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This past Sunday’s early games were a financial boon to anyone betting the UNDER on the total line. Eight of the nine early games stayed UNDER the closing line. Points were a bit more easy to come by in the later games with three of next five games going OVER the total line.
Here is a quick look at my Top Five total line plays for this Sunday’s games after going 3-2 with my best bet plays in each of the first three weeks of the new NFL season.
Read our over/under betting guide if you don’t know how to bet NFL totals.
Lions at Bears Week 4 Total
Best Bet: UNDER 44 Points
Detroit limps into this black & blue NFC North Division battle at 0-3 straight-up. After scoring 33 points in a loss to San Francisco, the Lions have combined for 34 points in their last two losses to Green Bay and Baltimore. The total has stayed UNDER in the Bears’ last two games.
The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last nine meetings in Chicago. It has also stayed UNDER in 15 of Chicago’s last 20 home games.
WFT at Falcons Week 4 Total
Best Bet: OVER 48 Points
The Football Team just gave up 43 points in a lopsided road loss against Buffalo. A total of 59 points were scored the previous week in a one-point win over the New York Giants. Atlanta earned its first SU victory of the year after allowing a combined 80 points in its first two games.
Defense should take a backseat in this NFC matchup given all the points scored in earlier games. The total has gone OVER in four of Washington’s last five road games against the Falcons.
Seahawks at 49ers Week 4 Total
Seahawks vs. 49ers Predictions
Best Bet: OVER 50 Points
This is a crucial divisional game for Seattle coming off back-to-back losses to Tennessee and Minnesota. The Seahawks allowed a combined 63 points in those two setbacks. San Francisco was on the wrong end of a 30-28 home loss to Green Bay as a three-point favorite.
Recent trends favor a higher scoring game in this NFC West showdown. The total has gone OVER five of the previous six meetings. The total has gone OVER in four of San Francisco’s last six games overall.
Cardinals at Rams Week 4 Total
Cardinals vs. Rams Predictions
Best Bet: OVER 53.5 Points
The other half of the NFC West will square off against one another late Sunday afternoon with both the Cardinals and Rams 3-0 SU on the year. Arizona has scored a combined 103 points in victories against Tennessee, Minnesota and Jacksonville. LA has averaged 31.7 points per game in its first outings.
Recent trends in this divisional matchup actually favor a lower scoring contest than the current total line suggests. However, this is a brand new Rams’ offense with Matthew Stafford at quarterback. Look for each team to have success scoring points on Sunday.
Buccaneers at Patriots Week 4 Total
Buccaneers vs. Patriots Predictions
Best Bet: UNDER 49 Points
Tampa Bay quarterback Tom Brady returns to his old stomping grounds on Sunday night. While the Bucs have been lighting up the scoreboard as expected in their 2-1 SU start, defense may actually decide the outcome of this inter-conference clash.
The total has stayed UNDER in nine of New England’s last 11 games. It has stayed UNDER in six of the Patriots’ last eight games played at home. The total has also stayed UNDER in six of their last seven games against a team from the NFC.
