The other main betting market for NFL games, besides picking against the point spread, is the over or under on the total line. The NFL total line is a combined score of both teams in a game. The most common total line for NFL games is at the end of all four quarters plus overtime, but many sportsbooks release a total lines for every quarter and half.
A professional sports handicapper predicts how many points can be generated by the favorite team and underdog team in an NFL game to determine the over or under of the total line. The average sports betting fan has a tendency to go over the total line, especially in a big matchup between two explosive offensive teams. A pro handicapper has a more realistic approach. They compare a sportsbook’s total line with the probable combined score of each NFL team in a particular game.
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A professional handicapper has statistical measures of performance of the two teams and the key individual players on offense, defense and special teams. They know that any sportsbook will tend to favor the over on the total line as a handicapping tool. A pro handicapper selects the best scenario for both teams’ points and compares the totals to the sportsbook’s line.
Betting that the total line stays under will require good defense and some miscues by offense on both teams. Betting that the total line goes over the sportsbook’s total line requires good offense by both teams (and/or bad defense). Many aspects of the particular NFL game has to go right to go over the total line. In either case, a professional handicapper uses intuition to make the call.
NFL Over/Under Betting Lines and Odds
The NFL over/under on the combined total line is somewhere between 40 and 60 points with an average of 47.5 points. If you get a matchup between good defenses, the total is lower than the average. If you get a matchup of two explosive offenses, the total is on the higher side of the equation. Expert analysis can determine the right call either way.
A professional handicapper has the statistics on performance, facts about the two teams and individual players, plus recent betting trends on previous games. From this information, they can make a probable call of going over or staying under the sportsbook’s betting line for the total score. Some decisions are easy to call. However, some difficult decisions are required when setting the sportsbook’s total line. A sportsbook might use a half point on a total line to separate the over from the under.
The NFL has sharp betting lines by online bookies for the combined total score in a whole game. It takes an expert sports bettor to examine all the right angles of the contests for determining the right call of the outcome.
The sportsbook’s betting odds also can be sharp. For example, the total line is set at 47.5 in a particular game with +105 odds for taking the under and -115 odds for taking the over. A professional handicapper knows and understands both the betting lines and odds for predicting that NFL game. They can predict the game of going over the total line or staying under while figuring out the sportsbook’s odds for each choice.
Professional Consensus Total Line Picks for the NFL
A professional sports handicapper uses computerized stats, facts, recent betting trends and intuition to predict the NFL game in terms of covering the point spread, winning the game straight-up and going over or staying under the total line. A professional handicapper’s consensus is a detailed report that provides a breakdown of picks based on the point spread, winning the game straight-up and the total line.
An NFL professional consensus shows a percentage of the total number of selections for each betting market. The NFL total line for a game is one of the popular wagers of avid sports betting fans. These sports betting fans tend to use a pro handicapper’s prediction. They also tend to uses the professional consensus if the percentage is 70% or higher.
A professional consensus gives you a percentage of which handicappers are betting over and which handicappers are betting under the total on a particular NFL game. For example, the percentage breakdown of a total line between the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles could be 70% over 50 points and 30% under 50 points using ten pro handicappers predictions. The sportsbook’s odds could be -115 for the over and +105 for the under in this bet.
As an avid bettor with enough money to place a sizeable bet, you have to decide whether the uptick in the sportsbook’s commission is worth it to count on 70% of the pro handicappers consensus. The probability is in your favor to go over the 50 point total line.
A reputable sports pick service can provide a professional consensus for the NFL. This consensus is a great handicapping tool for avid bettors with a total line for a game. The amateur sports bettor can use the professional consensus percentage to bet on the over or under of NFL games. A professional handicapper is right in their picks 55% to 58% of the time. The professional consensus (70% and above) of NFL picks on the total line is a smart idea to make a positive return on your investment.
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An NFL Consensus of point spreads and total lines for the games can be made up of amateur or professional sports bettors. While you can “fade” the amateur sports bettors with their tendency to pick the favorite on the point spread and go over the total, you have to pay attention to the professional consensus and their NFL picks. There is both science and art that goes into a pro handicapper’s predictions. When there is a professional consensus of 70% and higher on a particular NFL game, the probability of the outcome is 70% and higher. A pro handicapper has computerized stats, facts, recent betting trends and intuition to back them up with their NFL picks.