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There are six games on the schedule for Super Wild Card Weekend in the NFL. We’re going to predict the point spread winner for all six of the match-ups for the wild card round.
The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles earned a bye, but the other 12 teams are in action.
Seahawks vs. 49ers ATS Pick for Wild Card Game
Best Bet: Seahawks +10 (-110)
The Seattle Seahawks (7-10 ATS) and San Francisco 49ers (11-6 ATS) meet on Saturday. The 49ers won both H2H games during the regular season, but the Seahawks are 4-2 SU against SF since 2020.
Seattle should be able to limit Brock Purdy’s production, as they rank #13 against the pass (211.5 PYPG), but the 49ers will be able to move the football on the ground, as Seattle allow 150.2 RYPG (30th).
I expect the 49ers to win, but fail to cover the big point spread.
Chargers vs. Jaguars ATS Pick for Wild Card Game
Best Bet: Chargers -1 (-110)
The Jaguars (8-9 ATS) dominated the Chargers (11-5-1 ATS) in week 3 (38-10), but Keenan Allen was out. Mike Williams is banged up now, but he’s expected to start in this wild card match-up.
Jacksonville rank #28 against the pass (238.5 PYPG) and will struggle to stop Justin Herbert. LAC are 7-2 ATS on the road this season and finished the regular season on a 4-1 (4-0-1 ATS) run.
Dolphins vs. Bills ATS Pick for Wild Card Game
Best Bet: Dolphins +10.5 (-110)
The Bills (8-7-1 ATS) rank #2 in scoring (28.4 PPG). They also rank in the top ten in passing (258.1 PYPG) and rushing (139.5 RYPG). Miami rank #4 in passing yards (265.4 PYPG).
However, Tua Tagovailoa is injured and at risk of missing this game. The reason I like the Dolphins to keep it close is because the two H2H games during the regular season game were extremely close.
Miami won the first H2H game in week 3 (21-19) and Buffalo won in week 15 (32-29).
Giants vs. Vikings ATS Pick for Wild Card Game
Best Bet: Vikings -3 (-110)
This is a tough game to predict. The Vikings (7-9-1 ATS) are 8-1 (4-5 ATS) at home this season, but this is a small spread. The Giants (13-4 ATS) had the best against the spread record this season.
The Giants are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games, but just 2-5-1 SU during that time. The Vikings rank #6 in passing yards (263.8 PYPG). Minnesota are tough at home and the Giants aren’t ready for the playoffs.
Ravens vs. Bengals ATS Pick for Wild Card Game
Best Bet: Bengals -6.5 (-110)
The Bengals (12-4 ATS) and Ravens (7-9-1 ATS) went 1-1 in the H2H series this season. Cincy just won against the Ravens last week (27-16) with Lamar Jackson out with an injury.
Even if Jackson does play, his knee isn’t close to 100% and he won’t be as mobile. The Bengals are 6-1 (5-2 ATS) at home. Baltimore are 3-1-1 ATS as an underdog and 6-3 ATS on the road this season.
Cowboys vs. Buccaneers ATS Pick for Wild Card Game
Best Bet: Cowboys -2.5 (-110)
The Buccaneers (4-12-1 ATS) won the NFC South with a record below .500 (8-9). They’re just 3-4 (1-6 ATS) in their last seven games. The Cowboys (10-7 ATS) are on a 3-2 (1-3-1 ATS) run.
Will we see any Tom Brady magic in the postseason? I’m not banking on it. Dallas rank #8 against the pass (200.9 PYPG). Dallas average 27.5 PPG (4th) and the Bucs won’t be able to keep up.
