decision. Carolina earned this opportunity with an August 2018, victory over Mabelly Lima on DWCS. 

For Pudilova, she’s currently in her second stint with the UFC. Her first stint spanned from March 2017 to January 2020. Over that stretch, she went 2-5 and was bounced from the promotion after losing four consecutive bouts. 

After a nice run in Oktagon MMA, Pudilova returned in August 2022, and beat Yanan Wu via 2^nd round TKO. Unfortunately, she’s dropped two fights in a row since then. Both losses came via decision as she was defeated by Joselyne Edwards in April 2023, and Ailin Perez in November 2023. This is her first bout since the Perez loss. 

These two women are similar in overall skillset, but Carolina is slightly better in most fight aspects like takedown defense, grappling and striking. I expect Carolina to dictate the pace of this fight and control her opponent whether it’s standing or on the mat. 

Take this bout to go Over 2.5 rounds (-400) and the full distance (-350). 17 of Pudilova’s 23 pro fights have gone the distance including nine of her last 10 bouts. Seven of Carolina’s last 10 bouts have gone the distance. Once with the judges, I like Carolina to win via decision due to landing more strikes and takedowns. 

Bet: Luana Carolina (-120), Over 2.5 rounds (-400), Fight Goes The Distance (-350)

Trey Ogden (-110) vs. Loik Radzhabov (-110)

Many MMA betting sites have Trey Ogden (17-6) and Loik Radzhabov (18-5-1) listed at similar odds for this lightweight clash. 

Ogden has had quite the journey getting to the UFC after fighting in numerous promotions around the world including LFA and Bellator. He eventually made his UFC debut in April 2022, where he lost via split decision to Jordan Leavitt. 

Since then, Ogden has alternated between wins and losses. His most recent contest was a decision victory over Kurt Holobaugh in March. Three of his four UFC bouts have ended via decision. His November 2023 clash against Nikolas Motta was heading that direction until a premature stoppage, which led to a No Contest ruling. 

Radzhabov spent a good chunk of his MMA career in PFL before landing with the UFC in March 2023. He was successful in his octagon debut with a decision win over Esteban Ribovics. Unfortunately, he dropped his next fight via 2^nd round TKO against Mateusz Rebecki. His most recent contest was in March where he won via 3^rd round KO over Abudl-Kareem-Ao-Selwady. 

This is a tough fight to predict. I can see why oddsmakers had a hard time picking a betting favorite. With that said, I’m leaning towards Radzhabov to pick up the victory. Radzhabov has the striking power to turn this fight in his favor and he has enough of a ground game to avoid a submission hold from Ogden, who has seen 14 of his fights end via submission. 

I like for this bout to go Over 2.5 rounds (-230) and the full distance (-190). I think Radzhabov picks up the win by landing more significant strikes than Ogden. For Ogden, his last four bouts have gone the distance. Radzhabov has seen 10 of his 23 pro bouts go the distance. 

Bet: Loik Radzhabov (-110), Over 2.5 Rounds (-230), Fight Goes The Distance (-190)

Dione Barbosa (+170) vs. Miranda Maverick (-200)

This women’s flyweight bout features the largest disparity in UFC odds as Dione Barbosa (7-2) is the sizable underdog against Miranda Maverick (13-5). In fact, this bout was supposed to be Maverick vs. Tracy Cortez, but the latter was rebooked for the main event fight against Rose Namajunas at UFC on ESPN 59 last weekend. 

Barbosa made an appearance on DWCS last September, and won via 1^st round submission against Rainn Guerrero. That earned her a contract with the UFC and she made good on it with a decision win over Ernesta Kareckaite in May. The Brazilian is riding a four fight winning streak into this weekend’s contest. 

After a solid run with Invicta FC, Maverick made her UFC debut in October 2020. She won her first two fights over Liana Jojua and Gillian Robertson, before dropping her next two bouts. Since then, Maverick has gone 4-1 in the UFC, to bring her overall octagon record to 6-3. 

She’s riding a two fight winning streak with a 3^rd round submission win over Priscila Cachoeira in July 2023, and a decision win over Andrea Lee in February. 

Both women appear to be capable grapplers, so I don’t see either picking up the submission win. Instead, this bout should go the full three rounds (yes). Five of Barbosa’s eight pro fights have gone the distance. 10 of Maverick’s 18 pro fights have gone the distance including six of her last eight bouts. 

Barbosa is the bigger fighter of the two, but Maverick lands more punches per minute at 3.8 to 2.2. I think this is going to be a big factor with the judges, along with scoring a takedown or two. Bet on Maverick to win via decision.  

Bet: Miranda Maverick (-200), Over 2.5 Rounds (-325), Fight Goes The Distance (-300), Maverick Wins Via Decision (-125)

Cody Gibson (-190) vs. Brian Kelleher (+165)

This bantamweight clash features two MMA veterans who combine for 68 total fights as Cody Gibson (19-10) battles Brian Kelleher (24-15). Both men are coming off losses and looking to get a much-needed victory.

Brian “Boom” Kelleher returned to the octagon last December, after an 18-month hiatus. Unfortunately, things didn’t change for the veteran as he suffered a 1^st round KO loss to Cody Garbrandt. It was the third straight loss for Kelleher, with all three of those defeats coming via stoppage. 

Boom hasn’t won since January 2022, when he beat Kevin Croom via decision. He hasn’t scored a victory via stoppage since September 2020, when he beat Ray Rodriguez via 1^st round submission. 

Cody Gibson made his first run with the UFC in 2014-15. Unfortunately, it ended with a 1-3 record and an exit from the promotion. After picking up victories across numerous promotions, Gibson made his way back to the UFC last year. 

Like his first run, this second stint hasn’t gone well either. He’s lost both of his UFC fights via decision with the first coming against Brad Katona 11 months ago and the second fight coming against Miles Johns in March. 

I don’t have a lot of confidence in either fighter at this point in their respective careers. With that said, I have to give the edge to Gibson in this contest. He’s four inches taller and has a five-inch reach advantage along with a three-inch leg reach advantage. 

Considering that both men throw about the same number of punches per fight, I see Gibson’s reach advantages coming into play as he should find success at fighting from a distance. He’s also slightly more athletic than Boom. 

I like this fight to go Over 1.5 rounds (-175). However, despite Kelleher losing his last three contests via stoppage, I see this bout going the full three rounds (+115) as long as Gibson can stay out of any trouble on the mat. Boom does have 10 submission wins. 

14 of Gibson’s 29 pro fights have gone the distance including four of his last five bouts. Gibson should pick up the victory via points as he lands more strikes and stuffs more takedowns. Kelleher has only been stopped via TKO/KO on two occasions. 

Bet: Cody Gibson (-190)

Hyder Amil (+155) vs. Jeong Yeong Lee (-180)

The featured bout of the prelims is a featherweight fight between two active strikers in Hyder Amil (9-0) and Jeong Yeong Lee (11-1).

Amil parlayed a 3-0 stint with Bellator and a 3-0 stint with LFA to get an appearance on DWCS in August 2023. He won that fight via decision over Emrah Sonmez. He made his official octagon debut in February and beat Fernie Garcia via 2^nd round TKO. Six of his nine pro wins have come via stoppage with five by way of TKO/KO. 

Lee is the winner of the first season of Road to UFC and earned his spot with the promotion. He last fought in February and beat Blake Bilder via decision. Lee is on an eight fight winning streak and has seven victories via stoppage over his career. 

This is going to be an exciting fight with plenty of fireworks. Will either man find the TKO/KO or are we going the full three rounds? 

Oddsmakers aren’t sure of the outcome either. The Over/Under of 2.5 rounds is set at -115 for each option. The fight going the distance is set at +110 odds, with the fight ending inside the distance only listed at -140 odds. 

I think both men are very skilled inside the octagon and, since neither have been stopped in their careers, I’m taking this bout to go the full three rounds. I expect Lee to get out to a healthy lead on the scorecards before Amil finishes strong. Unfortunately, it won’t be enough to win this bout. Lee will walk away from this weekend’s contest with a decision win. 

Bet: Jeong Yeong Lee (-180)

UFC on ESPN 60 Fight Card