For the third week in a row, I went 6-4 with my Top 10 NFL picks. My goal is to bump things up in Week 4 now that we have had a good look at all 32 teams.
There are a number of interesting games on the board heading into the first quarter mark of the season.
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New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions Pick: New Orleans -4
The Saints have lost their last two games to create an early sense of urgency in this Sunday’s game. New Orleans has gone 7-1 both straight-up and against the spread in its last eight road games.
Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers Pick: OVER 52
The total line is already inflated in this matchup but I am still leaning that way. It has gone OVER five of the last six meetings. It has also gone OVER in six of Carolina’s last seven games played at home.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals Pick: Jacksonville +3
Jacksonville got a harsh dose of reality with its lopsided loss to Miami. However, the added days of rest should serve the Jaguars well against the 0-2-1 Bengals. Jacksonville has been able to cover ATS in four of its last six games.
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Cleveland Browns at Dallas Cowboys Pick: Dallas -4½
Cleveland has beaten the teams it was supposed to in its SU 2-1 start. However, it is facing a 1- 2 Dallas team that needs an impressive win at home. This presents the perfect opportunity for the Cowboys to finally play to expectations and win a game with relative ease.
Los Angeles Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick: OVER 45
The Chargers have struggled on offense but Tampa Bay is finding its form with Tom Brady leading the way. The Bucs have put up 82 points in their 2-1 SU start. The NFL game total has gone OVER in Tampa Bay’s last eight home games.
Baltimore Ravens at Washington Football Team Pick: Baltimore -13
Baltimore catches a break this week coming off a rough Monday night loss to Kansas City at home. Look for the Ravens to cover the large spread against their Beltway rivals. They have a five-game winning streak (SU and ATS) on the road.
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Seattle Seahawks at Miami Dolphins Pick: Seattle -6½
Seattle has the early lead in the NFC West at 3-0 both SU and ATS. It has also been one of the most consistent teams during the first three weeks of the season. Miami is well rested but I do not see the Dolphins keeping things closer than a touchdown spread.
New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams Pick: OVER 47
The Giants have played to expectations in their 0-3 SU start. The Rams are coming off a tough loss to Buffalo after erasing a huge deficit. The one constant with LA this season is the ability to score points. The total has gone OVER in five of the Rams’ last six games.
Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders Pick: Las Vegas +2½
The Bills are setting the early pace in the AFC East standings at 3-0 SU with a 2-1 record ATS. However, until the Raiders lose at home, I am riding that Las Vegas luck. Jon Gruden will have his team ready to go coming off the loss to New England.
Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers Pick: OVER 45
The Eagles have stumbled out of the gate to a 0-2-1 SU start while failing to cover in all three games as favorites. San Francisco is back on track with 67 points in its last two games. I like the 49ers to cover but I love the OVER on the low total line.
