Top Five NFL Player Props Picks for Monday Night Football Week 7

It looks as if it is going to rain formost of the day in Seattle, so the conditions for Monday Night Football at Lumen Field are going to be less than ideal. Winds of up to 20 mph will also factor into what these teams can do on offense.

NFL Bookies

And of course, that has an impact on the props for the game between the Seattle Seahawks and the New Orleans Saints.

Read our Saints vs. Seahawks betting preview for tonight’s big game.

Jameis Winston Props Picks: Under 200.5 Passing Yards

MNF Props Odds: Over 200.5 Yards (-115) / Under 200.5 Yards (-115)

Winston is trying to undergo a transformation – from the mistake-prone guy who threw 30 interceptions two years ago as a starter in Tampa Bay to a guy who can “manage” an offense.

Coach Sean Payton has tried to put Winston in a position where he doesn’t have to rely so heavily on throwing the football, and indeed the Saints have ruin the ball with more frequency than any team in the NFL (54.7%).

Also, consider the weather conditions, which might be reasonably expected to push you toward the ground game (more on that below), and the fact that New Orleans is missing a lot of potential firepower at wide receiver, what with the absence of Deonte Harris, Tre’Quan Smith and Michael Thomas.

NFL MNF Odds

Alvin Kamara Props Picks: Under 127.5 Rushing/Receiving Yards

MNF Props Odds: Over 127.5 Yards (-115) / Under 127.5 Yards (-115)

While we do concede that if the Saints can rely on the running game, it might make a difference for them, these numbers don’t necessarily support it, unless you want to use Kamara’s performance against Seattle in 2019 as evidence to support it.

In that game, Kamara had 161 combined rushing-receiving yards.

This year, he hasn’t been prolific to the point where it dazzles anyone. He’s topped 100 yards on the ground once, but is averaging just 3.9 yards per carry. And he has a total of 113 receiving yards.

Yes, the script would dictate that New Orleans favors the run. But Seattle might take the opportunity to stack things in the box and force Jameis Winston to go downfield.

Alex Collins Props Picks: Over 46.5 Rushing Yards

MNF Props Odds: Over 46.5 Yards (-115) / Under 46.5 Yards (-115)

Collins produced 101 rushing yards last week against Pittsburgh, which brought about some excitement because of Pete Carroll’s usual fondness for running the ball.

With the injuries in the backfield, there aren’t a whole lot of places to turn. Of the choices, Collins might be considered the “hot hand” by Carroll, and remember that when he was put in the role of featured back with the Ravens in 2017, he almost got to 1000 yards. We aren’t looking so much at the yards per game here but instead at the yards per carry.

NFL MNF Predictions

Geno Smith Props Picks: Under 14.5 Rushing Yards

MNF Props Odds: Over 14.5 Yards (-110) / Under 14.5 Yards (-120)

Honestly, i wouldn’t like this direction on the prop very much at all if I thought Smith was going to be chased out of the pocket a lot by a fierce New Orleans pass rush. But the fact of the matter is that the Saints have had the second-lowest sack percentage in the NFL. That means the concentration is mostly on coverage and, well, containing Smith, the way they might otherwise try to contain Russell Wilson. Smith does not have the gift of improvisation Wilson has. Even when he was the starter with the Jets those first two years, and was pulling the ball down and running it more, he barely averaged 20 yards on the ground.

I don’t know – with Wilson on injured reserve, do you think Carroll would want Smith running around with the ball and taking hits? Jake Luton is the backup; he has six INT’s and seven sacks with just 110 NFL attempts. So the answer is “No.”

Juwan Johnson Props Picks: To Score a Touchdown

MNF Props Odds: Johnson +330 to score touchdown

Okay, so we’ll take a shot with this one. And it is predicated, of course, on the Saints getting into the red zone enough to support it.

But they are the NFL’s most efficient team when they get inside the 20, scoring 13 TD’s in 14 attempts.

Johnson, a tight end, has only had six receptions. But three of them have gone for touchdowns. So you can guess at one direction Jameis Winston is going to look if he gets close enough to the end zone.

Read our NFL player props betting guide if you don’t know how to place these types of wagers.