The NFL Divisional Round kicks off on Saturday with a pair of games and concludes on Sunday with two games. We’re going to analyze the best NFL player props picks for the Divisional Round.
Even with just four games on the schedule, there are dozens of player props to consider.
Here are the top five player props predictions for the NFL Divisional Round:
Patrick Mahomes Props Picks for Divisional Round
Best Bet: Mahomes Over 314.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Mahomes needs to have a big game to cash this prop, but he’s capable. Mahomes has thrown for 315+ passing yards in nine of his last 12 games, including 313 passing yards in week 10 against Jacksonville.
The Jaguars are allowing 239.3 PYPG (27th), while the Chiefs average 297.8 PYPG (1st) on offense. As long as this isn’t a complete blowout, Mahomes will throw for 315+ passing yards on Saturday.
Miles Sanders Props Picks for Divisional Round
Best Bet: Sanders Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Sanders ranked 5th in rushing yards (1269) and 8th in rushing TDs (11) during the regular season. He has had 65 or fewer rushing yards in each of his last four games, though, which is a concern.
His last good game was against the Giants in week 14 where he rushed for 144 yards and 2 TDs. The Giants allow 139.6 RYPG (27th). If Sanders gets 15+ carries, I like his chances to cash this prop.
All it takes is breaking one or two big runs for this player prop.
Dawson Knox Props Picks for Divisional Round
Best Bet: Knox to Score a Touchdown (+180)
We hit on Knox to score a touchdown last weekend at +195 odds and we’re going to bet on the same prop this weekend. Knox has caught a touchdown in his last five games.
Knox almost had two TDs last weekend, but he dropped one in the end zone. He’s a popular target in the red zone for Josh Allen. This will be a high-scoring game and Knox will find a way to punch one in.
Christian McCaffrey Props Picks for Divisional Round
Best Bet: McCaffrey Over 64.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
McCaffrey put up 119 rushing yards on just 15 carries against Seattle last weekend. He has rushed for 65+ yards in five of his last seven games. He should get more touches against Dallas this week as well.
Dallas rank 8th against the pass (208.3 PYPG), but 22nd against the run (125 RYPG). If McCaffrey gets 20+ touches, he should easily cash this player prop. Last week, he had one rush go for 68 yards.
Travis Kelce Props Picks for Divisional Round
Best Bet: Kelce Over 79.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Kelce leads the Chiefs in receiving yards (1338) and receiving TDs (12) this season. He hasn’t caught a TD in his last six games, though. He has had 80+ receiving yards in seven of his last 12 games.
The Jaguars allow more receiving yards to tight ends (68.61) than anyone else in the NFL. Kelce had just seven targets against the Jags in week 10, but he still finished with 6 receptions for 81 yards and 1 TD.
Kelce will need to have a big performance for the Chiefs to eliminate the Jaguars on Sunday.