Each and every week, moneyline underdogs have come up with some huge upsets. Last week, it was Houston which managed to beat the Chargers 41-29. The Texans were a +525 underdog.
The Bears scored a late touchdown then elected to go for two and the win. They nailed it and won 25-24 as a +250 underdog.
Who will it be this week? Here’s a look at the top three NFL Week 17 moneyline underdog picks.
Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Browns vs. Steelers Prediction
The Steelers were a slim one-point favorite over Cleveland until they got stomped by Kansas City last week. That opening line flipped quickly.
Sure, Pittsburgh didn’t play well against the Chiefs, but this is a situation where the Steelers and head coach Mike Tomlin thrive. As an underdog, Tomlin is 35-15-1 ATS in games played after Week 5. He’s also 12-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Remember just a few weeks ago? The Steelers were in a similar situation. They were down and out and home underdogs against Tennessee. The result? Pittsburgh 19-13.
The Browns are still the Browns and Baker Mayfield just might be another Johnny Manziel, only sober.
Best Moneyline Pick: STEELERS +160
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Football Team
These two teams played less than two weeks ago. Philly ran all over Washington gaining 238 yards on the ground and outgaining the Football Team 519 to 237. The Eagles only won by 10 and have now won five of six games.
The thing to remember is that Washington was missing several players, including QB Taylor Heinicke, to COVID. Now, the Eagles won’t have RB Miles Sanders and QB Jalen Hurts is not 100 percent. There is also this. Teams on two- or three-game win streaks facing an opponent on a three-loss streak are 33-60- 2 ATS.
At home in an NFC East Division game, the Football Team pulls the upset.
Best Moneyline Pick: WASHINGTON +155
Arizona Cardinals vs. Dallas Cowboys
Cardinals vs. Cowboys Prediction
The Cardinals have lost three straight, which is typical of Kliff Kingsbury-coached teams. QB Kyler Murray hasn’t been the same after his injury and the offense is lifeless without WR DeAndre Hopkins.
Still, there is plenty to like about the Cardinals. They perform well on the road, especially under Kingsbury. Since he became Arizona’s head coach, the Cardinals are 16-6-2 ATS in road games. They also happen to be 17-7-2 ATS as underdogs and 12-3-2 ATS as road underdogs.
Now, that may help in Arizona’s covering Sunday’s spread, but can they beat Dallas outright? Well, the Cardinals won last year at AT&T Stadium 38-10 and they are 7-1 on the road this season. Cards pull the upset.
Best Moneyline Pick: CARDINALS +210