Bills vs. Patriots Player Props Picks for TNF Week 13

The AFC East battle between the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots headlines NFL week 13 on Thursday Night Football. The Bills are five-point favorites on the road and -225 odds on the money line. The total is set at 43.5 points.

Best NFL Bookies

Buffalo have won six of the last eight games played, but they are 3-4-1 ATS. New England is 3-1 both SU and ATS, plus the total stayed under in three of the last four games. Here are the top five NFL player props predictions for this Thursday night match-up.

Stefon Diggs Anytime TD Scorer (+105)

Stefon Diggs leads the Bills in receiving touchdowns with nine and he has 84 catches for 1110 yards in 11 games. Diggs has scored a touchdown in five of his last seven games.

New England’s defense is allowing 198.5 passing yards a game, which is ninth in the league. However, the Patriots allowed three touchdown receptions to Minnesota this past Thursday.

NFL Betting Lines

Josh Allen Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-175)

Buffalo’s offense revolves around the play of Josh Allen as the quarterback of his team. He has completed 262 throwing attempts for 3183 yards and 23 touchdown passes in 11 games this year. He has also completed touchdown passes to seven Bills’ players over the course of the season.

Allen has completed multiple TD passes in seven of the 11 games played this year with two TD passes against Detroit this past Thursday. He went 24 of 42 throwing the ball against the Lions for 253 yards.

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Devin Singletary Over 53.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Buffalo’s Devin Singletary has carried the ball 124 times for 552 yards and that works out to be 50.2 yards per game running the ball. He is picking up steam running the ball with 88 rushing yards against Cleveland and 72 rushing yards against Detroit in his last two games.

New England’s defense is allowing 109.3 rushing yards per game and Buffalo’s offense has averaged 136.7 rushing yards per game. As the Bills’ second-leading rusher, Singletary has an opportunity to go over 53 rushing yards before the final quarter.

Winning NFL Predictions

Mac Jones Over 1.5 Passing TDs (+165)

I expect Buffalo’s Allen to go over 1.5 passing TDs in Thursday night’s match-up, the same can be said about the Patriots Mac Jones. He is coming off a career day with 28 completions for 382 yards and two TD passes against Minnesota.

Buffalo’s defense allows 221.6 passing yards, which is ranked 19th in the league. Jones has to stretch his offense to meet the challenge instead of counting on the Patriots defense to do its share.

Rhamondre Stevenson Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-130)

Rhamondre Stevenson is still leading New England rushing the ball with 151 carries for 680 yards, but he is also catching the ball with 50 receptions for 359 yards this year. He has caught over 50 yards in four of his last five games.

He has 33 catches in his last five games after having just 17 catches in his first six games of the year. Stevenson could go over 28 receiving yards by the end of the third quarter.

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Dave Schwab
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