In the world of sports betting, a term that always comes up is “The Spread”, leaving beginners perplexed and seasoned bettors nodding knowingly. Whether you are new to sports betting or have been wagering for a while, understanding the concept of the Spread and how you can use it is paramount.
It adds a bit of excitement to your wagers, and if studied properly, might help you make better bets. In this comprehensive guide, we delve into the fundamentals of the spread, unraveling its significance, and giving you the knowledge you need to make more informed betting decisions.
What Does The Spread Mean In Betting?
What does the spread mean in betting? The spread in sports betting is an attempt by bookmakers to level the playing field between teams of varying abilities. It refers to a handicap or margin of victory that a sportsbook assigns to a game or event. It is a numerical value given to the two teams involved and sets a handicap that the team marked as the favorite has to overcome. The favorite team gets a negative point spread, while the underdog gets a positive point spread.
Bettors then decide which team they believe has the potential to cover the spread. Put simply, if they bet on the favorite then they expect that the favorite will win by more than the spread, and if they bet on the underdog, they believe the underdog will not lose by more than the spread.
If the bettor makes a correct wager, they will get a payout based on the odds.
Let’s Break it Down With An Example
Supposing the New England Patriots are playing against the Miami Dolphins in an American football game. The sportsbook might set the spread at Patriots -7.5 and Dolphins +7.5. This means that if you bet on the Patriots, they would need to win by at least 8 points for your bet to be successful. Conversely, if you bet on the Dolphins, they could lose the game by up to 7 points, and your bet would still win.
The purpose of the spread is twofold: to attract balanced betting action on both sides of the wager and to provide bettors with more options beyond simply picking the winners of the game. By adjusting the spread, sportsbooks also aim to mitigate their risk and ensure that they make a profit regardless of the outcome.
The Favorite
The favorite refers to the team or individual that is expected to win a particular game, match, or event. The designation is based on various factors such as past performance, team strength, player skill, and other relevant statistics analyzed by oddsmakers and experts.
Being labeled as the favorite does not guarantee victory, but it implies that the team or individual is perceived to have a higher likelihood of winning based on the available information. Favorites are also often backed by strong performances in recent games, assumed superior talent, favorable matchups, and home-field advantage.
In sportsbooks, the favorite is typically denoted by negative betting odds, indicating that a bet in them would yield a lower profit relative to the amount wagered.
The Underdog
The underdog is the opposite of the favorite. This is the team that is seen to be at a disadvantage or less likely to win in a given matchup. A win from them is considered an upset victory and is celebrated for their unpredictability and the excitement they bring to sports fans and bettors alike.
Underdogs are typically assigned positive odds by oddsmakers, indicating a potential payout relative to the amount wagered. Underdogs also get the positive aspect of the spread. For instance, if the Chicago Bulls are deemed the underdog in a basketball game against the Los Angeles Lakers, and the game has a point spread of 7.5, it means the Chicago Bulls might lose by 7 points and still the bettor would get a payout. However, you would still win if the Chicago Bulls win outright.
Vigorish
Vigorish commonly referred to among bettors as juice or vig is a term used to describe the commission or fee charged by sportsbooks on most bets. It represents the bookmaker’s built-in profit margin and ensures that they make money regardless of the outcome of the wager.
Vigorish is typically expressed as a percentage of the total amount wagered and is factored into the odds offered by the sportsbooks. So, if you place a bet on a football game with odds of -120, it means that you would need to wager $120 to win $100, with the additional $20 representing the Vig.
Vigorish allows sportsbooks to operate profitably by balancing risk and ensuring a steady income stream over time. While it may seem like a small percentage, the cumulative effect of vigorish across numerous bets can contribute to the bookmaker’s bottom line.
The Hook
Point spreads typically look like this: 3.5, 7.5, 4.5. A hook is that extra half-point added to the point spread to eliminate the chances of a push or tie. Adding a half-point to a line ensures that there will be a definitive winner and loser in a bet.
For example, if a sportsbook sets the point spread for a football game at -3.5 points, it means that the favored team must win by at least 4 points for bets on that team to be successful. Conversely, bets on the underdog would win if they either win the game outright or lose by less than 4 points.
The addition of the hook to the spread prevents the possibility of the game ending with a point differential that matches the spread exactly. Without the hook, a scenario could arise where the favored team wins by exactly 3 points, resulting in a push where bets are refunded.
Margin
The margin in spread betting is the difference between the score of the favorite and underdog that is used to determine the outcome of the wager.
Using our former example of a game between the New England Patriots and the Miami Dolphins with a point spread of 7.5. The favorite, in this case, the New England Patriots, must win by at least an 8-point margin.
What is the “Spread” in Sports Betting
How do Oddsmakers Determine a Point Spread?
The first and the most influencing factor that oddsmakers consider when creating a point spread is the skill level difference between the two teams. Most oddsmakers have their rankings that help them to determine this skill difference and they change from time to time depending on the changes made to the team.
Aside from skill levels, there are other factors that oddsmakers consider before making the point spread, including:
- Home-field advantage (where is the location of the game)
- Current form
- Injuries
- Weather
It should be easy to understand how these things can contribute to the spread margin.
How to Bet the Spread
Now that we have an idea of what the spread is and how bettors can use it, let’s take a closer look at how you can bet on the spread:
Select a Reputable Sportsbook
Start by choosing a reputable sportsbook that offers a wide range of betting options and competitive odds. Look for a licensed and regulated sportsbook with a user-friendly interface and a track record of reliability and customer satisfaction.
Choose a Game
Once you’ve selected a sportsbook, navigate to the sports section and choose the game or event you want to bet on. Identify the point spread market, which is typically listed alongside other betting options such as moneyline and totals. Ensure you understand the point spread for the game you are wagering on.
Analyze the Matchup
Conduct thorough research and analysis of the matchup, considering factors such as team performance, recent form, injuries, and head-to-head statistics. Evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of each team to inform your betting decision.
Pick a Side
From your research and analysis, decide whether you want to bet on the favorite or the underdog. Understand though that being a favorite does not guarantee a win, and being an underdog does not guarantee defeat either.
Place Your Bet
Once you have picked a side, it’s time to wager. Decide how much you want to wager on the point spread. Consider your bankroll size, risk tolerance, and betting strategy when determining your stake. Practice responsible bankroll management.
Navigate to the point spread market for the game and enter your desired stake. Review your bet slip to ensure accuracy before confirming your wager.
Monitor the Game
After placing your bet, monitor the game closely to track the progress and see how your bet unfolds. Pay attention to the score, momentum shifts, and any key events that may impact the outcome. The final score will be announced at the end of the game and compared with the spread. This will determine if you have won or lost your wager.
Typical Outcomes of a Point Spread Wager
Here are some typical outcomes of a point spread wager:
- The favorite team wins by more than the point spread. In this case, a bet on the favorite will pay out.
- The underdog wins or loses with fewer points than the spread. In this case, wagering on the underdog will get you a payout.
- The final score is on the point spread. This rarely happens, because most sportsbooks use the hook to prevent it. However, in the chance that it happens, it will be considered a push and your wager will be returned.
Strategies for Successful Spread Betting
Like every aspect of sports betting, you require strategy if you are going to make a profit. Here are a few successful spread betting strategies:
Point Spread Line Movement
One way to ensure you get a payout from betting on a point spread is to closely monitor line movements and look for opportunities in the betting line. Here are a few ways you can build a successful spread line movement strategy to help you make a profit:
Study Line Movement
Follow it closely especially as the game you want to wager on gets closer. This will give you an idea of how profitable the lines are and what way other bettors are leaning considering that particular game.
Look Out for Reverse Line Movement
As you are studying the line movement, look out for reverse line movements. This is when the point spread is going in the opposite direction of the betting percentage. This could be caused by sharp money bettors or insider information. If this happens, it might be a sign to take a chance on the underdogs.
Consider Timing
In point spread betting, timing is everything, so factor in timing before making your bet. If the line movement is favorable, you might want to wager early to take advantage of the better odds. However, if the line movement does not look so favorable, it might be best to wait until the game is closer to make your wager.
Use Multiple Sportsbook
Betting lines and odds will always be different between sportsbooks, so check out multiple sportsbooks to see which offers the best odds. This might help identify discrepancies and increase your chances of finding value.
Do Your Research
Always make informed decisions. Research the teams and look out for factors that might affect the betting line including injuries, weather conditions, and recent performances.
Research Everything
Another strategy that could help boost your chances of getting a payout in a point spread bet is to do your research. Here are a few things you can do with proper research:
- Identify injuries
- Identify team trends
- Analyze previous performance
- Understand the matchups
- Consider home-field advantage
These are all factors that affect the outcome of a match. Getting first-hand knowledge of these factors will help you make informed decisions and increase your chances of making a profit. However, research does not always guarantee your wager will turn out the way you want.
Create Your Own Spreads
If you have a match you want to wager on, try creating your own spread before you look at the actual point spread from sportsbooks. Pick out the match, carry out research, and then put down what you think the point spread should be. Sneak a peek at the actual lines and see how close you are.
If the values you have and the actual lines are close, make your bet. However, if the values are not in your favor, maybe you should restrategize before making a bet.
Bet on the Public
If you want to bet on the underdog, don’t do so immediately. Wait till a couple of days before the game. This is good for two reasons:
- The amount will go up as more and more people from the public place their bets.
- A lot of line movement will give you an idea of how bettors are wagering, and a good way to decide where you put your money.
And if you do place a bet and see that the line is moving in your favor, then double down on your bets and make more profits.
Pros and Cons of Spread Betting
Pros
Of course, betting on the spread has inherent benefits and if done well is a great way for sport bettors to make a profit. Here’s a closer look at some of the benefits of spread betting:
Increased Betting Options
Point spread betting offers a wider range of betting options compared to simple moneyline bets. Instead of just picking the winner of a game, bettors can wager on the margin of victory, adding an extra layer of excitement and strategy to their bets.
Balanced Odds
Point spreads are designed to level the playing field between two teams of varying abilities, making it possible to bet on both favorites and underdogs with relatively equal odds. This balance allows bettors to find value in different betting opportunities regardless of which team they support.
Potential for Higher Payouts
Betting on underdogs with the point spread can result in higher payouts compared to traditional moneyline bets. This is especially true if the underdog manages to cover the spread or pull off an upset victory. This potential for higher payouts appeals to bettors seeking excitement and more value in their wagers.
Cons
Betting the spread also carries risks. Bettors must understand these risks before placing their bets: Some of the risks/cons of spread betting include:
Vig and Reduced Payouts
Sportsbooks incorporate vigorish into point spread bets, which reduces the potential payouts for bettors. Additionally, bettors must overcome the vig to break even or generate profits, making it more challenging to achieve consistent success in point spread betting.
Complex and Unpredictable
Understanding point spread wagers might be a bit complex, especially for beginners who are unfamiliar with sports betting terminology and strategies. Not only must you predict the winner of the game but they must cover the spread otherwise, you won’t get a payout.
Psychological Effects
Because spread betting can be unpredictable, losing a wager you thought you had won already could lead to frustration. Bettors also tend to have a bias towards certain teams of players. These emotional attachments could influence a bettor’s wager.
Why Does a Point Spread Change?
There are various reasons the spread will shift in the run-up to a match. If a key player of the favorite team gets hurt or is stopped from playing that particular game, the spread might shift drastically.
Sportsbooks might also adjust the spread if they notice that the wagers on one side have become overwhelming. They do this to ensure they make more profit or attract more wagers to the other side of the spread.
Oddsmakers might also shift the point spread as a reaction to sharp money or respected wagers. Sharp money are wagers coming from bettors that win so much that the sportsbook tends to listen to them.
It’s always possible that the line will change, especially in weekly sports such as the NFL or college football, because of the large time difference between when the lines open and the day of the game.
Should I Bet on a Point Spread
Whether you should bet on a point spread depends on a few things. Of course, the most important is that you should only bet on point spreads if you absolutely know what you are doing. You must have understood the concept of spread betting with the risks involved. If you jump into betting on a point spread without having all the necessary knowledge, you might lose a lot of money.
Another instance where it is a good idea to bet on point spreads is if both teams are almost relatively equal. In this case, the spread margin will not be so big, and you stand a better chance of winning your bet.
The final instance where betting on a point spread is a good idea is when you are trying to get a larger profit. Point spread wagers have great payout potential but they can also cost you a nice sum of money if you lose.
Point Spread Vs. Moneyline
Point spread and moneyline bets dominate the world of sports betting. Each has its advantages and disadvantages, but they all add to the betting experience.
A moneyline bet is placed on which team or individual wins or loses regardless of the margin of victory. On the other hand, oddsmakers set point spreads to make competing teams as equal as possible when it comes to odds.
Both point spread betting and money line have advantages and considerations, catering to different betting preferences and strategies.
FAQs
What is a Push in Point Spread Betting?
A push occurs when a point spread ends in a tie. It is when the spread you bet against is the margin of victory. To prevent a push, some sportsbooks use the hook.
Which Sports Use Point Spreads?
The sports that allow you to bet on the spread include football, basketball, baseball, and hockey. It is popular in any NFL football game sportsbook. Recently some sportsbooks have started using the spread for other sports like tennis and golf.
What Happens if the Team I Bet on to Cover the Spread Wins?
If the team you bet on wins, and they were the underdog, then you get a payout. However, if they were the favorite, they have to win by a certain number of points before you can get a payout.
What Does Minus 1.5 Mean In Betting
As more and more people continue to join the betting scene, sportsbooks must get creative about the options they over. These options are meant to keep bettors interested while still offering them the excitement that comes with the risks and the anticipated rewards.
A betting option that has become popular in the past years is handicap betting, and with its popularity comes confusion about some key terms.
One such key term is the minus 1.5. In this comprehensive article, we will unravel the mystery behind this term, throwing some light on its implications and what it means for novice and seasoned bettors alike. By the end of this article, you will have a firm grasp of what “minus 1.5” entails and how it affects your betting strategy.
Point Spread Bets Explained
Point Spread Bets are an increasingly popular form of sports betting aimed at creating a level playing field between the two teams. Sportsbooks give a points disadvantage to one team and a points advantage to the other. Point spread betting is also referred to as handicap betting or Asian handicap. It is very popular, especially in football and basketball.
The point spread is usually expressed as a negative number, such as -1.5, or a positive number, such as +1.5.
The team with the negative handicap is referred to as the favorite and has to win the game by points greater than the handicap. The team with the positive handicap just has to win or at least lose with fewer points than the handicap. This team is referred to as the underdog.
What is Minus 1.5 in Betting?
In sports betting, minus 1.5 refers to a type of handicap or spread commonly used in various sports such as basketball, soccer, football, hockey, and baseball. It indicates that a particular team or player is favored to win by a margin of 1.5 points. This means that for a point spread bet placed on the favored team to be successful, they must win the game by at least 2 points.
For Example
In a soccer match between Team A and Team B, if the handicap is set at “Team A -1.5,” it means that Team A is favored to win by 1.5 goals. If you place a bet on Team A to win with a -1.5 handicap, they must win by 2 or more goals for your bet to be successful. If Team A wins by only 1 goal or the match ends in a draw or a loss, your bet would be considered unsuccessful.
The purpose of using a handicap like minus 1.5 is to create a more balanced value market, particularly when there is a clear favorite in the match. By giving the favorite a deficit to overcome, the odds become more appealing to bettors on both sides, thereby increasing overall betting activity and engagement.
When to Bet on Minus 1.5
Deciding when to bet on a minus 1.5 depends on various factors, including your assessment of the teams involved, their recent form, head-to-head statistics, and any other relevant information that may affect the outcome of the game. Here are some scenarios where betting on minus 1.5 might be appropriate:
Clear Favorite and Weak Opponents
When one team or player is significantly stronger than their opponent, betting on minus 1.5 can offer better odds than simply betting on them to win outright. This is especially true if the favorite has a history of winning games by multiple points or goals. Betting on minus 1.5, in this case, allows you to capitalize on this expectation and potentially earn higher returns.
High-Scoring Teams
If the teams involved are known for their high-scoring performances or have potent offensive capabilities, there’s a greater chance that the favorite could win by a margin of 2 or more points or goals. Betting on minus 1.5 in such cases offers more potential for a better payout.
Home Advantage
Home teams often have an edge in sports, benefiting from familiar surroundings, support from fans, and, in rare cases, favorable officiating. If such a team is relatively strong, they might be able to cover the point spread, earning you a payout.
Injury or Suspension of Members of the Opposing Team
If the opposing team’s key players are sidelined due to injury or suspension, it can significantly weaken their chances of competing effectively. Betting on minus 1.5 against a depleted opponent may be advantageous.
Remember to always exercise caution and practice responsible betting habits. No bet is guaranteed, and outcomes in sports can be unpredictable. Also consider factors like odds, bankroll management, and your own risk tolerance when deciding whether to bet on minus 1.5.
Favorite Vs. Underdog
In sports betting favorite and underdog refer to the perceived likelihood of a particular team or player winning a given sporting event.
The favorite is the team or player who is expected to win the event according to sportsbooks and betting odds. It is typically the stronger competitor based on factors such as past performance, rankings, statistics, and expert analysis.
When referring to point spreads or handicaps, the favorite is indicated by a negative number (-1.5) signifying that they are expected to win by that margin.
On the other hand, the underdog is the team or player that is perceived to have a lower chance of winning the event according to sportsbooks and betting odds. It is typically the weaker or less favored competitor based on various factors such as recent performance, injuries, rankings, or historical records.
When referring to point spreads or handicaps the underdog is indicated by a positive number signifying that they are given a virtual head start or cushion against the favorite. Betting on the underdog typically offers higher potential payouts compared to betting on the favorite since they are considered less likely to win.
Sports to Use Minus 1.5 Point Spread Bets
Point spread betting is getting more popular in sports betting and the minus 1,5 point spread is a popular option. Here are a few sports where you can use the -1.5 point spread bet:
- Soccer
- Football
- Hockey
- Basketball
- Baseball
- Tennis
In these sports, the margin of victory is often greater than one. So, in a soccer match, a minus 1.5 handicap means the favorite must win by 2 goals or more before you can win the bet. In a game like basketball where scores are calculated as points, the favored team has to win by two or more points.
The minus 1.5 betting feature is a potent betting option, especially for sports with high margins of victory. However, before using this option, research the team and all the factors that could affect their gameplay,
Minus 1.5 Vs Plus 1.5
On a simple note, a -1.5 point spread indicates a team is a favorite, so to win a bet on this point spread, the favorite side must win by 2 or more goals, points, or runs, depending on the type of sports.
If you are placing this bet it’s because you expect the favorite team to win easily, so if you are not sure that the team can win by more than 2 points, it might not be a great idea to bet on them.
On the other hand, plus 1.5 is the opposite of minus 1.5. A point spread of this figure usually means the team is the underdog and they have to win outright or lose by less than 1 point for you to win the bet.
If the underdog wins it is called an upset and usually comes with a high payout. However, even if they don’t win and still lose by one point, you would get a payout.
How Can You Tell If The Underdog or the Favorite Won?
A quick and easy way to do this is to subtract the underdog’s final score from the favorite’s final score. If the score is less than 1 or in the negative, then a bet on the underdog wins. However, if the score is more than 2, then a bet on the favorite wins.
-1.5 Wins Example
Let’s assume we have two teams A and B in a soccer match. Team A is the favorite and team B is the underdog. If team A has a -1.5 handicap, it means that they have to win by at least 2 points
- Team A scored 6 goals
- Team B scores 4 goals
- 6-4 = 2
- 2 is greater than 1.5, hence team A wins.
+1.5 Wins Example
Using the same example we above, let’s give an instance of the underdog winning.
- Team A scores 4 goals
- Team B scores 5 goals
- 4-5 = -1
- -1 is in the negative hence the underdog wins the bet by claiming an upset victory.
Other Point Spreads to Consider
Minus 1.5 and plus 1.5 are just two of the many point spread options available for you to bet on. These point spreads all offer different betting opportunities and levels of risk. Here are a few other options you might encounter while trying to bet on the point spread:
Minus 1 (-1)
A point spread of -1 indicates that the favored team or player is expected to win by exactly one point. Bettors who choose this option win if the favored team wins by at least two points.
Minus 2 (-2)
This is similar to the -1.5 point spread but the favored team or player is expected to win by a margin of two points or goals. Bettors win if the favored team wins by three or more points or goals.
Minus 2.5 (-2.5)
A point spread of -2.5 indicates that the favorite team has to win by at least 2.5 points or goals. This is similar to the -2 point spread, except that the extra .5 serves as a hook to prevent a push from occurring. Bettors who bet on this spread win if the favored team wins by three or more points or goals.
Minus 3 (-3)
The favored team or player is expected to win by a margin of three points or goals. Bettors win if the favored team wins by four or more points.
Plus 1 (+1)
In contrast to minus point spreads, plus point spreads are given to the underdog and signify that they are expected to lose the match by greater than the given spread. A plus 1 spread indicates that the underdog is given a one-point advantage. Bettors will win if the underdogs win outright or lose by one point.
Plus 2 (+2)
The underdog is given a two-point advantage. Bettors will win if the underdog either wins the game outright or loses by two or fewer points.
Plus 2.5 (+2.5)
Plus 2.5 is similar to the +2.5 point spread. However, the extra .5 works to prevent a tie. A point spread of +2.5 means bettors will win if the underdog wins the game or loses by fewer than 2 points.
Plus 3 (+3)
With this point spread, the underdog is given a three-point advantage. You can still win the bet even if the underdog loses the game by as much as 3 points.
What are Pick’em Bets
Pick’em bets, also known as “pick,” “pick’em,” or “PK” bets, refer to wagers placed on a sports matchup where there is no point spread involved. Players just bet on which side will win or lose. In a pick’em scenario, the two teams are considered to be evenly matched, and there is no clear favorite or underdog.
So, unlike point spread bets where certain points are used to handicap the favored team, pick’em bets do not involve any spread. The betting options are straightforward and there is no consideration of point differentials or margins of victory.
Other features of a pick’em bets include the following:
- Even Odds: The payouts are similar regardless of the side you choose.
- Simple Betting Strategy: There is no need to analyze point spreads or handicaps as bettors only need to predict the outright winner of the game.
- Risk and Rewards: Pick’em bets still offer a level of risk, so there is a need for thorough research before making a wager.
What Does Puck Line Mean?
The puck line is a kind of point spread used in ice hockey. Like the typical point spread, it is used to handicap the favorite and underdog in a game. The puck line involves both a spread and odds and is typically set at +/- 1.5 goals. This means that if you bet on the favorite (-1.5), they must win by at least two goals for your bet to win and if you bet on the underdog, they must either win the game outright or lose by one goal for your bet to win.
Because the puck line involves a spread, the odds for betting on the favorite or underdog are adjusted accordingly. Betting on the favorite typically offers higher payouts since it is considered a riskier proposition while betting on the underdog offers lower payouts due to the added cushion.
Also, although this is less common, sportsbooks may offer alternative puck line spreads in addition to the standard +/-5 goals. This is to provide bettors with different options and payout possibilities. These alternative spreads could include +/-0.5 goals, +/-2.5 goals, and other variations.
The puck line lets you wager on the margin of victory in addition to the outcome of the game. It adds an extra layer of strategy and excitement to hockey betting, particularly for those knowledgeable about the sport and its intricacies.
FAQs
- How does “minus 1.5” differ from other point spreads?
“Minus 1.5” indicates the favored team must win by at least 2 points or goals. Unlike “pick’em” bets or other spreads, it adds a margin of victory requirement for bettors to win their wagers.
- Is betting on minus 1.5 always riskier than other options?
Yes, because the favored team must win by a specific margin. However, it can offer higher payouts if the favorite performs well. Understanding the teams’ strengths and recent performances helps assess the risk.
- Can minus 1.5 be applied to all sports?
Yes, it’s commonly used in various sports like basketball, soccer, and hockey. In each sport, it signifies the favored team must win by a specific margin, ensuring consistent betting mechanics across different games.
- Are there situations where betting on minus 1.5 is more favorable?
Yes, when the favored team is significantly stronger than their opponent or has a history of winning by large margins. Additionally, factors like home advantage and opponent injuries can influence the likelihood of covering the spread.
- How do odds for minus 1.5 bets compare to other types of bets?
Betting on minus 1.5 typically offers higher odds than betting on the favorite to win outright. However, it also comes with increased risk due to the margin of victory requirement. Evaluating the odds against the perceived probability of success is crucial for informed betting decisions.