I’ve been around way too long to spend a lot of time engaging in speculation as to whether Tyson Fury is going to retire from boxing after his Saturday fight against Dillian Whyte.
I’ll believe that when I see it. And even when I see it, I won’t.
Whyte can facilitate a farewell a whole lot quicker by wresting the heavyweight title (WBC version) from Fury in a fight that is expected to be seen by 94,000 people in Wembley Stadium.
In Fury’s last endeavor, he knocked out Deontay Wilder in the eleventh round,six months ago. But that was not before he hit the deck a couple of times.
There has been some weird stuff going on around Fury of late. There is, for example, a cloud around his “advisor,” Daniel Kinahan, an alleged international arch-criminal who has had sanctions imposed upon him by the United States, setting off a chain of events that resulted in the management company he founded, MTK Global, seizing operations very suddenly.
There’s also this promise on his part that this is his last fight, and that comes despite the prospect of a fight against Anthony Joshua that could break all box office records.
Whyte, who actually holds the WBC “interim” (i.e., meaningless) title, has enough power to short circuit any plans, if they indeed exist. And he’s got quite the story as well.
Fury vs. Whyte Betting Lines
We’re going to get into that in a minute. But first, here are the boxing betting odds on this heavyweight championship bout:
Tyson Fury -650
Dillian Whyte +425
Under 9.5 Rounds -125
Over 9.5 Rounds +105
Whyte, a native of Jamaica, was stabbed three times and shot as a youth. He also fathered a child at age thirteen. So he’s been around.
In his first amateur bout, he actually beat Anthony Joshua, flooring him along the way. Later on,. Joshua got revenge with a seventh-round KO, which happened in the professional ranks. Later on, he passed several tests, beating the likes of Dereck Chisora, Lucas Browne, Robert Helenius, Joey Parker and Oscar Rivas.
Then there was the big disappointment, as he was knocked out in five rounds by an over-the-hill Alexander Povetkin with the WBC “Diamond” and “Interim” belts on the line. He did stop Povetkin in four rounds in the rematch, which took place a little over a year ago.
Whyte (28-2, 19 KO’s) will give up five inches in height, but i the bulk department he won’t be overwhelmed, as he has usually been between 245 and 260. He can punch with some power, which is something that will always bring up a concern for Fury, who has been knocked down by Neven Pajkic and natural cruiserweight Steve Cunningham previously.
Fury (31-0-1, 22 KO’s) has pretty good recuperative powers, however, as we saw in those fights and against Wilder. And for a guy 6-foot-9, he’s got remarkable agility. He also has the big edge in pure boxing ability here.
That’s why he’s the big favorite. But there are certainly some people who feel strongly enough about Whyte’s punching ability that they are prepared to take the underdog price.
Here are the boxing odds we’ve found as it regards the exact outcome:
Fury by KO, TKO or DQ -155
Fury by Decision or Technical Decision +200
Whyte by KO, TKO or DQ +475
Whyte by Decision or Technical Decision +2000
Draw or Technical Draw +2200
Fury vs. Whyte Predictions
I’ve also seen a price of +500 that both fighters get knocked down. And that may be worth exploring. One thing for which I am certain is that Fury can hurt Whyte, who doesn’t really have an iron chin.
But it’s more than that. While Whyte won’t be hard to find, Fury is going to offer a little more of a puzzle in terms of being hard to hit. And if Whyte is going to be a guy pursuing, it will tax his stamina.
Fury can lean on him and do a few things to wear him down. And Whyte will get too tired eventually. With regard to the over-under, our question is when that’s going to happen.
I’m going to lean toward this fight ending sooner than later. Thus, here are the plays we’re going to make in our boxing odds and picks:
Best Bet: Fury by KO, TKO or DQ -155
Best Bet: Under 9.5 Rounds -125