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On Monday, March 24, the 104th edition of the Volta a Catalunya gets underway in the Northeast region of Spain. This race is the third oldest professional cycling event behind the Tour de France and Giro d’Italia.
Additionally, it’s the third UCI World Tour race to be held in Spain each year along with the Vuelta a Espana and the Tour of the Basque Country.
The 2024 winner, Tadej Pogacar, will not return to defend his title. Pogacar opted for other races like the Milan-San Remo this past weekend.
However, there are three previous winners that are taking the starting line on Monday: Primoz Roglic (2023), Adam Yates (2021), and Nairo Quintana (2016).
Roglic and Yates enter this seven-stage race as favorites to win the 2025 Volta a Catalunya. However, Juan Ayuso is the odds-on favorite to win it all. Also joining those GC contenders in the Top 5 pre-race favorites are Lennert Van Eetvelt and Mikel Landa.
It should be noted that Jonas Vingegaard was set to compete in this event. Unfortunately, he crashed in the Paris-Nice race and won’t be competing. His absence opens the race up to a more exciting competition.
Let’s take a look at the latest cycling odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our Volta a Catalunya predictions.
How To Watch The Volta a Catalunya?
This year’s Volta a Catalunya is expected to reach 190 territories and over 40 different international broadcasters. The popular outlets of Eurosport, Sky Sport and FloBikes will cover a number of the major international markets. In the United States, NBC Sports (Peacock) will broadcast the race.
Volta a Catalunya Route
Since 1911, the Volta a Catalunya races across the Catalonia region of Spain from the Pyrenees to Barcelona. The 2025 edition spans roughly 1,200km across seven stages beginning on March 24 and ending on March 30.
The route opens in Sant Feliu de Guixols for the fourth consecutive year. Additionally, for the third straight year, there will be three mountain stages along with two flat and two hilly stages. This year’s Volta a Catalunya is shaping up to be a fantastic cycling battle between GC riders due to the amount of climbing involved.
Stage 1 (Monday, March 24): Hilly Stage
The race opens with a hilly stage stretching 178.6km around Sant Feliu de Guixols. There are two Cat-3 climbs along the route, roughly 2630 meters of vert, and a tricky finish at the end that will see a 5% gradient for the last 500m. This should end in a bunch sprint with the fastest men competing for the stage win.
Stage 2 (Tuesday, March 25): Flat Stage
The second stage will see the peloton travel 177.3km from Banyoles to Figueres. It’s the first time in 56 years that race organizers have included Figueres. Although this is labeled as a flat stage, there are some early climbs including at Cat-1 Coll de Sant Pere de Rodes.
Since these climbs come earlier on the day, the sprinters are expected to survive and compete for a second stage win in a row.
Stage 3 (Wednesday, March 26): Mountain Stage
The first mountainous stage of the Volta will see the rider travel 218.6 km from Viladecans The Style Outlets to La Molina. This stage has the highest amount of vertical climbing at 4,796 meters.
It features a Cat-2 of Coll de Estenalles (13.3 km at 3.9%), a Cat-3 Coll de la Batallola (7km at 3.4%), and an HC Coll de la Creueta (20.3 km at 5.1%) climbs.
After those three climbs, the peloton will race to a summit finish as they go up to the La Molina ski station (12.1km at 4.3%).
Stage 4 (Thursday, March 27): Mountain Stage
The fourth stage isn’t as much climbing as the previous day, but there will still be some legs hurting out there. At just under 3,000 meters of vert, the riders will race 188.7 km from Sant Vicenc de Castellet to Montserrat Millenari.
This day features a number of hills including the Montserrat. The peloton will finish on a climb that’s 8.8km at 6.6%.
Stage 5 (Friday, March 28): Flat Stage
A transition stage out of the mountains will see the field race 172 km from Pauls to Amposta. After an early Cat-3 climg at Coll de la Font, the peloton will have a flat day for the second half of the stage. You can expect another furious sprint to decide this day’s winner.
Stage 6 (Saturday, March 29): Mountain Stage
It might only be 159km from Berga to Queralt, but this stage packs nearly 4,000 meters of verticality and a few climbs that should decide the GC winner of the race even if a breakaway somehow survives.
The peloton will attempt to conquer as fast as possible: the Cat-3 Coll de la Batallola (11.6km at 3.2%), the HC Coll de Pradell (15.1km at 6.7%), and the Cat-1 Collada de Sant Isidre (5km at 8.8%).
The stage will end on a climb up to the Queralt Monastery which is 5.9km long with an average gradient of 7.5%.
Stage 7 (Sunday, March 30): Hilly Stage
Unlike many other week-long stage races, like the recently concluded Tirreno-Adriatico, the Volta a Catalunya makes the final day a challenging one even if the GC battle is already over.
After three tough days in the mountains, and six days on their bikes, the peloton will end the race with six passes through Barcelona’s Montjuic circuit. There are a number of Cat-3 and Cat-2 climbs throughout this circuit. Un the end, the riders will descend to the finish line.
Volta a Catalunya Odds
Check out the latest Volta a Catalunya odds:
Volta a Catalunya Odds | Volta a Catalunya Odds |
---|---|
Juan Ayuso (-120) | Primoz Roglic (+375) |
Lennert Van Eetvelt (+800) | Mikel Landa (+1100) |
Adam Yates (+1400) | Felix Gall (+2000) |
Lenny Martinez (+2000) | Egan Bernal (+2800) |
Enric Mas (+3300) | Simon Yates (+4000) |
Sepp Kuss (+5000) | Laurens De Plus (+5000) |
Richard Carapaz (+5000) | Ben O’Connor (+5000) |
Tao Geoghegan Hart (+6600) | Pavel Sivakov (+6600) |
Marc Soler (+12500) | Nairo Quintana (+20000) |
Juan Ayuso and Primoz Roglic are the clear-cut betting favorites to win the 2025 Volta a Catalunya. Only Lennert Van Eetvelt is even in the same ballpark as Ayuso and Roglic. With that said, there are a number of riders providing betting value including a few potential longshots as well.
The best handicappers are lining up with the favorites. But is that where you should place your money as well?
Volta a Catalunya Favorites
Let’s take a look at the odds-on favorites for the 104th edition of the Volta a Catalunya:
Juan Ayuso (-120)
Once again, UAE Emirates comes into a race with the favorite. In fact, they have two of the Top 5 favorites just like they did at Tirreno-Adriatico.
I greatly underestimated Juan Ayuso in that race as I thought that Adam Yates’ experience would lead him to victory with Ayuso finishing on the podium. Well, the 22-year-old crushed the field and there really wasn’t much suspense when it came time to the GC.
In addition to winning the Tirreno-Adriatico, Ayuso also won the Trofeo Laigueglia and Faun Drome Classic. He’s becoming a real threat to enter the conversation as one of the top GC riders in the sport despite being on the same team as Pogacar.
With that said, Ayuso will be facing stiffer competition in the Volta a Catalunya. However, he will once again have the best team in the race.
Primoz Roglic (+375)
Ayuso’s main competition will be Primoz Roglic who has a strong supporting cast with Red Bull Bora-Hansgrohe. Roglic’s only appearance this season so far, was the Volta ao Algarve where he finished 8th overall. That was a month ago, so I fully expect Roglic to have better form this week in Spain.
This will be Roglic’s third appearance in the Volta a Catalunya. He first rode in 2016, where he finished 44th. In his last year with Jumbo Visma, Roglic won the 2023 Volta a Catalunya.
Another thing to note about Roglic, he plans to race in the Giro d’Italia this year. And, when he won the Tour of Italy in 2023, he did so roughly five weeks after winning the Volta. So, his performance in this Spanish race is a good indicator of Roglic’s trajectory for the Grand Tours coming up in late-May.
I think that this year’s Volta suits Roglic well even at his age of 35-years old. The Slovenian appears to still be a top GC rider in the sport and I fully expect Roglic to battle Ayuso and others all the way to Barcelona.
Watch out for his ability to sprint to the summit finishes where he can gain bonus seconds on the other contenders.
Lennert Van Eetvelt (+800)
Lotto’s young, Belgian leader is a highly talent cyclist on the rise in the sport. He finished 9th in the UAE Tour and then ended up 9th at Strade Bianche. Those are two solid results for the beginning of the season.
For Van Eetvelt, this will be his second appearance in the Volta. He was 15th in 2023, and completed all seven stages. I believe he will surpass this result in Spain over the next week.
Last year, LVE took a huge step towards becoming a contender in the peloton. I believe that trajectory will continue. However, beating Ayuso and Roglic seems a bit too much for the Belgian to accomplish this year.
With that said, LVE could contend for a Top 10 result and maybe even surprise the field by contending for the final podium spot.
Mikel Landa (+1100)
Like Roglic, Mikel Landa is 35-years-old and hopes to use this Spanish stage race as a launching pad to success at the Grand Tours. With that said, don’t overlook Landa as a podium contender this week.
Landa surprised many with a 7th place result at the Tirreno-Adriatico which was his first race of the season. On Stage 6, the toughest of the race, Landa finished 4th which is a good sign that the Spaniard is rounding into form.
This will be Landa’s 7th appearance in the Volta a Catalunya. He finished 2nd last year, which was an improvement from his 5th in 2023.
As for the 2025 edition, Landa believes the race will be more open with Ayuso and Roglic being the premiere battle:
“When they [Vingegaard and Pogačar] are there, people settle for second or are waiting for them to break open the race and for them to start attacking. So that really affects the way the race develops. It’ll be a much more open race without them, probably there’ll be a nice fight between [Primoz] Roglic and [Juan] Ayuso.”
Adam Yates (+1400)
Like with Tirreno, Adam Yates comes into a stage race as the co-leader with his teammate Juan Ayuso. And, I bought into this plan when I picked Yates to win the Tirreno. However, reports have come stating that Yates battled an illness in that race.
Let’s not forget that Yates won the Tour of Oman in February. He also finished 4th in the Milano-Torino a week ago. So, the 16th finish at Tirreno seems to be an outlier so far.
With that in mind, I still have a hard time thinking that Yates is going to take the leadership role from Ayuso. If anything, Yates will most likely try to blow up the select riders up these summit finishes and set up Ayuso to launch.
I would fade Yates to win this race, but I wouldn’t discount him from finishing in the Top 10 as he has the legs to contend for the podium if he’s allowed to.
Felix Gall (+2000)
Felix Gall will make his Volta a Catalunya debut as the leader of Decathlon AG2R La Mondiale. The Austrian has gotten off to a subpar start this season so far. He finished 18th in the UAE Tour and 18th at Paris-Nice. These results aren’t convincing anyone that the 27-year-old can upstage the favorites.
Although he finished with three Top 7 results for stages at Paris-Nice, the other four stages left him far behind the rest of the pack. I think Gall’s potential is Top 10, but I would avoid him this week.
The Best Volta a Catalunya Betting Value
The following cyclists offer betting value based on their current Volta a Catalunya odds, early season performances, and past success in this race:
Enric Mas (+3300)
Although Enric Mas’ teammate Nairo Quintana has actually won this race before, I see Mas performing better than Quintana in Spain this week.
For Mas, this is his 6th Volta appearance. His best result came last year when he finished 5th overall. I wouldn’t be surprised if Mas equaled that mark this year.
The Spaniard hasn’t raced since the Faun Drome Classic om March 2, where he finished 32. He hasn’t looked like a contender to win any of the three races that the Spanish veteran has competed in. With that said, that will change this week.
Without Vingegaard and Pogacar, Mas has a better shot at finishing on the podium. He’s proven in previous stage races, and Grand Tours, that he can hang in the mountains with riders like Roglic.
With the amount of climbing, three summit finishes, and being the leader of Movistar, I like Mas to make some noise in Spain this week.
Simon Yates (+4000)
As I discussed in my Tirreno-Adriatico breakdown, Simon Yates made his debut with Visma-Lease a Bike. The Brit was highly sought after last season and his signing with Visma was a big deal. However, it didn’t produce a big result at Tirreno.
In his season debut, with a new team, Yates finished 14th and never really contended for a stage win during that race.
Nevertheless, Yates believes he was getting better with each day in Italy last week. He’s looking forward to competing in Spain this week with his new team:
“I really enjoyed that. Of course, it takes some getting used to in the beginning, but I had the feeling that I was getting better day by day. Of course, there is not much time between the Tirreno-Adriatico and the Volta Ciclista a Catalunya. I’m really looking forward to pinning on a race number again so soon. I hope that I can improve my form a little bit in Spain.”
Yates is a talented cyclist, just like his brother. I do believe he will improve his form and crack the Top 10. With that said, I’m really curious to see how Sepp Kuss and Yates work together. Will they be co-leaders? Will one get the support from the other?
The Top Volta a Catalunya Longshot
Ben O’Connor (+5000) is my longshot pick for the Volta a Catalunya. He was a podium finisher in some big races last year, then moved to Jayco AlUla to be the unquestioned leader.
So far this season, O’Connor finished 10th at the Volta a la Communitat Valenciana and 14th at Paris-Nice. A few bade days knocked him out of contention. However, in the two time trials he competed in already, the Australian finished 2nd and 3rd.
O’Connor isn’t on the same level as Vingegaard and Pogacar. And he’s finished behind Roglic in the past. However, if the 29-year-old has solid form in Spain this week, then he could be a darkhorse to upset the expected podium finish.
Volta a Catalunya Predictions
This year’s Volta a Catalunya is going to be an exciting battle between a handful of riders. The suspense is at a high level due to the absence of Vingegaard and Pogacar. So, we should be treated to a week of entertainment and thrilling competition.
I really like Ayuso, Roglic, the Yates brothers, Kuss, O’Connor, Mas and Landa to compete for the Top 5. As long as there are no crashes, then Ayuso and Roglic should be two riders to finish on the podium. That last spot will be up for grabs.
With that said, I am leaning towards Roglic to win this race. I certainly like his odds more than Ayuso’s. Additionally, Ayuso didn’t beat anyone impressive at the Tirreno-Adriatico. It was pretty much his to lose. Now, the youngster will face better competition.
I am a fan of Roglic, but I also think he needs to step up his form and success this season in order to prepare for the Grand Tours. Just like in 2023, look for Roglic to win at Catalunya.
Bet: Primoz Roglic (+375)
Volta a Catalunya Prop Bets
The following Volta a Catalunya prop bets are courtesy of Bet365:
Ben O’Connor (-150) vs. Laurens De Plus (+110)
I’m a bit surprised by this head-to-head matchup. Laurens De Plus won’t be the leader for INEOS, which should go to Egan Bernal. O’Connor will be the team leader, which means he will get the support whereas De Plus will have to ride in support of Bernal or Geraint Thomas.
Although De Plus has had a decent season so far, and comparable to O’Connor, these two cyclists will be performing different roles in Spain.
O’Connor will contend for a Top 5 spot, provided that he’s on good legs. De Plus will help Bernal or Thomas compete for a Top 5 spot. Even if both of those veterans are unable to ride as the leader of INEOS, I still don’t see De Plus beating O’Connor in Spain.
Bet: Ben O’Connor (-150)
Leonard Van Eetvelt (-188) vs. Egan Bernal (+137)
Egan Bernal started off the season with two solid performances in his National races. Unfortunately, Bernal suffered a broken collarbone at the Clasica Jaen. Remarkably, he claims to be healed enough to race in the Volta just five weeks later:
“So, I hope to compete in Catalunya, and do the best possible there. But I’m always also thinking about my buildup for the Giro because normally I’ll be taking part in it. So, I want to get to the Giro in a good place, and for that, I have to be good in Catalunya, too.”
You have to think that even if Bernal does compete, he won’t be 100% and that will compromise his form. It will also compromise his chances to win this H2H battle.
LVE has put together two solid performances so far this season. And, they’ve been against top competition. I believe he will win this battle as Bernal works his way back.
Bet: Leonard Van Eetvelt (-188)
Volta a Catalunya Results
Mariano Candardo holds the all-time record with seven Volta a Catalunya wins. He accomplished this mostly in the 1930s. Since then, only Miguel Indurain and Alejandro Valverde have managed to win three Voltas.
It should also come as no surprise that Spain has the most wins in this race with 60. France is second with 11 and Italy is third with 10 victories. The United States has never won this event.
The following is a list of the recent Volta a Catalunya winners:
Year | Winner | Team |
---|---|---|
2024 | Tadej Pogacar | UAE Team Emirates |
2023 | Primoz Roglic | Team Jumbo–Visma |
2022 | Sergio Higuita | Bora-Hansgrohe |
2021 | Adam Yates | Ineos Grenadiers |
2020 | No Race | No Race |
2019 | Miguel Angel Lopez | Astana |
2018 | Alejandro Valverde | Movistar Team |
2017 | Alejandro Valverde | Movistar Team |
2016 | Nairo Quintana | Movistar Team |
2015 | Richie Porte | Team Sky |
2014 | Joaquim Rodriguez | Team Katusha |