2024 WNBA Championship Odds and Predictions

When the WNBA first launched, the Houston Comets made history from the jump by rattling off a league record four consecutive titles. No team has sniffed that dominance since. Until now.

The Las Vegas Aces are on the cusp of finally approaching that level of greatness. A’ja Wilson and co. have Las Vegas in position for a three-peat, and if they can get it done, Houston’s record could be in danger come 2025.

Let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves, though. First, let’s look at the latest 2024 WNBA Championship odds and then look at whether the Aces can win again – and who might stop them.

2024 WNBA Championship Betting Odds

Las Vegas pulls in as the current WNBA Championship favorites, which should come as no surprise seeing as they’ve won the last two titles.

The Liberty are tied with them at some betting sites when looking at odds, and seeing as they’re the team Las Vegas finished off in last year’s Finals, they feel like their biggest threat.

Nobody else is close in terms of odds, but once the WNBA Playoffs are finalized, anything can happen. Before you start betting on who will win the WNBA Championship, let’s look at the top contenders and some viable sleepers.

Why Are the Aces the 2024 WNBA Finals Favorites?

As noted, the Aces lead the way with the best WNBA odds this year’s Finals. Pricing and records change daily, but at the time of this writing they look the part of a reigning champ and betting favorite.

Las Vegas paces the entire league in scoring (87.4 points per game), and they’re #1 in free throw percentage and top-5 in assists per game. Offensively, they’re a juggernaut, and it’s going to be difficult imagining them being dethroned.

Their last two titles came relatively easily. They won both series 3-1 and knocked off the Liberty, who come in with the second best odds. Las Vegas is led by arguably the league’s most complete offensive star in A’ja Wilson, who is putting up over 27 points per game, 11.3 rebounds per game and is the odds-on favorite to win the WNBA MVP Award.

She’s been consistently dominant.

With solid stars behind her in Kelsey Plum (18.2 points per game) and Jackie Young (19 points and 6 assists per game), Las Vegas has the star power to make good on yet another repeat bid.

Other 2024 WNBA Title Contenders

Las Vegas is the clear cut favorite at the moment. Winning back-to-back WNBA titles will do that for you, after all.

Of course, it’s arguable they shouldn’t be the team to beat. As I write this, they’re just 7-6 on the year (third in their division) and aren’t even a top-5 squad in defensive rating.

They’re also not alone. Here are two legit WNBA Finals contenders bettors need to be mindful of.

New York Liberty +170

If there’s a team ready to take out the Aces, it has to be the Liberty. They have the size to contend inside with Breanna Stewart, while lead guard Sabrina Ionescu (2.8 made threes per game) provides elite outside shooting and playmaking.

The girl can straight up ball.

New York was at the big stage before succumbing to Las Vegas last year, but they’re now battle tested enough to give it a serious go. They’re also 13-3 at the time of this writing, which is good for the most wins in the league.

The Liberty possess the league’s best offensive rating, and they’re also top-5 on the defensive side. Could that elite balance and their solid star power finally be enough to get them their first WNBA title?

Connecticut Sun +650

Don’t sleep on the Sun, either. They offer way more betting value at +650 odds, but it’s debatable that they’re actually the team to beat this year.

Connecticut has lost just one game all season (13-1) at the time of this writing, and they have the best defensive rating (90.8) in the league. They’re no slouch offensively (4th), while they’re top-5 in 2nd chance points, and points in the paint.

This is a balanced offense paced by DeWanna Bonner (17.5 points per game), but unlike a top-heavy squad like Las Vegas, the Sun have five players averaging 11+ points.

Alyssa Thomas remains the heart and soul of this squad, as she’s almost averaging a triple-double (12.7-9.8-8.1) on the year. Eat your heart out, Nikola Jokic.

2024 WNBA Finals Sleepers

The three teams I’ve gone over are more than likely the best bets to win the 2024 WNBA Finals. You may want a bit more value than what the Aces or Liberty have to offer, though, and some people don’t totally buy into the Suns for whatever reason.

That brings me to two interesting WNBA Championship sleepers.

Seattle Storm +1000

I also don’t mind the Minnesota Lynx at +650, but let’s think bigger. Seattle is too talented to be giving bettors value like this, as they’re 9-6 on the year and rank well in a lot of key areas.

The Storm leave their mark on the defensive end, to be sure. Ezi Magbegor is a serious problem inside, where she plays a key hand in Seattle leading the league with 5.9 blocks.

Magbegor is the anchor down low, where she also averages 9.6 rebounds per game and helps Seattle rank tops for that, too.

As great as this team is defensively, they’re still a force to be reckoned with on offense. They’re a top-5 scoring offense, as Jewell Lloyd and Nneka Ogwumike both put up over 18 points per game, and even Skyler Diggins-Smith chips in at a high level with 14.9 points per contest.

Seattle has championship winning experience, having won it all in 2018 and 2020. Breanna Stewart isn’t leading the way anymore, but this team is still as balanced and deep as ever.

Indiana Fever +10000

Go big or go home. Do I actually believe Caitlin Clark can lead the Fever to a title in her rookie season? No, but you literally just never know what will happen.

Indy is actually on a roll as I write this, too, having won each of their last five games. Clark has had her lows during her rookie campaign, but the WNBA Rookie of the Year favorite is setting teammates up as well as anyone (4th in the league in assists per game with 6.2) and still providing a reliable outside threat (16.3 points per game, 32.8% from deep).

Kelsey Mitchell (15.9 points per game), Aliyah Boston, and NaLyssa Smith combine for a solid supporting cast. Indiana still has a ways to go, but this young squad could be finding themselves on the fly. Who is to say they can’t sneak into the playoffs and make some noise?

Last 10 WNBA Finals Winners

Tips for Betting on the WNBA Championship

Predicting the WNBA Championship winner is apparently really easy. Just bet on the Aces every year, and you’re all set.

In all seriousness, there are some things you can do to project who will win. Las Vegas has dominated the last two seasons, but they won’t win forever – I don’t think.

To help you figure out your bets, here are some tips to betting on the WNBA:

Bet on the Dominant Teams

Sounds easy enough, right? That logic doesn’t always work, but in the WNBA it does. In 2023, Las Vegas had a stout 34-6 record and finished first in the league. They then cruised through the playoffs and knocked off the Liberty in just four games.

That won’t happen every single time, but sometimes the best team simply has been the top team all year. For the most part, if they look, sound, and feel like the likely title winner, that’s probably the way to go.

In fact, in the last five years, four of the WNBA champions had at least a share of the league’s best record and a top-two seed. Chicago (2021) was a rare case where a lower seed shocked the world.

Those upsets can happen, but you should typically be targeting the dominant teams up top.

Back Elite Offenses

It is always going to be helpful to have the ability to shut teams down defensively, but you also need to score the ball at a high level. The harder you are to defend, the more the opposition works, and the easier defense can come to you.

The past results back this logic. Las Vegas paced the league in points per game in each of the last two seasons, and sure enough, they won it all in the end.

Betting on the WNBA doesn’t have to be hard. Just roll with the ladies who can put the ball in the hoop at an elite rate.

2024 WNBA Championship Prediction

Is it really as simple as targeting the beastly teams and hoping for the best? Kind of. I think that’s true for the WNBA to a certain degree, and it might be true if you’re looking at the 2024-25 NBA Championship odds already, too.

For the WNBA this year, though, I don’t see why we have to eat the chalk with Las Vegas. Sure, they won the last two titles and they remain stacked. But they’re not performing like the league’s best team.

In my opinion, that’d be the New York Liberty. The Sun own the league’s best record, but the Liberty aren’t far behind. They’re in position to contend for the top seed in the East yet, and they also are right behind the Aces in terms of offensive production. New York is better than Las Vegas on the defensive end, however, and they’re the team that met them in the WNBA Finals a year ago. Betting on a three-peat feels like a reach. I’d be going after the Liberty, as they have nice +170 WNBA Championship odds and currently feel like the better squad.

WNBA Bet: New York Liberty +170