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The dust of college football’s 2022 week 1 has settled. Now, it’s on to week 2 where a number of match-ups offer value in game totals.
Much still needs to be sorted out to get a better grasp of how teams will perform this season. Even so, here are four games where the total is a strong bet.
Here are the best CFB week 2 over/under picks.
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
South Carolina vs. Arkansas Predictions
Best Bet: Over 52.5 Points
KJ Jefferson slayed Cincinnati in Week 1. Last season, he averaged 9.3 yards per pass attempt. But that’s not Arkansas’s offense. Jefferson led Arkansas in rushing with 63% of the team’s carries in 2021.
Arkansas lost Trelon Smith, but Raheim Sanders may be better. Over 10 percent of Sanders’ carries went over 10 yards. With four offensive line starters back, Arkansas’ rushing assault appears dangerous after Sanders gained 117 yards in the opener.
Last season, South Carolina allowed 4.9 yards per rush, rated 127th in Power Success Rate Allowed, 115th in Stuff Rate, and 112th in Defensive Line Yards. Only one defensive line starter returns.
Spencer Rattler will lead the Gamecocks’ offense this season. He struggled in 2022 at Oklahoma, but he averaged 9.6 yards per attempt and made 32 huge throws in 2020. South Carolina has a strong core around him. Josh Vann and Jaheim Bell return after averaging over 15 yards per grab and 10 touchdowns in 2021.
These two rushing offenses combined with the efficiency of both quarterbacks are going to put up some points on Saturday.
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
Tennessee vs. Pittsburgh Predictions
Best Bet: Over 65.5 Points
No team in FBS plays as fast as Tennessee. Under head coach Josh Heupel, the Vols averaged 3.12 plays per minute last year. No other team averaged more than 3.00.
Heupel went out and got himself a solid dual-threat quarterback in former Virginia Tech QB Hendon Hooker. He threw for 31 touchdowns last season. Hooker has WR Cedric Tillman back too. Tillman had over 1,000 yards receiving and 12 touchdowns last season.
Pitt plays a little slower under offensive coordinator Frank Cignetti, but the Panthers still put up 38 points in their Week 1 win. Both of these teams can score. Last year, they put up 75 points. Pitt won 41- 34. Expect it again.
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Central Michigan Chippewas
South Alabama vs. Central Michigan Predictions
Best Bet: Under 59.5 Points
Two things are working against points going up on the scoreboard in bunches in this game. One is South Alabama’s offense will struggle. They ranked outside the top 100 last year in just about every rushing statistic you can think of. The Jaguars will go up against a pretty stout CMU run defense.
Add in the pace of both teams and you have a recipe for the Under. South Alabama ranked 94th in pace last season averaging 2.27 plays per minute.
The Chippewas have a new offensive coordinator in Paul Petrino who ran the ball 57 percent of the time last season as the head coach at Idaho. His team ran 2.06 plays per minute.
The Jaguars are also a very good defense. In their season opener last week, South Alabama held Nicholls State to seven points and 2.5 yards per play.
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Army Black Knights
UTSA vs. Army Predictions
Best Bet: Over 53.5 Points
Army does a wonderful job of running the triple option offense and keeping the ball away from its opponents. Still, the Black Knights have trouble with good offenses. UTSA is a good one.
UTSA returns eight starters from a unit that finished 11th in the nation averaging 36.9 points per game last year. The Roadrunners put up 35 last week but lost in overtime 37-35 to a ranked Houston team.
The UTSA defense will have trouble with Army’s offense. Teams usually do have difficulty with Army because they don’t see this version of the option a lot.
UTSA’s last five games have gone Over the total as have their last five road games. Four of Army’s last five games played in September have gone Over the total. Look for some fireworks in this one.
