2025 UFL Week 5 Odds, Predictions and Schedule

By:

Rick Bouch

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UFL

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We hit the midpoint of the 2025 UFL season as teams prepare for Week 5 this Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. Four teams, two in each division, are sitting at 3-1. Defending UFL champion Birmingham and rival Michigan sit atop the USFL Division. Arlington and DC are tied for the lead in the XFL Division setting up this week’s premier game.

The Renegades and Defenders will face each other in Arlington on Sunday. The winner will take control of the XFL Division and control its destiny in the battle for the 2025 UFL championship. The two teams will meet again in Week 8.

Memphis is still the only winless team in the league. The Showboats don’t do much of anything right. They average just 12.5 points per game on offense and they allow opponents 22.0 points per game on defense. Unfortunately for the Showboats, they will pack up and travel the 245 miles down I-22 to Birmingham to face the 3-1 Stallions.

Let’s get in the huddle once again and take a strong look at the latest UFL Week 5 odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites. Then, we can make our UFL Week 5 predictions.

UFL TV Schedule for Week 5

Football fans that need their spring football fix can tune in and watch all four UFL games this weekend. FOX and ESPN will broadcast all four games as seen below.

  • Friday, April 25: Memphis @ Birmingham, 8:00PM on FOX
  • Saturday, April 26: Michigan @ St. Louis, 7:00PM on ESPN/ESPN+
  • Sunday, April 27: DC @ Arlington, 12:00PM on ESPN/ESPN+
  • Sunday, April 27: Houston @ San Antonio, 3:00PM on ESPN/ESPN+

UFL Week 5 Schedule

DateTime (ET)Road Team OddsHome Team Odds
Friday, April 258:00 PMMemphis (+470)Birmingham (-650)
Saturday, April 267:00 PMMichigan (-122)St. Louis (+102)
Saturday, April 2612:00 PMDC (+154)Arlington (-185)
Sunday, April 273:00 PMHouston (+150)San Antonio (-180)

UFL Week 5 Predictions

Let’s take a look at the full Week 5 slate of matchups and make our spread, total, and moneyline picks for each game.

Memphis Showboats vs. Birmingham Stallions Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Memphis Showboats+470+10.5 (-110)O 37.5 (-110)
Birmingham Stallions-650-10.5 (-110)U 37.5 (-110)

Birmingham is 3-1 SU but just 1-3 ATS this season. Only one Stallions game has gone Over the total. The Birmingham defense is allowing just 13.8 points per game this season. That ranks second in the UFL.

The same is true for Memphis. The Showboats are 0-4 SU, but they have only covered the spread once. That was in an 18-17 Week 3 loss to Houston. The Over has cashed just once in a Memphis game this season.

Birmingham will continue to rely on QB Matt Corral who has thrown for 648 yards and four touchdowns this season. He could do a better job with his accuracy. Corral is completing just 53.7 percent of his passes and he has tossed four interceptions.

For Memphis, EJ Perry has completed 60.5 percent of his passes for 503 yards. He only has two touchdowns and he’s thrown five picks. Perry has also rushed for 130 yards and a score. Somehow, Memphis has to put together some form of offense if they are going to have any chance of beating the Stallions.

Memphis Showboats vs. Birmingham Stallions Predictions

Beating the Stallions just isn’t likely. Last season, Birmingham spanked the Showboats in two games. The Stallions won 33-14 at home last year and 39-21 on the road. Don’t expect as much scoring this time around as both offenses leave a lot to be desired.

Birmingham only averages 16.3 points per game this year. The potential is there to make some big plays against a Memphis defense that does give up three scores-plus per game. The Showboats have yet to prove that they can hang with anyone other than Houston (1-3). Until they do, continue to fade Memphis.

Bet: ML pass, Birmingham -10.5 (-110), Under 37.5 (-110)

Michigan Panthers vs. St. Louis Battlehawks Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Michigan Panthers-122NAO 37.5 (-110)
St. Louis Battlehawks+102NAU 37.5 (-110)

Michigan is also 3-1 but does not hold the tiebreaker against Birmingham. The Stallions beat the Panthers 21-12 in Week 2 of the season. The Panthers are 2-2 ATS, covering as the favorite twice.

Bryce Perkins is proving to be one of the better quarterbacks in the UFL. He’s completing 69 percent of his passes and he has 688 yards and four touchdowns. His top target is Siaosi Mariner who has 12 receptions for 171 yards.

Michigan does like to run the football and RB Nate McCrary has 161 yards with one touchdown so far this season. The Panthers are the top-scoring team (22.8 ppg) in the UFL.

On the other side, St. Louis is 2-2 SU and ATS on the season. The Battlehawks are actually No. 2 in scoring in the UFL behind Michigan. St. Louis averages 21.8 points per game. The Battlehawks defense has had some issues. They allow 18 points per game and have given up the second-most points in the UFL Division.

There is no question what St. Louis will do on offense – run the football! The Battlehawks lead the league in rushing with 151 yards per game. Jacob Saylors is the league’s leading rusher with 206 yards and four touchdowns. Teammate Jarveon Howard is ninth in the league (135 yards, 1 TD) and averages 5.2 yards per carry.

Michigan Panthers vs. St. Louis Battlehawks Predictions

These two teams played a tight game last year in the opening game of the 2024 season. The Panthers won 18-16. The Battlehawks defense has given up 30 and 27 points in its last two weeks. That came after allowing just nine and six points in the first two weeks of the season.

The problem for St. Louis is that their first two games were against Houston and San Antonio, two teams that are currently 1-3. The last two weeks, the Battlehawks lost 27-15 to DC (3-1) and 30-15 to Arlington (3-1).

Michigan has the best offense in the UFL thus far. They should be able to put up points on St. Louis, but with the Hawks at home this is a prime upset spot.

Bet: St. Louis +102, Spread NA, Over 37.5 (-110)

DC Defenders vs. Arlington Renegades Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
DC Defenders+154+3.5 (-110)O 39.5 (-102)
Arlington Renegades-185-3.5 (-110)U 39.5 (-118)

Arlington has been the surprise of the UFL so far this season. They have the league’s best defense, allowing just 10.8 points per game. The Renegades are 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS. The one time the Renegades were favored by more than three points (3.5), they failed to cover.

DC has been a 3.5-point or more underdog twice this season. Both times, the defenders covered the spread. The winner of this game will take over sole possession of first place in the XFL Division.

The Arlington offense can get it done on the ground or through the air. Luis Perez, the leading passer in the UFL last year, is second this year with 732 passing yards and a league-leading 71.3 percent completion rate.

Renegades RB Kalen Ballage is second in the UFL in rushing with 197 yards. His teammate Dae Dae Hunter is sixth with 157 yards. Arlington has a ton of offensive talent and can beat you a number of ways.

The top quarterback in the league is Jordan Ta’amu who has six touchdown passes and three interceptions in four games. He’s only completing 49.6% of his throws, but he has a league-best 906 passing yards. His top receiver is Chris Rowland who has 15 receptions for 191 yards and one touchdown.

DC Defenders vs. Arlington Renegades Predictions

It’s showdown No. 1 between these two in 2025. As mentioned, the winner gets sole possession of first place in the XFL Division. The Renegades have several advantages, one being playing at home. Arlington is 3-0 SU at home this season.

The Renegades defense has been awesome at home, allowing just 11 points per game. DC’s strength is Ta’amu and the passing game, but Arlington is the best pass defense in the league. They’ve allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete just 46.8 percent of their passes this season.

Playing at home with the better defense, Arlington grabs first place in the division.

Bet: Arlington -185, Arlington -3.5 (-110), Under 39.5 (-118)

Houston Roughnecks vs. San Antonio Brahmas Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Houston Roughnecks+150+3.5 (-115)O 38.5 (-108)
San Antonio Brahmas-180-3.5 (-105)U 38.5 (-112)

San Antonio is just 1-3 SU but they are 2-2 ATS this season. The Brahmas have the worst defense in the UFL. They allow 25.8 points per game. As a result, the Over has cashed in three of San Antonio’s four games this season.

Kellen Mond leads the San Antonio offense. He has 562 passing yards. Mond only has two touchdowns, but he’s only thrown one interception. Anthony McFarland is the leading rusher with 196 yards.

Houston is also just 1-3 with the lone win over Memphis, the only winless team in the UFL. The Roughnecks are, however, 3-1 ATS this season when playing as an underdog of 3.5 or more.

The Roughnecks rank seventh in rushing and Zaquandre White is the team’s leading rusher with 82 yards. That’s just 27.3 per game. Houston will go up against the worst run defense in the league in San Antonio.

If the Brahmas can establish any sort of running game, it will help Mond in the passing game. Houston’s passing game leaves much to be desired. QB Nolan Henderson has just 183 passing yards and two touchdowns in four games.

Houston Roughnecks vs. San Antonio Brahmas Predictions

It’s a battle of UFL bottom feeders. Houston has one win in its previous 10 UFL games. That win, as mentioned, was against Memphis in Week 3 of this season. Memphis could very well go winless this season.

Houston doesn’t do much of anything on offense. The Roughnecks average just over 12 points per game. San Antonio isn’t much better. Both teams give up plenty of points. These are two of the worst defenses in the UFL.

Will these anemic offenses be able to move the football against bad defenses? Defense usually always has the edge, especially early in games. The books are expecting a tighter game. The advantage goes to the home team, but the hook prevents a cover.

Bet: San Antonio -180, Houston +3.5 (-115), Under 38.5 (-112)

UFL Week 5 Best Bets

Our UFL experts were off  their game last week with their UFL Week 4 picks. The best bets split as our experts did cash on the Arlington upset. This week our best handicappers have reviewed all the data and gone through each game to find the best picks. Here are what they believe are the best bets for Week 5.

  • Michigan @ St. Louis Over 37.5 (-110)
  • Houston @ San Antonio Under 38.5 (-112)

The Panthers are the top-scoring team in the UFL and the St. Louis’ defense has allowed 57 points over the last two weeks. Houston and San Antonio just struggle to score. The defenses aren’t great, but both teams lack firepower on offense.

We’ll play the Over in Michigan-St. Louis. A $110 bet wins $100. The Under bet on Houston-San Antonio pays $100 on a $112 bet or you could parlay the two into a single wager. Parlaying these two would give you odds of +261. That means a single $100 wager would pay out $261 if both of our legs cash.