Premier League Golden Boot Betting Tips 2020/21

Who is excited for the start of the 202/21 Premier League campaign?

One of the EPL futures I always bet on is the Golden Boot winner. There’s always value in this market, as it’s tough to predict on an annual basis, but it makes watching the matches a lot more fun.

Make sure you check out or 2020/21 Premier League season preview as well.


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First, let’s recap the top goal scorers from the last few Premier League campaigns.

Analyzing Past EPL Golden Boot Winners

In 2017/18, Mohamed Salah shocked everyone by scoring 32 goals.

In the last two seasons, no player has been able to hit the 30-goal milestone.

In 2018/19, Salah, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Sadio Mane were all tied for the Golden Boot with 22 goals. If you had backed any of these three players, you would have cashed.

Last season, Jamie Vardy was the top scorer with 23 goals.

I’m predicting that it’s going to take 25+ goals to win the 2020/21 Premier League Golden Boot. I also expect the winner to come from a top six team this season and not a recently promoted Premier League team.

Top Contenders to Win the 2020/21 Premier League Golden Boot

Every player in the EPL Golden Boot market is priced above 5/1 at BetOnline.

Here are the five players priced below 10/1:

Mohamed Salah (Liverpool) +550

Should Salah be the Golden Boot favorite? I’m not so sure.

Last season was the first time Salah failed to register 20 goals with Liverpool (19 Goals). He led the league in scoring the two campaigns before last season, though, so he’ll be popular with the public.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Arsenal) +600

Aubameyang has netted 22 goals for Arsenal in each of the last two seasons. He’s the lone proven goal scorer on the team and he’s going to have every opportunity to win his first EPL Golden Boot.

Harry Kane (Tottenham) +650

Kane won back-to-back Golden Boot awards during the 2015/16 and 2016/17 campaigns.

He scored 30 goals in 2017/18 as well, but that was the year Salah dominated offensively.

Kane has struggled with fitness the last two seasons, scoring 17 goals in 28 (1) matches in 2018/19 and 18 goals in 29 matches in 2019/20. He’s a proven goal scorer, but he needs to stay healthy.

Sergio Aguero (Manchester City) +700

Aguero won the Golden Boot during the 2014/15 season with 26 goals.

Since then, though, Aguero hasn’t been able to score 25+ goals in a season and he’s coming off his worst campaign since 2012/13 (12 Goals), as he only scored 16 goals in 24 (6) appearances.

I wouldn’t recommend betting on Aguero, as City have a deep rotation filled with goal scorers.

Timo Werner (Chelsea) +800

Werner has landed with Chelsea in the Premier League after an incredible campaign.

He scored 28 Bundesliga goals in 34 appearances for RB Leipzig in 2019/20. He was a big part of the reason Leipzig had Champions League success too, as he netted four UCL goals this season.

Werner is an interesting Golden Boot prediction, as Chelsea ranked #3 in goal scoring (69 Goals) last season. The problem for Chelsea was that they conceded 54 goals.


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Golden Boot Best Bet for 2020/21 EPL Season

I’m going with Werner at 8/1 odds. He’s the #1 striker for Chelsea and they scored a lot of goals last season, so I expect the youngster to fit right in and start producing early on.

With an opening week match against Brighton, Werner could get out to a fast start.

2020/21 Premier League Top Scorer Odds

Here are the odds for every player priced up at BetOnline:

Mohamed Salah +550

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang +600

Harry Kane +650

Sergio Aguero +700

Timo Werner +800

Raheem Sterling +1200

Anthony Martial +1400

Gabriel Jesus +1400

Jamie Vardy +1400

Sadio Mane +1400

Marcus Rashford +1600

Danny Ings +2000

Raul Jimenez +2200

Mason Greenwood +2500

Bruno Fernandes +2800

Alexandre Lacazette +3300

Roberto Firmino +3300

Tammy Abraham +3300

Christian Pulisic +4000

Hakim Ziyech +4000

Aleksandar Mitrovic +5000

Dominic Calvert-Lewin +5000

Heung-Min Son +5000

Riyad Mahrez +5000

Kevin de Bruyne +6600

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Scott Jack
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