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After going .500 with my top picks in Week 4, I grinded out a small gain last week by cashing in on six of the 10 plays.
Keeping up with all the major NFL injuries, cancelled games and postponements has been a challenge but I feel confident that my NFL Week 6 picks are on track to produce a very profitable run.
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Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings Prediction: OVER 55
These two NFC teams have one combined straight-up win in disappointing starts. They have also given up over 30 points a game through the first five weeks. Points should not be hard to come by in this matchup.
Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers Prediction: Carolina -2½
The Bears have been impressive in their 4-1 SU start but I am still not sold on this team as one of the best in the NFC standings. Carolina continues to play tough on defense. Giving up less than a field goal at home makes this a very attractive play.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction: Cleveland +3½
The Browns have won their last four games SU to officially make them a hot team. Pittsburgh has also won four games in a row but I think it is in for a four-quarter battle on Sunday. The extra half point on the field goal point spread tips things towards Cleveland.
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Denver Broncos at New England Patriots Prediction: UNDER 45½
These two teams have been on ice the past two weeks after last Monday night’s game was postponed. I expected a low scoring game then, and with the added rust, I have the total staying UNDER the total this Sunday.
Washington Redskins at New York Giants Prediction: UNDER 43
Despite the 1-4 SU start, Washington is only one game out of first place in the dismal NFC East. New York (0-5 SU) still looking for that first SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in 14 of the Giants’ last 17 home games in this NFC East rivalry.
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts Prediction: Cincinnati +8
The Bengals are a better team than the one that got blown out in Baltimore last Sunday. The Colts came back down to earth in last week’s loss to Cleveland. Indy should win at home but this matchup will remain closer than eight points.
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Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction: Tampa Bay +2
Green Bay has been able to position itself as one of the top NFC teams with its 4-0 start SU and against the spread. However, I am betting on Tom Brady in this game with 3-2 Tampa Bay coming off that tough loss to Chicago.
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers Prediction: UNDER 50½
The Rams are off to a fast 4-1 SU start while going 3-2 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in three of those games. The total has also stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings in San Francisco when it comes to this heated NFC West rivalry.
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills Prediction: Kansas City -3
You would think the OVER on the 55-point total line would be the way to go in this one given each teams’ quarterback. However, Kansas City is coming off a SU loss to the rival Las Vegas Raiders. I cannot see the Chiefs losing two in a row (SU or ATS).
Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys Prediction: Dallas +2½
Arizona has been a tough team to figure out in its 3-2 start SU and ATS. Dallas will be playing its first full game without quarterback Dak Prescott. Playing at home, I think Andy Dalton makes enough plays to get the SU win.
