2022 Daytona 500 Odds and Predictions

Valentine’s Day and the NFL’s Superbowl are in the books which means that the start of a new NASCAR Cup Series season is near! The Daytona 500 is set for Sunday, February 20, 2022, following Pole qualifying and the two qualifying Duel races. Last year it was Michael McDowell of Front Row Motorsports who took home the checkered flag and he’s returning to defend the title but oddsmakers are not looking at him to repeat.

McDowell comes into the race at +6000 which is a far cry from the numbers oddsmakers have placed on the favorites starting with Denny Hamlin at +850. Hamlin has won the Daytona 500 three times making him the only active full-time driver with multiple 500 wins. That stat also makes him the top favorite heading into the race.

Daytona 500 Betting Sites

Two interesting names pop out at me when looking at the odds list. Both Kyle Busch and Kevin Harvick are further down the list. Busch comes in at +1600 while Harvick is +1800. We could be seeing oddsmakers fade on two veteran drivers. Both Busch and Harvick struggles last season with Busch winning one race and making it to the Playoffs.

Harvick failed to win a single race in 2021 and missed the playoffs completely only one season after he had dominated the series before losing the Championship to Elliott in 2020.

Here are the top-five favorites to win the 2022 Daytona 500

Denny Hamlin +850

Chase Elliott +1000

Kyle Larson +1100

Joey Logano +1200

Ryan Blaney +1200

It’s interesting to note that all three NASCAR manufacturers are represented with the drivers listed above. Hamlin drives a Toyota for Joe Gibbs Racing, Elliott and Larson pilot Chevrolets for Hendrick Motorsports, Logano, and Blaney drive Fords for Team Penske.

The race week includes events in the ARCA Racing Series, the Camping World Truck Series, and the NASCAR Cup Series which is on Sunday. ARCA and the Trucks run on Saturday.

NASCAR Betting Guide

2022 Daytona 500 Preview

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Track: Daytona International Speedway Daytona, Florida

Type: 2.5-mile paved high-banked superspeedway

Race Distance: 200 laps / 500 miles

Defending Winner: Michael McDowell

TV/Radio: Fox / MRN

NASCAR Handicapping Stats

2022 Daytona 500 Picks

Denny Hamlin +850

Denny Hamlin has won the Daytona 500 three times in his Cup Series career. He’s the only active and full-time driver with multiple Daytona 500 wins. That ties him with Bobby Allison, Dale Jarrett, and Jeff Gordon. It pushes him past six former drivers with two 500 wins including Bill Elliott, Jimmie Johnson, and Dale Earnhardt Jr. That’s some strong company. There’s no reason to think Hamlin won’t be in the mix towards the end of the 2022 Daytona 500 unless he gets caught up in something before the checkered flag flies.

Ryan Blaney +1200

Ryan Blaney comes into the Daytona 500 with a strong Penske car and some good runs at Daytona under his belt including a win at the track during the fall race. He was second at the 500 in 2020 and 2017. He finished 7th in 2018. He has four top-ten runs at the track in his Cup Series career and ten on Superspeedways. NASCAR Fantasy stats have him listed 2nd behind Hamlin when it comes to Daytona. Three of his four Cup Series wins have come on Superspeedways.

Michael McDowell +6000

Michael McDowell proved that unexpected things can happen when it comes to racing on a superspeedway. But McDowell may not have pulled off a fluke win with his Daytona 500 victory last year. He’s had strong runs at Daytona over his last ten visits to the track including his win. But he also has three top-five runs and four top-ten efforts. Over those same ten Daytona races, he’s finished 15th or better eight of ten times.

Others: Darrell “Bubba” Wallace Jr. (+1800) has always run well on Superspeedways and now he’s in a quality ride. Don’t be surprised if he’s in the mix. The same goes for Alex Bowman (+1600) who continues to impress over the last few seasons. Last year he won twice – Pocono and Martinsville.

Fantasy NASCAR Guide

2022 Daytona 500 Betting Lines

Denny Hamlin +850

Chase Elliott +1000

Kyle Larson +1100

Joey Logano +1200

Ryan Blaney +1200

William Byron +1400

Brad Keselowski +1400

Alex Bowman +1600

Kyle Busch +1600

Darrell Wallace Jr. +1800

Kurt Busch +1800

Kevin Harvick +1800

Martin Truex Jr +2000

Austin Dillon +2200

Aric Almirola +2200

Tyler Reddick +2500

Ricky Stenhouse Jr +2500

Austin Cindric +2500

Christopher Bell +2500

Chris Buescher +3500

Justin Haley +3500

AJ Allmendinger +3500

Ross Chastain +4500

Chase Briscoe +5000

Cole Custer +5500

Erik Jones +5500

Harrison Burton +6000

Daniel Suarez +6000

Michael McDowell +6000

Matt Dibenedetto +8000

Kaz Grala +10000

Noah Gragson +10000

Ty Dillon +10000

Landon Cassill +12500

Corey Lajoie +12500

Todd Gilliland +15000

J.J. Yeley +15000

BJ McLeod +25000

Garrett Smithley +25000

Cody Ware +25000

Josh Bilicki +25000

Quinn Houff +25000

Take a look at the new next-gen NASCAR race car.

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Kent Whitaker
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