Advanced basketball metrics can take your NBA betting to the next level. Sure, statistics like points per game, rebounds and assists are helpful, but utilizing more in-depth metrics will only enhance your chances of winning money.
One of the most useful advanced basketball metrics is player impact estimate (PIE). Below, we cover all the key details about PIE and explain how bettors can use PIE to land a tasty profit when wagering on the NBA.
What is NBA Player Impact Estimate?
Player impact estimate is a metric that gauges a player’s all-round contribution to the game. Most box score statistics are involved when it comes to calculating PIE, resulting in an overall percentage.
For those unaware, the box score is used to summarize and average the data of many different stats, including games played, field goals, 3-pointers, rebounds, assists, turnovers, steals, blocks and more.
Essentially, PIE is used to calculate what percentage of the events in a game each player contributed to. It is also worth noting that PIE aims to add more value to defensive actions than the player efficiency rating (PER).
So, how does PIE influence NBA betting? Can basketball bettors use PIE to land winning wagers on a consistent basis? Read on to discover the answers to those questions.
How NBA Bettors Can Utilize Player Impact Estimate
Basketball bettors are always looking for ways to get the better of sportsbooks. Thankfully, player impact estimate can help you find value in the NBA odds and gain an edge on the bookies.
Since PIE is an all-in-one-measurement that gives you an overall idea of a player’s impact, you can use the metric to predict which players will dominate games and which players could struggle to influence the contest.
The obvious betting markets for PIE are points, assists and rebounds. Players with a high PIE rating are more likely to score points and have a positive impact on the game, so bettors should look to target these players.
Recent PIE leaders in the NBA include Joel Embiid, Nikola Jokic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, LeBron James and Jimmy Butler. All of these players are dominant centers or forwards who consistently rack up big scores in games.
Ultimately, a high PIE rating correlates to more success on the court. If a team possesses multiple players with high PIE ratings, they will stand a greater chance of defeating an opponent with only one standout performer.
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