College Football Week 2 Over/Under Predictions

With week 1 in the rearview mirror. We finally have games to watch and review when making picks and that means that we have more info and so does Vegas. How can we take advantage of this data while not giving Vegas the same edge?

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Oregon vs. Ohio State Week 2

Oregon vs. Ohio State Predictions

Best Bet: OVER 63.5 Points

This matchup is an interesting one and I think one that will get to the over in most scenarios, regardless of how the game script goes. Oregon doesn’t have the team to replicate the Minnesota game plan of keep away and ball control through the run game. I think that this is really the key difference here because that game still went easily over.

Ohio State’s offense is the most talented in the country and they averaged over 10 yards per play in that game in just more than 20 minutes of possession and 48 offensive plays. When this team runs 75 plays, they are basically a lock to exceed 40 points and this line suggests that the Buckeyes should score 37.5 points. If Oregon’s offense struggles, which I think could happen, this only means that the Buckeyes will get more offensive opportunities and they will score in those opportunities. They could post 55 in this game and basically cover this number by themselves and that is the ultimate out here. If Oregon can keep the ball away, they will score enough to push us over the number.

NCAA Football Over/Under Odds

UAB vs. Georgia Week 2

UAB vs. Georgia Predictions

Best Bet: OVER 45.5 Points

This line is just too reactionary to the Clemson game that occurred on national TV last week. First of all, if UAB cannot score in a similar way to Clemson. Georgia will score 45+ points themselves via turnovers and field position. The Georgia offensive line will dominate this game and I expect Georgia to focus on getting the passing game going in an easier matchup after a disappointing performance against Clemson. They should realize that they cannot win big games like this moving forward and they need to develop a better offensive structure.

Missouri vs. Kentucky Week 2

Missouri vs. Kentucky Predictions

Best Bet: OVER 57 Points

This is a really interesting matchup that I assume won’t see a ton of overall action at this number. Really, I think both teams have better offenses than defenses and I think that the Kentucky defense was a bit leaky in week 1 while being completely dominant vs. one of the 2 worst teams in the country, making us feel a bit more comfortable with their defense than we should be. If Kentucky played a good G5 team, this total would be over 60 and that is the main reason for this play. The Kentucky offensive line is solid and the Mizzou passing game should make things happen in this game.

NCAA Football Over/Under Predictions

Washington vs. Michigan Week 2

Washington vs. Michigan Predictions

Best Bet: UNDER 48.5 Points

I’ll bite on this one. Washington looked like an absolute dumpster fire on offense in their first game and they are fundamentally sound on the defensive side of the ball. This should simply be enough for the under. Michigan’s offense looked better than expected in the first game, but they lost their best-skill player to a season-ending injury and they played Western Michigan, not Georgia. We know Washington will show up and be competent defensively and we cannot say the same about the offense.

Pittsburgh vs. Tennessee Week 2

Pittsburgh vs. Tennessee Predictions

Best Bet: OVER 57.5 Points

These two teams are very interesting to watch this season and I think this results in a good amount of points in this game. Tennessee’s defense wasn’t tested last week, but they aren’t very talented with the defensive transfers like Henry To’oto’o leaving. Pitt was able to run over UMass, but that’s not saying much. I expect the playtime of Tennessee and Joe Milton to either result in turnovers or points and Pitt will be able to keep up in either scenario.