Toronto Blue Jays vs Ny Mets Picks and Predictions September 10th 2024

David Peterson is starting for the Mets on Tuesday, and he is facing off against Chris Bassitt for the Blue Jays. New York is currently 79-65 and they are 2nd in the NL East, while the Blue Jays are 68-77 and have lost two straight. Toronto is +114 on the money line, and the Mets are the slight favorite at -135. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and SNY will be televising this one.

First pitch from the Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 PM ET. The Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East, while the Mets are 2nd in the NL East. Toronto is favored to win this one at -148, and the money line odds have the Mets at +114. Chris Bassitt is starting for the Blue Jays, and the Mets are going with David Peterson.

New York vs. Toronto Key Information

• Teams: Mets at Blue Jays
• Where: Rogers Centre Toronto
• Date: Tuesday, September 10th
• Betting Odds NYM -135 | TOR +114 O/U 8

The Mets Can Win If…

Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 9-1. Peterson’s ERA is currently 2.75, and he has a WHIP of 1.31. In his last outing, Peterson picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on six hits. Looking back over his last three outings, he has allowed a total of three earned runs. Peterson has been especially tough on the road, coming in with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 2.77.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso’s 31 homers is 10th in the league, and Lindor is just behind him with 30. Alonso is batting just .240 for the season, while Lindor is at .269. Lindor has been swinging the bat well of late, going 7/27 in his last seven games with one home run and four RBIs.

Overall, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .247 and have the league’s 8th best on-base percentage. New York comes into the game with the 8th best on-base percentage in the league.

• The Mets are 9-1 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Mets are 3-2 vs. the run line.
• New York has an over/under record of 3-7 in their last ten games.
• The Mets have an average of 4.4 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Mets are 7-3
• Looking back across the Mets last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
• New York has gone 3-0 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Mets have averaged 4.0 runs per game on offense

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

Right-hander Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Mets at home. He has made 28 starts this year and has a record of 9-13 with an ERA of 4.30. Looking at his overall numbers, Bassitt has a WHIP of 1.43 and has turned in 11 quality starts. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Bassitt has allowed at least one homer in four straight outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.38 walks compared to 8.94 strikeouts.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which puts them 19th in the league. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the MLB. Toronto has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are 6th in the league in this category. They also have a good team on-base percentage and are 16th in slugging.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a big bright spot for the Blue Jays this season, as he is batting .322 with 28 home runs and 94 RBIs. His 94 RBIs are 7th best in the league. George Springer has 19 homers this season but is batting just .221. Over his last six games, Spencer Horwitz is 9/20 with three homers and five RBIs.

• The Blue Jays are 3-7 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Blue Jays are 3-2 vs. the run line.
• Toronto has an over/under record of 3-7 in their last ten games.
• The Blue Jays have an average of 3.4 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Blue Jays are 4-6
• Looking back across the Blue Jays last five games as the favorite, they are 5-0
• Toronto has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Blue Jays have averaged 4.3 runs per game on offense

Mets: Scrappy Wins and Playoff Dreams

The New York Mets are on fire, coming into the second game of their three-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays riding a wave of momentum. They secured a gritty 3-2 win in the opener, and now, with 10 wins in their last 11 games, they’re pushing hard to secure their spot in the National League wild-card race. Currently holding the third and final wild-card spot, the Mets are sitting just one game ahead of the Atlanta Braves.

Monday’s win was all about capitalizing on opportunities—even when offense wasn’t exactly booming. Both the tying and go-ahead runs came in the eighth inning, courtesy of a wild pitch and a passed ball. The Mets didn’t let the Blue Jays’ defensive errors slip by, showing just how resourceful they can be when it matters most.

Mets manager Carlos Mendoza praised his team’s aggressive baserunning, which paid off in a big way. Pinch runner Eddy Alvarez made his Mets debut and immediately made an impact by scoring the go-ahead run. “I thought we had some really good leads and good jumps,” Mendoza said, reflecting on the game’s key moments.

Peterson Takes the Mound for Mets

The Mets will look to keep things rolling on Tuesday by sending left-hander David Peterson to the mound. Peterson has been a rock for New York this season, posting an impressive 9-1 record with a 2.75 ERA. His last outing was a beauty: Peterson struck out a career-high 11 batters and allowed just one run over six innings in a 7-2 win over the Boston Red Sox.

This game against the Blue Jays marks Peterson’s second career start against Toronto. The first came back in 2020, when he gave up two runs over five innings and took the loss. But this year, Peterson is on a hot streak, and with the Mets surging in the standings, he’ll be looking to keep his momentum going.

Blue Jays: Bassitt Faces His Former Team

The Toronto Blue Jays are in the middle of a tough stretch, having lost six of their last seven games. Their recent struggles have been marked by defensive lapses, much like in Monday’s loss, where a passed ball and a wild pitch handed the game to the Mets.

Toronto’s manager, John Schneider, didn’t hold back when talking about his team’s issues. “We didn’t help ourselves there,” he said, clearly frustrated by their late-game mistakes. “We’ve got to play clean. That’s two nights in a row we did not.”

On Tuesday, Chris Bassitt, who pitched for the Mets last season, will take the mound for Toronto. Bassitt has had an up-and-down season with a 9-13 record and a 4.30 ERA. In his last outing on September 3, he allowed four runs (three earned) over 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Philadelphia Phillies. Bassitt was originally scheduled to start Monday, but the Blue Jays pushed him back a day to give the rotation some extra rest.

Bassitt’s last start against the Mets was a gem. On June 2, he held New York to just four hits over 7 2/3 shutout innings in a 3-0 win. The Blue Jays are hoping he can recapture that form and give them a much-needed boost as they fight to stay in contention.

Blue Jays Struggling to Stay in the Race

Toronto’s playoff hopes are slipping away, and they know it. Defensive issues and bullpen struggles have led to several heartbreaking losses late in games. With the Mets fighting for a wild-card spot and playing every game like it’s do or die, the Blue Jays will need to tighten up their defense and seize every opportunity to turn things around.

There’s some light at the end of the tunnel, though. Star shortstop Bo Bichette, who’s been sidelined with a calf strain, is expected to begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Buffalo on Tuesday. If Bichette can make a swift return, it could provide the spark Toronto desperately needs to finish the season on a strong note.

Mets Pitching: Megill’s Big Night

Monday’s game wasn’t just about the Mets taking advantage of the Blue Jays’ miscues—it was also about Tylor Megill’s standout performance on the mound. Stepping in for the injured Paul Blackburn, Megill delivered six scoreless innings, allowing just one hit and striking out nine. His strong outing kept the Mets within striking distance until they could capitalize in the eighth inning.

What’s at Stake?

For the Mets, a win on Tuesday would further solidify their hold on the final NL wild-card spot and keep them ahead of the Braves. With their recent string of scrappy wins and strong pitching performances, New York is riding a high that could carry them into the postseason.

For the Blue Jays, Tuesday’s game is about stopping the bleeding. They’ve been in a slump, and if they don’t tighten up their defense and play a cleaner game, they could be looking at another series loss. With Bassitt on the mound against his former team, Toronto has a chance to turn things around—but they’ll need to take advantage of every opportunity if they hope to salvage their season.

Conclusion

The Mets are in control of their playoff destiny, thanks to a combination of resourceful play, aggressive baserunning, and strong pitching. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are fighting to stay relevant in the postseason race, with defensive struggles holding them back. With Chris Bassitt taking on his former team and David Peterson aiming to continue his dominant run, Tuesday’s game is a pivotal moment for both teams as they head toward the season’s final stretch.

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The Lean

Today’s Mets and Blue Jays game should feature plenty of offense, as this is projected to be the 9th highest-scoring game of today’s league slate. For an over/under pick, our lean is on the over. As for how we would play the money line in this one, we would be leaning toward the Mets to come out on top. New York starter David Peterson is 10th in our projections in terms of strikeouts, and Chris Bassitt is 16th.