NFL Week 7 Moneyline Underdog Picks (ML Dogs)

The dogs weren’t barking loud enough last week as Coach Rick backed three home underdogs but only one came through – San Francisco.

The 49ers put together an impressive win to even their record at 3-3. This week features a few more home underdogs. Which, if any, does Coach Rick like?

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Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals Picks

But wait Coach Rick…you aren’t really going to be against Russell Wilson are you?

Yes…yes, I am. Despite Wilson being 72-54-7 ATS in the regular season during his stellar career, Coach Rick has as alternative theory. It’s not outlandish and it’s backed with numbers.

Seattle under head coach Pete Carroll has been bettor-friendly in each of the following situations:

Playing at home: 36-22-3 ATS

Playing as underdogs: 46-34-3 ATS

Playing outside the NFC West: 57-42-6 ATS

Sunday’s game with Arizona is none of those. Seattle will be a divisional road favorite and that is a situation where bettors can find some value on the Seahawks’ opponent.

In 16 games as a divisional road favorite under Carroll, Seattle’s opponents are 10-5-1 ATS. Add in the Cardinals 10-4-2 ATS record as an underdog under their head coach Kliff Kingsbury and you understand why Coach Rick is backing Arizona at +154.

Best Moneyline Pick: CARDINALS +154

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tennessee Titans Picks

Yes, Coach Rick loves his Steelers, but he also loves wins and Tennessee gives a great opportunity here. The Titans are 5-0 on the season and at home against the 5-0 Steelers.

Tennessee has arguably the best running back in the game in Derrick Henry who went off last week for 212 yards rushing and two touchdowns, crushed his NFL player props. Don’t expect those kinds of numbers against Pittsburgh. The Steelers have the No. 2 run defense in the NFL.

What Coach Rick really likes here is the Over which is 8-1 in the Titans last nine home games and 6-1 in Pittsburgh’s last seven games at Tennessee.

But, this will be the first real test – Cleveland is never a test – for Pittsburgh and the Titans have won close games all season long.

Best Moneyline Pick: TITANS +110

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Las Vegas Raiders Picks

Really? The Raiders are a home underdog against the Bucs, who just thrashed Green Bay last week. Coach Rick, have you lost it?

So, the Raiders don’t do all that well after a bye week. In fact, since 2003, the Raiders have the worst record in the NFL after a bye – 3-14.

But, in the famous words of Lloyd Christmas, “So…you’re saying there’s a chance!”

The Raiders have one of the more efficient offenses in the NFL. The Bucs run defense is the league’s best and that could spell difficulty for Las Vegas RB Josh Jacobs. Still, look for Raiders HC Jon Gruden to use his imagination and rookie wide receiver Henry Ruggs.

The one NFL statistic staring Coach Rick in the face is this – The Raiders are 5-1 straight up in their last six home games against Tampa Bay. Yes, this will be the first one in Las Vegas, but what a great time to start a new streak.

Best Moneyline Pick: RAIDERS +139