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There are a number of statistics available to help bettors win more NBA bets. Many will pay attention to factors such as team or even individual shooting percentage. Teams that shoot the ball well tend to do better than those that do not.
But does a measurable like team shooting percentage really line up with more victories? What about points allowed by a defense? It would make sense that teams that allow fewer points would win more games, but that is not always the case.
There are several more advanced NBA statistics that yield a clearer picture of what is really happening on the court. Here are a few that you can utilize to win more NBA bets.
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True Shooting Percentage
When we say “shooting percentage” are we talking about two-pointers, three-pointers, or free throws? Therein lies the problem with using shooting percentage as an indicator of success.
True shooting percentage takes into account all three areas and you can analyze this stat both for teams and for individuals. Using true shooting percentage for a given player will offer a better idea of a player’s offensive performance on the floor.
Offensive & Defensive Efficiency
When you think about it, winning basketball comes down to being as efficient as possible on offense and on defense. Teams want to maximize the number of points they score on the offensive end. Likewise, on the defensive end teams want to minimize the number of points scored by an opponent.
Both of these measurable are adjusted for pace, calculating the number of points scored or allowed per possession. Both offensive efficiency and defensive efficiency are then given per 100 possessions so that they look like points per game numbers.
A team may average 100 points per game, but the team’s offensive efficiency rating is 120.5.
Interpreting that, we find that this team really maximizes – it is efficient – its offensive possessions. Similarly, a team may give up 100 points per game but their defensive efficiency statistic comes in at 96.5. That would reflect a very efficient defense.
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Pace Factor
Pace was mentioned in the calculation for offensive and defensive efficiency. Pace factor is one of the best advanced stats to use when betting on NBA totals.
Pace factor simply measures the average number of possessions a team has in a game. Possessions are, of course, important because they can result in points. Teams that average more possessions per game are more likely to score more points per game.
That is why pace factor is valuable in betting NBA totals.
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Points Per Possession
This advanced stat should not be confused with efficiency. This one just breaks down points per possession for an individual player or team.
You can get an accurate picture of team’s or player’s scoring tendencies. This stat also takes into account turnovers, which are treated as a missed field goal. Other factors may contribute to a turnover, but essentially, you get a clear picture of what a player contributes per possession per game.
NBA bettors can use this advanced stat when working on game player prop bets or to help in making more sound decisions when it comes to point spread bets and moneyline bets.
These are just a few of the many metrics that are available for NBA bettors. It’s important to not rely on one set of data when making betting decisions. Most of the NBA advanced statistics are great for making props and futures bets. Use them wisely.
