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Betting the UNDER in last Sunday’s 11 NFL games had a slight 6-5 edge as the oddsmakers start to sharpen up the weekly total lines. Through the first seven weeks of games, the UNDER bet now has a 54.5 winning percentage.
With seven weeks of games in the books, bettors now have a solid feel for all 32 NFL teams. This can be especially helpful when it comes to betting the total line. The following are my Top 5 plays on the total line for Sunday’s NFL Week 8 games.
Dolphins at Bills Week 8 Total
Best Bet: OVER 49.5 Points
Miami has lost its last six games straight-up starting with a 35-0 loss to Buffalo in Week 2. The Bills are coming off their bye week at 4-2 both SU and against the spread. The total has gone OVER in three of their last four games.
The total has gone OVER in the last five meetings in Buffalo. It has also gone OVER in five of the last six games overall between these two AFC East rivals. Look for Miami to score enough points this time around to take the total OVER again.
Titans at Colts Week 8 Total
Best Bet: OVER 48.5 Points
The Titans stunned Kansas City last Sunday to move to 5-2 both SU and ATS. Indianapolis has now won three of its last four games with the total going OVER in three of those contests. The Colts have scored 61 points combined in their last two games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Tennessee’s last 16 games and it has gone OVER in its last five road games. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings between these two division rivals.
Steelers at Browns Week 8 Total
Best Bet: UNDER 43.5 Points
Pittsburgh is coming off its bye week at an even 3-3 SU (2-4 ATS) on the year. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in five of those six games. Cleveland grinded out a 17-14 win over Denver with quarterback Baker Mayfield out of the lineup.
Each of these team’s offense could have a tough time putting points on the board in this AFC North battle. Mayfield remains questionable on the current injury report. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last eight meetings in Cleveland.
Panthers at Falcons Week 8 Total
Best Bet: UNDER 47 Points
Carolina is mired in a four-game losing streak after starting the season 3-0. Quarterback Sam Darnold was benched in last week’s loss to the New York Giants. The Falcons have won three of their last four games both SU and ATS.
The total has stayed UNDER in eight of Carolina’s last 10 games overall and it four of the Panthers’ last five road games. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings in this NFC South clash.
Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings
Best Bet: OVER 53.5 Points
Dallas went into last week’s bye at 5-1 SU (6-0 ATS). The total has gone OVER in five of those six games. Minnesota is also coming off a bye after winning three of its four previous games. The Vikings put up a combined 64 points in wins over Seattle and Carolina during that run.
The total has gone OVER in eight of the Cowboys’ last nine NFC games. It has gone OVER in their last five games against a team from the NFC North. The total has gone OVER in six of the Vikings’ last nine games.
