The Best Victor Wembanyama Prop Bets, Odds, and Predictions

By:

Kody Miller

in

NBA

Last Updated on
sas logo

Industry’s Best

Handicapping Membership

The 2024-25 NBA season is on the horizon. Fortunately, it’s never too early to start getting those NBA bets placed. Top basketball betting sites have a host of betting lines already available for your perusal. That includes awards odds, NBA title odds, and, yes, player futures.

I don’t know about you, but I can’t wait to see what Victor Wembanyama has in store for his 2nd NBA campaign. The 7’4″ sensation took the league by storm as a rookie, and it’ll be fascinating to see how he improves in his second go-round this year. Dubbed a generational talent, the towering Frenchman has already set the league abuzz with his combination of size, athleticism, and versatility.

Given his rare talent, online sportsbooks are offering a variety of player props on Wembanyama’s performance this season. You can wager on whether Wemby take home any individual hardware, including MVP and Defensive Player of the Year. You can also put money down on whether he will achieve certain statistical milestones over the course of the campaign.

Below, I’ll break down my favorite Wembanyama prop bets as we prepare for the new season.

Victor Wembanyama Odds

Wembanyama BetOddsPrediction
To Win MVP+2000No
To Win Defensive Player of the Year-170Yes
To Lead the NBA in Rebounds per Game+750No
To Score 50+ Points in a Game+125Yes
To Record 25+ Rebounds in a Game+800Yes
To Block 12+ Shots in a Game+750Yes
To Record 6+ Triple-Doubles+1000Yes
To Record 1+ Quadruple-Doubles+1200Yes

Victor Wembanyama Predictions

Check out the following Victor Wembanyama prop bets and our analysis for one of the brightest NBA stars. We’ll continue to add more Victor Wembanyama props as we find ones that offer betting value, interest or entertainment.

Victor Wembanyama to Win MVP in 2024-25 Regular Season

  • Yes (+2000)
  • No (N/A)

Victor Wembanayama is listed at +2000 to win NBA MVP in just his 2nd year in the league. These odds are far more favorable than you’ll usually see for such an inexperienced player, but Wemby is a different beast, of course.

As a rookie, the France native averaged 21.4 points, 10.6 rebounds, 3.9 assists, 3.6 blocks, and 1.2 steals per game. He breezed his way to the Rookie of the Year award while finishing 2nd to Rudy Gobert in Defensive Player of the Year voting. Most rookies don’t come particularly close to averaging double-doubles. Remarkably, Wembanyama did so while averaging just 29.7 minutes per game for the season.

The Spurs monitored Wembanyama’s minutes for much of the season. Keeping him healthy without wearing him down was a top priority, but they loosened the reins on him as the year progressed. In March, Wemby averaged nearly 32 minutes per game. In April, his playing time average shot up to 35.8 minutes per night. We can’t reasonably expect San Antonio to trot him out there for 36 minutes per game moving forward, but I’d be stunned if his overall minutes didn’t rise considerably this year.

There’s no shortage of competition to win MVP, however. Luka Doncic (+370) will enter the year as the favorite to win the award, while all of Nikola Jokic, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jayson Tatum, Anthony Edwards, and Jalen Brunson have odds more favorable than Wembanyama’s.

All 7 of those players with more favorable MVP odds have something in common that Wemby doesn’t. Those guys play for teams who are expected to be among the best in the league. The Spurs, however, went just 22-60 last year despite Wembanyama’s nightly exploits. While most expect San Antonio to improve after making a few shrewd moves this offseason, they still face an uphill climb to make the playoffs in the stacked Western Conference.

The NBA MVP is never handed out to a player whose team misses the postseason. As a result, it would take astronomical statistical production or a shocking surge in the standings for Wembanyama to win it this season. The +2000 NBA MVP odds offer some upside, but I can’t see it happening this year.

Bet: Don't Wager

Victor Wembanyama to Win Defensive Player of the Year in 2024-25 Regular Season

  • Yes (-170)
  • No (N/A)

At -170, Wembanyama is a heavy favorite to win the Defensive Player of the Year (DPOY) award, and it’s easy to see why. His size, wingspan, and defensive instincts make him a nightmare for opposing offenses.

Wembanyama can protect the rim with his shot-blocking ability, but he’s also agile enough to defend on the perimeter, giving him the versatility to guard multiple positions. His combination of length and quickness allows him to contest shots that most players wouldn’t even attempt, and this alone makes him a frontrunner for the league’s top defensive honor. That Wemby finished 2nd place for this award last season is telling of the kind of impact he’s capable of making.

As he continues to acclimate to the speed of the NBA game, it’s fair to expect Wembanyama to continue to improve. He combines his incredible size with terrific defensive instincts. He averaged a combined 4.8 steals and blocks per game last season, and I expect that number to rise moving forward. In April – when he averaged nearly 36 minutes per game – Wembanyama averaged a completely ridiculous 5.6 blocked shots per game. That includes a 9-block game and a pair of outings in which he rejected 7 shots. Absurd!

Wemby nearly won the award last season, so it’s not like he has to improve his numbers too much in order to nudge his way past Gobert this season. Given the importance of defense in Gregg Popovich’s system, Wembanyama will be given the freedom to anchor the Spurs’ defense and become the focal point of their schemes. His block numbers could easily lead the league, and his ability to alter shots will be a primary factor in his candidacy.

At -170, the odds suggest that if he stays healthy and continues to develop defensively, Wembanyama is well-positioned to capture this award for the first time. And it won’t be the last. Those -170 odds don’t offer a ton of upside, but it’s still a worthwhile wager.

Bet: Yes (-170)

Victor Wembanyama to Lead the NBA in Rebounds in 2024/25 Regular Season

  • Yes (+750)
  • No (N/A)

Wembanyama’s +750 odds to lead the NBA in rebounds are an enticing bet, given his size and natural rebounding ability.

At 7’4″ with a cartoonish wingspan, Wembanyama certainly has the tools necessary to lead the NBA in caroms. His height advantage alone gives him an easy path to crushing it on the boards, but there are a few roadblocks to potentially leading the league in rebounds.

For one, Wembanyama isn’t anchored to the paint as often as most centers. He spends a lot of time on the offensive side of the floor hovering around the perimeter, which will often take him out of contention for offensive rebounds. Despite his height, Wemby also isn’t the strongest big man in the league. He was routinely bullied by more physically imposing centers as a rookie, and it doesn’t appear as though he’s added much bulk to his wiry frame this summer. Until he adds strength, he’ll run the risk of getting pushed out of position by bulkier bigs again this year.

Leading the league in rebounding is no small task, especially with established big men like Rudy Gobert, Nikola Jokic, and Domantas Sabonis consistently putting up monster numbers in that category. For Wembanyama to win this title, he would need to play significant minutes and stay aggressive on the glass throughout the season. Any potential minutes limitation would also hamper his chances, of course.

Despite these challenges, at +750, Wembanyama’s rebounding upside makes this a compelling option if you’re interested in betting on his ability to dominate the glass. While a rebounding title may be in his future, I’m not sold it’ll happen this season.

Bet: No Wager

Victor Wembanyama to Score 50+ Points in Any 2024/25 Regular Season Game

  • Yes (+125)
  • No (N/A)

Scoring 50 points in a single NBA game is a milestone that only elite scorers typically manage to achieve. This isn’t always the case – as Tony Delk and Corey Brewer can attest – but you’ll rarely see a role player top 50 points in a game.

Wemby proved last season he’s fully capable of putting points on the board, as his average of 21.4 points per game was the highest we’ve seen for a rookie since Blake Griffin in 2010-11. As you’d expect, he also improved as the season progressed. After averaging around 18 points per game in the month of December, Wembanywama scored 25 points per game in April for the Spurs. In 71 appearances for the season, the lanky Frenchman scored at least 30 points 11 times.

Wemby scored a career-high 40 points (along with 20 rebounds, for good measure) on March 29th against the New York Knicks. While I expect more than one 40-point game for Wembanyama this season, reaching the 50-point threshold won’t be easy.

That said, it’s likely just a matter of time until he does it. He’s remarkably polished offensively for a 20-year-old who stands 7’4″. Most bigs can’t reliably knock down 3-pointers or free throws, but Wemby checks both boxes. The Spurs will run the offense through him all year, and the addition of Chris Paul this offseason figures to make his life easier. The Spurs didn’t have a traditional point guard last season, which often suffocated their offensive output.

Additionally – in today’s NBA, with faster-paced games and more emphasis on 3-point shooting – high-scoring outbursts are more common than ever. Remember, both Luka Doncic and Joel Embiid topped 70 points in a game just last season. At +125 odds, this is a bet that recognizes his potential but also acknowledges the difficulty of the feat for a 2nd-year player. Expect him to flirt with this number in matchups where his size and skill give him a clear advantage.

Bet: Yes (+125)

Victor Wembanyama to Record 25+ Rebounds in Any 2024/25 Regular Season Game

  • Yes (+800)
  • No (N/A)

Grabbing 25 rebounds in a game is a monumental feat, but if anyone is capable of doing it in today’s NBA, Wembanyama might just be the guy. He averaged north of 10 rebounds per game last year, and he posted exactly 20 rebounds in a game twice as a rookie.

25 rebounds in a game is rarefied air these days. Wilt Chamberlain would routinely average well north of that back when he was playing against a bunch of 5’6″ guys. Over the last decade, we’ve seen a player grab at least 25 rebounds in a game just 25 times. The most recent to do so was Jusuf Nurkic of the Phoenix Suns, who hauled in a whopping 31 boards in a game against the Oklahoma City Thunder in March of last season.

For Wembanyama to achieve this, it would likely require a combination of factors: a matchup against a poor rebounding team, heavy minutes, and a game where he focuses heavily on controlling the glass. Another consideration is that his rebounding numbers might be affected by the Spurs’ team-oriented style, which often sees guards and wings contributing on the boards.

Considering he came to within 5 rebounds of hitting this mark twice last season, I like the value we’re getting in the +800 odds for Wemby to total at least 25 boards in a game. It’s far from a likely scenario, but all it takes is one monumental effort over the course of the 82-game marathon of a season. At +800, why not take a flier?

Bet: Yes (+800)

Victor Wembanyama to Record 12+ Blocks in Any 2024/25 Regular Season Game

  • Yes (+750)
  • No (N/A)

Blocking 12 shots in a game is an incredible defensive feat, one that only a handful of players in NBA history have managed to achieve. In the last 30 years, just 5 players have ever blocked at least 12 shots in a game. Shawn Bradley did it twice, while Vlade Divac, Keon Clark, JaVale McGee, and Hassan Whiteside all hit the mark, too.

Wembanyama – with his unprecedented wingspan – is already one of the game’s elite rim protectors. Wemby blocked a career-high 10 shots back in Ferbary of last season against the Toronto Raptors. Incredibly, he recorded at least 5 blocks in 24 different games as a rookie. He had a 9-block game, an 8-block game, and a handful of 7-block outings. He’s absolutely ridiculous, and he’s going to rack up rejections in bunches again this season.

The +750 odds to get to up 12 swats in a game suggest that while difficult, it’s not impossible for a player of his caliber. Wembanyama’s insane length allows him to make up ground incredibly quickly, and he doesn’t even have to be the primary defender against the shooter in order to register a block. Teams will be reluctant to drive to the basket with Wembanyama lurking, but that doesn’t mean they won’t try.

As is the case with the 25-rebound bet, I like the value we’re getting at +750 odds for Wemby to block at least 12 shots in a game this season. This is something he’s surely going to accomplish at some point in his career, so why couldn’t it happen this season? Reach for the stars, friends.

Bet: Yes (+750)

Victor Wembanyama to Record 6+ Triple Doubles This Season

  • Yes (+1000)
  • No (N/A)

Recording a triple-double is an impressive feat for any player, but doing it 6 times in a season puts someone in elite company. At +1000 odds, there’s clear potential for Wembanyama to to so given his ability to contribute in multiple statistical categories. His height and wingspan make him a natural rebounder and shot-blocker, while his ball-handling and passing skills add to his ability to rack up assists.

What makes this prop intriguing is that Wembanyama is capable of scoring, rebounding, playmaking, and shot-blocking on a nightly basis. With the Spurs running much of their offense through him, he’ll have plenty of opportunities to fill up the stat sheet.

Wemby posted a pair of triple-doubles as a rookie. His first was a 16-point, 12-rebound, 10-assist effort against the Detroit Pistons on January 10th. Remarkably, Wemby logged just 21 minutes in that one. Talk about efficiency! In his second triple-double, he finished with 27 points, 14 rebounds, 10 blocks, and 5 assists (!) against the Toronto Raptors on February 12th. He had a few other opportunities but came up just short, as well. Wembanyama finished within 1-3 assists of a triple-double over the final 3 months of the campaign.

Blocks and assists will be the key here, as Wembanyama should have no trouble whatsoever recording at least 10 points and 10 rebounds in most games. His assist rate improved as last season went along, while I just mentioned I like his chances of recording double-digit blocks at some point this year.

Bet: Yes (+1000)

Victor Wembanyama to Record 1+ Quadruple Double This Season

  • Yes (+1200)
  • No (N/A)

Recording a quadruple-double is one of the rarest feats in basketball, with only four players in NBA history having ever achieved it. Hakeem Olajuwon, David Robinson, Alvin Robertson, and Nate Thurmond all did so between 1974 and 1994. Remarkably, both Robinson and Robertson did so as – you guessed it – members of the San Antonio Spurs. Robinson was the most recent player to do it back in February of ’94.

So, we’ve gone 30 years without seeing a quadruple-double in the NBA. However, Wembanyama has already come remarkably close to doing it. On April 2nd of last season against the Denver Nuggets, Wemby finished with 23 points, 15 rebounds, 9 blocks, and 8 assists. That’s the closest any player has come to racking up a quadruple-double since Robinson last did it.

The idea of any player pulling off this statistical marvel is both exciting and daunting, which is reflected in the +1200 odds. If anyone in the NBA is going to do it, it’s Wembanyama, of course. He’s going to lead the league in blocks this season, and we also saw him rack up at least 5 steals in several different games last year. I think he’s far more likely to get there with blocks than steals, but he’s capable of anything.

NBA handicappers may not love the value here, but I’m buying all the Wemby stock I can get. While the +1200 odds are tempting, remember that a quadruple-double is a historic accomplishment, and even for a player as talented as Wembanyama, everything would need to align perfectly. He’s already come close to doing it, however, and these odds offer serious profit potential.

Bet: Yes (+1200)