The Golden Boot is awarded to the top goalscorer at each World Cup. Some of soccer’s greatest-ever players have scooped the prize, but there have also been several surprise winners over the years.
This particular betting market invariably dishes up excellent value. So, let’s take a look at the top contenders and potential sleepers for the 2022 World Cup Golden Boot and settle on a pick.
Top Contenders to Win the 2022 World Cup Golden Boot
The bookmakers’ top five favorites are priced between +800 and +1200, with England’s Harry Kane leading the way. Kylian Mbappe, Neymar, Karim Benzema and Lionel Messi are also expected to score plenty of goals in Qatar.
Harry Kane (+800)
Kane clinched the Golden Boot at the 2018 World Cup, scoring six goals across six appearances in Russia. In total, the England captain has netted 51 goals in 75 games for his country – making him one of the most prolific strikers in world soccer.
Kylian Mbappe (+900)
Having bagged 19 goals in 20 games for PSG this season, Mbappe looks destined to enjoy a hugely successful World Cup campaign. The 23-year-old has already scored 28 international goals, with four of those coming during France’s World Cup-winning campaign in 2018.
Neymar (+1200)
Brazil is the bookies’ favorite to lift the trophy in Qatar – and Neymar is Brazil’s star player. Mbappe’s PSG teammate finds himself just two goals behind Pele on Brazil’s all-time scoring leaderboard with 75 international goals to his name.
Karim Benzema (+1200)
Fresh from winning the Ballon d’Or, Benzema will be confident of adding the World Cup Golden Boot to his trophy cabinet. Although he has struggled with injuries this season, nobody would be surprised if he outscored everyone in Qatar.
Lionel Messi (+1200)
Despite having turned 35 earlier this year, Messi is still one of the best players on the planet. The legendary forward has netted a whopping 90 goals for his country and singlehandedly fired Argentina to Copa America glory last year.
2022 World Cup Golden Boot Sleepers
It’s time to look at a couple of potential sleepers that could upset the 2022 World Cup Golden Boot odds. Priced at +3300 and +4000, these two players have the potential to make bettors a serious profit.
Vinicius Junior (+3300)
Although Neymar is Brazil’s talisman, Vinicius Junior looks set to light up the tournament in Qatar. The Real Madrid winger has netted 32 goals across his previous 73 club games, cementing his status as one of the world’s top attacking talents.
Serge Gnabry (+4000)
Serge Gnabry’s record speaks for itself. Indeed, the 27-year-old has scored 20 goals in 36 appearances for Germany. Having racked up ten goals and ten assists for Bayern Munich this season, he heads into the World Cup in sparkling form.
2022 World Cup Golden Boot Predictions
Kane and Mbappe are the favorites to win the Golden Boot, but I can see Neymar outscoring the bookies’ frontrunners in Qatar. Why? Because Brazil is expected to go deeper than England and France this time around.
On top of that, Neymar has already bagged 15 goals and 12 assists in 20 games for PSG this season. If he carries his domestic form onto the World Cup stage, he could make a mockery of his Golden Boot odds.
Best Bet: Neymar to Win the Golden Boot (+1200)
2022 World Cup Golden Boot Betting Lines
Harry Kane +800
Kylian Mbappe +900
Neymar Jr +1200
Karim Benzema +1200
Lionel Messi +1200
Cristiano Ronaldo +1800
Lautaro Martinez +2000
Memphis Depay +2000
Romelu Lukaku +2500
Richarlison +2500
Gabriel Jesus +3300
Guilherme Pedro +3300
Vinicius Jr +3300
Alvaro Morata +3300
Kai Havertz +4000
Raphinha +4000
Robert Lewandowski +4000
Serge Gnabry +4000
Darwin Nunez +4000
Antoine Griezmann +5000
Andre Silva +5000
Paulo Dybala +5000
Rafael Leao +5000
Aleksandar Mitrovic +5000
Cody Gakpo +6600
Dusan Vlahovic +6600
Ferran Torres +6600
Julian Alvarez +6600
Kevin De Bruyne +6600
Luis Suarez +6600
Michy Batshuayi +6600
Bruno Fernandes +6600
Phil Foden +6600
Raheem Sterling +6600
Ansu Fati +6600
Rodrygo +6600
Gabriel Martinelli +6600
Karim Adeyemi +6600
Marco Asensio +6600
Niclas Fullkrug +6600
Thomas Muller +6600
Dries Mertens +8000
Eden Hazard +8000
Jamal Musiala +8000
Leroy Sane +8000
Olivier Giroud +8000
Joao Felix +8000
Steven Bergwijn +8000
Brennan Johnson +8000
Gareth Bale +8000
Marcus Rashford +8000
Sadio Mane +8000
Edinson Cavani +10000
Jack Grealish +10000
Andreas Cornelius +10000
Daizen Maeda +10000
Antony +10000
Heung-Min Son +10000
Josh Sargent +10000
Jude Bellingham +10000
Luka Jovic +10000
Goncalo Ramos +10000
Pedri +10000
Vincent Janssen +10000
Xavi Simons +10000
Youssoufa Moukoko +10000
Andrej Kramaric +12500
Breel Embolo +12500
Bukayo Saka +12500
Christian Pulisic +12500
Dusan Tadic +12500
Kasper Dolberg +12500
Krzysztof Piatek +12500
Leandro Trossard +12500
Mason Mount +12500
Youssef En-Nesyri +12500
Read our 2022 World Cup Group H picks and 2022 World Cup Group G picks.