Top Five NFL Player Props Picks for Thursday Night Football Week 15

This week’s Thursday Night Football matchup is one of the best of the season. The Kansas City Chiefs will face the Los Angeles Chargers in a primetime battle. Both teams are coming off a win, making the spread difficult to bet.

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Some people like the Chiefs on the road, but a lot of slips also feature the Chargers. Player props solve the issue of not knowing the best team to wager. Here are my top five player props for Thursday Night Football.

Read our Chiefs vs. Chargers preview for TNF week 15.

Patrick Mahomes Under 282.5 Passing Yards

The Chiefs’ defense has been sensational this year, and the offense has been lagging behind. Kansas City has won games by playing terrific defense, so do not get confused. Patrick Mahomes has been good at times.

However, MVP Mahomes is not present this season. He is consistently turning the ball over and not having big passing games. Mahomes has only gone over this total once in his past five games. I expect Kansas City’s defense to be tough, not turning this game into a total shootout. This should limit Mahomes’ attempts.

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Justin Herbert Over 1.5 TD Passes

Justin Herbert is having a great year. He needs to not turn the ball over in the coming seasons. Nevertheless, he is second in the league in QBR. Herbert has been a touchdown throwing machine in the pocket.

For the Chargers to be competitive, they need to throw the ball down the field. This results in touchdown passes for Herbert. He has 12 touchdown passes in his past five games.

Travis Kelce Over 63.5 Passing Yards

When defending the pass, the Chargers are in the top third of the league. However, Travis Kelce always finds a way to get open. This total is relatively low, considering he has gone over 63.5 three times in his past five games.

Kelce is known for big plays, so a few long catches, and he will be at this total on Thursday.

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Justin Herbert Over 16.5 Rushing Yards

I love this prop bet because it’s a steal. The Chargers have a solid offensive line, but they still allow pressure. Herbert will often use his legs to escape pressure. The Chargers also call designed run plays for the quarterback.

He can hit this total with one decent scramble play. He has gone over this total four times in the past five games. The quarterback will be under some pressure on Thursday, which will help him go over 16.5 yards.

Tyreek Hill First TD Scorer

Tyreek Hill is fifth in touchdowns with eight on the season. It’s always a risk bet when picking the first touchdown scorer. However, for +600 odds, it’s a great bet with Tyreek Hill.

Hill is one of the best receivers in the game. Additionally, his explosive ability is unprecedented. I see him finding the endzone on Thursday, and it could be early.

Patrick Mahomes loves taking shots down the field to Hill. If the Chiefs jumped up early with an explosive play, good things will happen for the team.

Read our NFL player props betting guide and NFL touchdown props betting guide.

Best of luck betting Thursday Night Football.

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Kyle Parker
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