It is time for Round Two of the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Playoffs with the running of the South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. As expected, Kevin Harvick comes in as the favorite heading into the race weekend at +333.
Harvick won last weekend at Bristol where he held off Kyle Busch down the stretch. Busch led 159 laps to Harvick’s 226. After the race, Busch commented that he might not make it to the next round of the Playoffs. That may have pushed him down the favorites list this week.
Busch comes in at +1000 behind seven other drivers. As for the favorites – the log jam is at +600 with three drivers. Here’s how that breaks down according to Intertops.
Kevin Harvick +333
Martin Truex Jr +550
Brad Keselowski +600
Joey Logano +600
Denny Hamlin +600
Where to Bet: NASCAR Sportsbooks Online
Championship Playoff Drivers:
Four Championship eligible drivers were eliminated after last week’s race – Ryan Blaney, Matt DiBenedetto, Cole Custer, William Byron. Twelve drivers remain in the Playoffs. The cutline is eight.
1. Kevin Harvick
2. Denny Hamlin
3. Brad Keselowski
4. Joey Logano
5. Chase Elliott
6. Martin Truex Jr
7. Alex Bowman
8. Austin Dillon
Cutoff Line:
9. Aric Almirola
10. Kyle Busch
11. Clint Bowyer
12. Kurt Busch
Beginners Guide to Betting on NASCAR Races
2020 South Point 400 NASCAR Preview
Track: Las Vegas Motor Speedway, Las Vegas Nevada
Type: 1.5 miles, tri-oval, asphalt
Turns: 4
Banking: Turns 12° – 20° progressive banking
Race Distance: 400.5 miles, 267 laps
Defending Track Winner: Joey Logano
TV/Radio: NBC-SN / MRN
Start Time: Sunday, September 27, at 7:30 PM Eastern
Wins by Manufacturer: Ford 13, Chevrolet 7, Toyota 4, (Dodge 1)
2020 South Point 400 NASCAR Predictions
Kevin Harvick +333
I feel like Kevin Harvick will have a bad run sometime… Vegas may not be the place to count him out. He has been dominant all year and he has two wins at the track. His key stat for Vegas is that, among Championship Playoff drivers, he’s led the most laps with 679 as the leader.
Joey Logano +600
Joey Logano is the defending track winner at Las Vegas. That gives him two checkered flags in the last three races at the track. He trails Harvick, again – among Playoff drivers, when it comes to being out front with 487 laps as the leader. Out of 14 Cup Series starts at Vegas Logano has finished ten times inside the top-ten with six top-five runs.
Kyle Busch +1000
I’ve faded Kyle Busch for weeks and have been correct. But, at +1000 he looks more attractive. Granted, this has not been a stellar season for the defending Cup Series Champion but you can’t push his numbers aside. He has one win at the track in the Cup Series and five additional wins at the track in the Xfinity and Gander Outdoors Truck Series. He has nine runs inside the top-ten as a Cup driver.
Others I like
Brad Keselowski and Ryan Blaney: Brad Keselowski has three wins at Las Vegas and has finished 1 st , 2 nd , or 3 rd in the last four races at the track. Ryan Blaney was eliminated from the Playoffs last week but he has run well at Las Vegas. He has eight Cup Series starts there and he’s finished top-ten five times with one pole.
One Fantasy Driver
Here’s the guy I round out my fantasy team with this week – Brad Keselowski! If you can get Keselowski – add him to your team! He has an average finish of 3.6 with an average start of 8.5 over the last ten races at Las Vegas. That’s a big swing.
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2020 South Point 400 Odds
Kevin Harvick +333
Martin Truex Jr +550
Brad Keselowski +600
Joey Logano +600
Denny Hamlin +600
Chase Elliott +650
Ryan Blaney +800
Kyle Busch +1000
Aric Almirola +2500
Alex Bowman +3300
Clint Bowyer +3300
Kurt Busch +3300
Jimmie Johnson +4000
Austin Dillon +4000
William Byron +4000
Erik Jones +4000
Matt Dibenedetto +5000
Tyler Reddick +6600
Christopher Bell +8000
Matt Kenseth +10000
Cole Custer +10000
Ryan Newman +12500
Ricky Stenhouse Jr +15000
Chris Buescher +25000
Bubba Wallace +30000
Ty Dillon +50000
Michael McDowell +50000
John Hunter Nemechek +50000
Ryan Preece +75000
Daniel Suarez +100000
