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The 2021 NFL regular season moves into the crucial month of December. Through the first 12 weeks of the season, the betting trends on the NFL total line continue to favor the UNDER with a 56.2 winning percentage.
Recapping this past Sunday’s games, the OVER actually had the slight edge at 6-5. Looking ahead to this Sunday’s schedule, here are my Top 5 plays on the NFL total line.
Colts at Texans Week 13 Total
Best Bet: OVER 46
The Colts are coming off a tough 38-31 loss to Tampa Bay in a game they had a chance to win. The total went OVER 53 points and it has now gone OVER in five of their last six games. Houston lost to Indianapolis 31-3 in the first meeting this season.
The total has gone OVER in seven of the Colts’ last eight games played on the road. While recent trends between the two teams point to a lower score than the current betting line, Indianapolis could take the total OVER on its own.
Vikings at Lions Week 13 Total
Best Bet: OVER 47
Minnesota’s offense has scored at least 26 points in each of its last four games with the total going OVER in three of those contests. Detroit is still looking for its first victory of the season after another heart-breaking loss in the closing minutes of a game.
The Vikings won the first meeting this season 19-17 in a grinder at home. That game stayed well UNDER the closing 49.5-point line. However, the total has gone OVER in seven of Minnesota’s last eight games on the road.
Buccaneers at Falcons Week 13 Total
Best Bet: OVER 49.5
Tampa Bay has scored a combined 68 points in its last two games as one of the highest scoring teams in the NFL this season. The Falcons managed to squeeze past Jacksonville 21-14 in Week 12 to improve to 5-6 on the year.
The total went OVER 52 points the first meeting this season with Tampa Bay winning 48-25 at home. The total has now gone OVER in nine of the last 10 meetings between these two NFC South rivals. It has gone OVER in the last five meetings in Atlanta.
Ravens at Steelers Week 13 Total
Best Bet: UNDER 44
Give credit to the Ravens’ defense in their last two wins with a combined 23 points allowed. The total has stayed UNDER in their last three outings. Pittsburgh only managed to score 10 points in Sunday’s dismal loss to Cincinnati.
The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of Baltimore’s last 15 games dating back to last season. It has stayed UNDER in seven of the Ravens’ last eight road games. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of Pittsburgh’s last 11 games played in December.
Broncos at Chiefs Week 13 Total
Best Bet: UNDER 49
Coming off Sunday’s big 28-13 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers, the total has stayed UNDER in Denver’s last five games. It has also stayed UNDER in five of the Chiefs’ last six games after beating Dallas 19-9 on Thanksgiving.
The total has stayed UNDER in five of the Broncos’ last six games on the road. It has stayed UNDER in nine of 11 games this season. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings in this AFC West clash.
