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Super Bowl LVI is nearly upon us and bettors are gearing up for this weekend’s games. Bettors will hammer the moneyline, spread, and Super Bowl 56 totals bets. There is plenty of value elsewhere too.
While the NFL has become a passing league, there are a number of value bets in the rushing props category.
Read our Rams vs. Bengals preview for the big game on Sunday.
Here is a look at the best Super Bowl LVI rushing props odds and picks.
Joe Mixon – Rushing Yards
Over 62.5 (-115)
Under 62.5 (-115)
The Rams have only allowed two running backs to go Over 52 yards in their last nine games. Yes, Mixon ran for 88 in the AFC title game win over Kansas City, but that was the first time he went over 65 in his last eight games.
Los Angeles also held Colts RB Jonathan Taylor, the NFL’s leading rusher, to just 51 yards on 15 carries this season. The Bengals will be forced to rely on QB Joe Burrow, plus they have offensive line issues.
Pick: UNDER 62.5 (-115)
Joe Burrow – Longest Run
Over 8.5 (-110)
Under 8.5 (-120)
Burrow went off for 25 yards against the blitz-happy Chiefs. He saw some opportunities and he took them. Typically though, Burrow doesn’t gain that many yards per game.
In fact, Burrow averages 7.7 yards per game this season. The Rams finished third in sacks in the NFL this season with 50, but they rank just 24th in pressure percentage. That means that a sack is the more likely result of any pressure.
Burrow is more likely to stay around his season average for the game, which means a run of over 8.5 yards is unlikely.
PICK: Under 8.5 (-120)
Sony Michel – Most Rushing Yards
The game’s starters – Cam Akers for the Rams and Joe Mixon for the Bengals – are the favorites to be Super Bowl LVI’s leading rusher. Akers and Mixon are each given +110 odds to have the most rushing yards on Sunday.
Here’s the thing though. Mixon had 88 yards last week against a so-so Chiefs run defense. It was the first time he went over 65 yards in eight games. Against the Rams defense, Mixon isn’t likely to have success.
On the other side is Akers, but since he returned to the Rams starting lineup he hasn’t run for over 55 yards in a single game. Michel, on the other hand, stepped in for Akers and totaled 121, 79, 92, 131, and 74 yards.
When Akers can’t get going, Michel will be given some carries. He’ll make the best of them and wind up as the game’s leading rusher.
PICK: MICHEL +750
Joe Mixon – Rushing Attempts
Over 16.5 (-105)
Under 16.5 (-125)
Mixon was one of just three NFL running backs to play at least 16 regular season games and average more than 18 carries per game.
In eight of his last ten games, Mixon has gone over the 16.5 carry mark. In the AFC title game, he had 21 carries against Kansas City.
There is really no other option for Cincy. The only question is will the Bengals run the ball 20 times on Sunday? For the season, Cincinnati ran an average of 61.9 plays per game.
If the Bengals stay with their playoff mix of 61 percent pass and 39 percent run, that means they would attempt 24 runs. The bulk of those carries would go to Mixon and that would put him Over 16.5.
PICK: OVER 16.5 (-105)
Want to have a bit of fun? Bet on these 2022 Super Bowl commercials props.
