NFL Player Props Picks for Week 12

This Sunday in early NFL games, the Cincinnati Bengals are three-point road favorites against the Tennessee Titans with the total being 43.5 points. The Washington Commanders are four-point favorites at home against the Atlanta Falcons in a 1 p.m. (ET) start and the Baltimore Ravens are four-point road favorites taking on the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Top NFL Bookies

Late in the afternoon at 4:25 p.m., the San Francisco 49ers are nine-point home favorites against the New Orleans Saints and the Kansas City Chiefs are 15.5-point home favorites in an interconference match-up with a Los Angeles Rams.

Here are the top NFL player props for week 12:

Derrick Henry Over 94.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Bengals vs. Titans Picks

Tennessee’s running back Derrick Henry has 230 rushing attempts for 1010 yards in 10 games. He has averaged 4.8 yards per carry and he has five rushing touchdowns in the last five games. The Titans are 4-1 SU (5-0 ATS) in the last five contests.

Cincinnati’s defense has allowed a total of 1171 rushing yards in 10 games this season, which is 13th in the NFL. Henry should easily rush for more than 94.5 yards against the Bengals.

NFL Betting Lines

Taylor Heinicke Over 1.5 Passing TD (+145)

Falcons vs. Commanders Picks

Taylor Heinicke has played the last five games as quarterback for the Commanders and he has completed 60.8% of his passes for 1031 yards and five touchdowns. Heinicke threw four touchdowns in his last two home games against Green Bay and Minnesota.

Washington has won four out of five games with Heinicke controlling the offense and he is home against Atlanta this Sunday. The Falcons defense is 29th in the league against the pass, allowing 266.3 yards a game. Atlanta is giving up 24.4 points a game, which is 27th in the NFL.

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Lamar Jackson Anytime TD Scorer (+155)

Ravens vs. Jaguars Picks

Quarterback Lamar Jackson is leading Baltimore in rushing attempts (97) and rushing yards (666) through 10 games. He is also tied for three rushing touchdowns at the top of the list with Kenyan Drake. Jackson has a nose for the ball when nearing the end zone.

The Ravens are favored on the road and should jump out to a quick lead against the Jaguars. Jackson is more dangerous running the ball in those situations and he can dictate the play from the quarterback position.

NFL Predictions

Christian McCaffrey Longest Rush Over 14.5 Yards (-125)

Saints vs. 49ers Picks

Christian McCaffrey has played four games for San Francisco and carried the ball 47 times for 209 yards. His longest run was 25 yards in a single play. McCaffrey also has two scoring touchdowns running the ball. He is averaging 52.3 rushing yards a game.

New Orleans’ defense is allowing an average of 132.1 yards rushing in 11 games. The Saints also got blown out by Baltimore and Pittsburgh in two of the last three games. McCaffrey will have plenty of opportunity to go longer than 14.5 yards on a single rushing attempt.

Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing TDs (+130)

Rams vs. Chiefs Picks

Patrick Mahomes is leading the way as quarterback for Kansas City. He has 265 completions for 3265 passing yards and 28 touchdown throws in 10 games. In the last four games, he has 11 touchdown passes and the Chiefs have scored a combined 121 points.

The Rams have given up 22.7 points a game this season and a combined 101 points in their last four outings against San Francisco, Tampa Bay, Arizona and New Orleans. The Chiefs offense and Mahomes will probably score on two touchdown passes in the first half.

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Dave Schwab
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