Looking at NFL Week 1 odds, there are some interesting matchups. In fact, bettors will find some serious value at America’s Bookie where you find the best moneyline odds on NFL dogs.
One of the more interesting Week 1 games pits Tom Brady wearing his new Tampa Bay uniform going up against Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints. At +153, the Bucs appear to have the weapons in place to compete with anyone.
They are also playing on the road with a defense that gave up 28 points per game last season. Plus, the public is heavy on this one with 61 percent of the moneyline bets on Tampa Bay. That might be a clue to stay away from this one.
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Here’s a look at three better NFL moneyline underdogs in Week 1. You can also check out our underdog picks to make the 2020 NFL playoffs.
Raiders vs. Panthers Moneyline Pick
The Panthers are a home underdog to the newly named Las Vegas Raiders. Carolina is coming off a miserable 5-11 season in 2019. The Raiders weren’t all that much better finishing 7-9 last season.
Raiders head coach Jon Gruden will try QB Derek Carr one last time. Carr was consistently inconsistent in 2019. Carr did complete 70.4 percent of his passes for 4,054 yards and 21 touchdowns, but he was sacked 29 times and spent too much time in Gruden’s doghouse.
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Carolina will start fresh with head coach Matt Rhule who took Baylor from 1-11 in 2017 to 11-3 last season. Rhule will have a new quarterback in Teddy Bridgewater, who went 5-0 in place of an injured Drew Brees in New Orleans last year.
What the Panthers also have is the best multidimensional running back in the game – Christian McCaffrey. Last year, McCaffrey became just the third NFL player to rush for over 1,000 yards and have over 1,000 yards receiving. The other two were Marshall Faulk and Roger Craig.
McCaffrey is a contender to lead the NFL in rushing yards and will be one of the chief reasons Carolina pulls the upset. The other is this. In the 15-year period 2003 to 2018, west coast teams only won 37.6 percent of their games on the east coast. The trip east will be the detriment of the Raiders, but will make underdog bettors very happy.
Best Bet: Carolina Panthers ML (+155)
Chargers vs. Bengals Moneyline Pick
The NFL and its fans will get a first look at #1 overall pick Joe Burrow as the Bengals host the Chargers. Cincinnati is coming off a horrendous 2-14 campaign and had one of the worst offenses in the league a year ago.
Burrow and rookie WR Tee Martin should change that. The Chargers do have a solid defense, but that unit received a severe blow when safety Derwin James was lost for at least six to eight weeks with a knee injury.
With the public favoring the Chargers in both spread and moneyline bets, this is the perfect time to get in and take advantage of Cincinnati at +154. Both offenses may struggle. Veteran journeyman Tyrod Taylor will lead the Chargers offense that no longer has RB Melvin Gordon.
Best Bet: Cincinnati Bengals ML (+154)
Cowboys vs. Rams Moneyline Pick
The Rams will play in their new stadium for the first time in Week 1. They will host the Dallas Cowboys, who have been getting plenty of hype with their new head coach Mike McCarthy and their $30-plus million quarterback Dak Prescott.
The two teams played last year in Dallas. The Cowboys took care of business 44-21, but the last time the two teams played in L.A. it was a different story. The Rams won 30-22 in the 2018 playoffs.
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With all the Dallas hype (which happens just about every preseason), 63 percent of the moneyline bets have been on the Dallas Cowboys.
Remember, this is a Rams defense that has been a top ten unit for the past three seasons. They also still have two-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald on the defensive line and three-time Pro Bowl CB Jalen Ramsey.
The Rams are a much better football team than what the public perceives. That’s why the Rams at +139 are a great pick in Week 1. A lot of the algos and NFL computer picks are also highlighting the Rams as a strong week 1 underdog.
Best Bet: Los Angeles Rams ML (+139)