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The Sunday after Christmas was good to bettors going with the OVER on the total line. If you had bet the OVER in all 12 games, you would have cashed nine winning tickets against just three games staying UNDER. These results were a dramatic shift from the season-long lean towards lower scoring games.
Here is a look at my Top 5 NFL plays on the total line for this Sunday’s games in Week 17.
Giants at Bears Week 17 Total
Best Bet: UNDER 38
The Giants have lost their last four games while scoring a combined 46 points. Chicago is coming off a 25-24 upset over Seattle with Nick Foles as the starting quarterback. That sparked some life on the offensive end of the field.
The total has stayed UNDER in seven of New York’s last nine games. It has also stayed UNDER in five of its last seven games against the Bears. Look for another low-scoring battle this Sunday between two teams riding out the string.
Chiefs at Bengals Week 17 Total
Best Bet: OVER 49
The Chiefs extended their current winning streak to eight games by routing Pittsburgh by 26 points. Cincinnati is coming off a big win against Baltimore while scoring 41 points. This could set the stage for a shootout this Sunday.
The total has gone OVER in six of the Chiefs’ last eight games against an AFC team. The total has gone OVER in six of Cincinnati’s last nine games overall. It has also gone OVER in four of the Bengals’ last five home games.
Eagles at Washington Week 17 Total
Best Bet: OVER 44
The Eagles have scored a combined 94 points in their last three games. This includes 27 points against Washington just two weeks ago. The Football Team just gave up 56 points in a lopsided loss against Dallas.
The total has gone OVER in four of Philadelphia’s last five games overall and in four of its last six division games. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings between these NFC East foes.
Broncos at Chargers Week 17 Total
Best Bet: UNDER 45.5
Denver has lost three of its last four games while scoring a combined 32 points in those three losses. The Chargers lost to the Broncos 28-13 on Nov. 28 in a game that stayed UNDER the 47-point total line.
The total has stayed UNDER in the last eight meetings in Los Angeles. It has also stayed UNDER in seven of Denver’s last eight road games. Look for both of these trends to hold up in this Sunday’s matchup.
Vikings at Packers Week 17 Total
Best Bet: OVER 48.5
The Vikings need a win and some help to stay in the wild card playoff race after losing to the Los Angeles Rams at home this past Sunday. Green Bay needs a win to maintain its top seed in the NFC.
With both of these NFC North foes playing with something on the line, the points should add up on the scoreboard. The total has gone OVER in eight of the Vikings’ last 10 road games. It has also gone OVER in eight of Green Bay’s last 10 games against a division rival.
