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We’re going to take a look at the top five NFL week 3 ATS picks.
In week 2, favorites ended up going 5-9-1 ATS. In week 1, favorites went 8-8 ATS, which means favorites have only gone 13-17-1 ATS this season. Will underdogs continue barking in week 3 action?
Here are my top five NFL week 3 point spread predictions:
Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots
Best Bet: Ravens -3
The Ravens (1-1 / 1-1 ATS) take on the Patriots (1-1 / 0-1-1 ATS) on Sunday.
The Patriots may have a small edge on defense. They allow 17 PPG (8th), while the Ravens allow 25.5 PPG (23rd). However, the biggest mismatch is on the offensive side of the football.
Baltimore are scoring 31 PPG (4th) and the Patriots are only scoring 12 PPG (29th). The Patriots are now 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games. The Ravens are 4-0 ATS following an ATS loss.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Jets
Bengals vs. Jets Picks
Best Bet: Bengals -5
The Bengals (0-2 / 0-2 ATS) need to get in the win column against the Jets (1-1 / 1-1 ATS).
The Jets defeated Cincy (34-31) last season as +14.5 underdogs. That hasn’t stopped nearly 90% of ATS bets being placed on the Bengals. This feels like a trap and I’ll be taking the points.
The Jets are 5-1 ATS in the last six H2H meetings in New York. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last ten H2H meetings. Joe Flacco has looked good at QB and will be able to keep pace with Joe Burrow.
New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers
Best Bet: Saints -3
The Saints (1-1 / 0-2 ATS) are coming off a tough loss to the Bucs (20-10). They head on the road this week to take on the Panthers (0-2 / 0-2 ATS) who have been struggling with Baker Mayfield.
These two division rivals split the season series 1-1 last season. However, the Saints have won five of the last six H2H meetings. The Saints are 6-2 ATS in the last eight H2H games in Carolina.
Trusting Jameis Winston isn’t ideal, as he’s turnover prone, but he can still air it out. NO average 126.5 RYPG (9th) and if they move the football on the ground, they’ll easily cover the small point spread.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Indianapolis Colts
Best Bet: Chiefs -6.5
Until Matt Ryan and the Colts (0-1-1 / 0-2 ATS) start producing, I’ll be fading them.
The Chiefs (2-0 / 1-1 ATS) only won by a FG against LAC (27-24), but that’s a team Patrick Mahomes has struggled against. The Colts were just shut out by the Jaguars (24-0) in week 2.
KC will get up early in this game. If they don’t let up, they cover by more than a TD. There’s a chance the Colts can get a backdoor cover here, but I have little faith in them at this point.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders
Best Bet: Commanders +6.5
The Eagles (2-0 / 1-1 ATS) and Commanders (1-1 / 1-1 ATS) are familiar with each other.
These NFC East rivals will meet on Sunday. Last season, the Eagles won both H2H meetings, but this spread is a bit high between division rivals.The home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four H2H games.
Carson Wentz will produce enough to keep this game close late. The Commanders need to zero in on Jalen Hurts, as if you’re able to limit him and hit him a few times, you’ll beat the Eagles.
