This is one of the closest main events I can remember in recent memory.
Cormier (22-2-0-1) and Miocic (19-3) are both legends in MMA.
These two first fought in 2018 and Cormier upset Miocic to win the UFC Heavyweight Championship, but then in the rematch in 2019, Miocic ended up winning to earn the belt back.
Cormier won his fight by 1st round KO, while Miocic won by 4th round TKO. However, despite winning the second fight, Miocic lost the striking battle pretty badly (181 vs. 123).
Miocic has much better cardio then Cormier, though, and by getting the fight into the later rounds, he was able to start capitalizing on Cormier leaving his hands down.
Miocic landed some brutal body shots and then was able to finish off Cormier.
Honestly, this fight could go either way. Cormier has a wrestling edge and this fight will be fought in the smaller cage, which gives him a slight edge. On the other hand, Miocic is a better striker, he has an 8’’ reach advantage and he didn’t seem fazed by what Cormier threw at him in the second fight.
Cormier could end this fight early, but my money is on a late Miocic TKO/KO in R4/R5.
If you’re in the USA, America’s Bookie has the best price on O’Malley straight up.
O’Malley (12-0) is 3-0 in the UFC since winning TUF 26 Finale, but this is going to be his biggest test yet, as Vera (15-6-1) is an experienced UFC fighter despite being just 27-years-old.
However, it’s tough to see O’Malley losing here. It would ruin all of his momentum and from what we’ve seen out of the Montana fighter, he looks like one of the next UFC stars.
Sugar is already 2-0 this year with wins against Quinonez (TKO) and Wineland (KO). He’s averaging 6.86 SLpM compared to 3.70 SLpM for Chito and he’ll have a 2’’ reach advantage (72’’ vs. 70’’).
Vera has never been finished in his career, but neither had Holtzman prior to last weekend.
While I won’t be betting on the O’Malley ML other than on parlays, I like him to win by TKO/KO.
Best Bet: Sean O’Malley by TKO/KO (+160)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Junior dos Santos Predictions
Fight Odds: Rozenstruik (-145) vs. dos Santos (+115)
I’m not sold on Rozenstruik (10-1) yet and I love getting the Brazilian at plus money.
Junior dos Santos (21-7) is still a formidable opponent in the heavyweight division. He has lost his last two fights by TKO against Ngannou and Blaydes, but prior to those losses he was on a three-fight win streak, which included wins against Ivanov (Decision) and Lewis (TKO).
Rozenstruik is 4-1 in the UFC and coming off his first loss, which was against Ngannou (KO). He was only able to last 20 seconds before the fight ended, JDS lasted 1:11 against Ngannou.
What concerns me a bit about JDS is that he has now been knocked out five times. He has a weak chin for the heavyweight division and Rozenstruik has the power to end this with one punch.
However, JDS is also capable of outworking his opponent with his boxing and a sharp jab.
Best Bet: Junior dos Santos ML (+115) at America’s Bookie
UFC 252 Parlay
UFC bettors will get the best odds on most fights at America’s Bookie this weekend.
Scott is one of our newest writer and handicapper here at ScoresAndStats.com, but he has been writing sports betting content for more than a decade online. His work has been featured on many websites.
Scott is a millennial (born in 1989) who grew up in Toronto, Canada and he has never left the big city. He grew up playing a few sports (hockey, soccer and baseball) when he was younger. His favorite sport was hockey and he played goalie. He still likes to get out to the rinks to play some pick-up with his buddies.
Growing up in Toronto, Scott is a huge fan of all Toronto teams.
He watches the Maple Leafs and Raptors religiously. Scott also enjoys watching the Blue Jays, Argonauts and TFC.
His best sports memory was when the Raptors were crowned the 2019 NBA Champions. Unfortunately, he’s still waiting for the Maple Leafs to win a Stanley Cup during his lifetime.
Scott may be a diehard fan of Toronto sports teams, but he loves watching all sports. He’s a huge UFC fan (look for his UFC betting articles for most events) and he’ll watch just about anything, including tennis, golf, soccer and cricket.
Scott is a numbers guy and he likes digging deep into the statistics when handicapping games. He also likes to identify value bets in markets most bettors overlook, including player/team props.
When he’s not handicapping and watching sports, he enjoys golfing in the warmer months. He also loves burgers and poutine. Not only is that his favorite meal, but he has tried over 100 burgers in Toronto and he’s constantly looking for the best new burgers in the city.