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First pitch for Tuesday’s Orioles vs. Blue Jays matchup is set for 7:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. Baltimore is currently on a two-game winning streak and is 67-46 this season, while the Blue Jays have lost two straight and are 5th in the AL East with a record of 51-61.
The Orioles are the money line favorites for tonight’s game, with oddsmakers listing them at -147 compared to the Blue Jays at +125. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on MASN. Grayson Rodriguez is starting for the Orioles, while the Blue Jays are going with Chris Bassitt.
Baltimore vs. Toronto Key Information
- Teams: Orioles at Blue Jays
- Where: Rogers Centre Toronto
- Date: Tuesday, August 6th
- Betting Odds BAL -147 | TOR +125 O/U 8.5
The Orioles Can Win If…
Grayson Rodriguez has been pitching well for the Orioles, as he comes into the game with a record of 13-4 and an ERA of 3.86. In his 20 starts, Rodriguez has pitched 116 2/3 innings and has a WHIP of 1.24. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .237 this season. Rodriguez has made 11 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. He did come away with the win in that start. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
For the season, the Orioles are the league’s top home run hitting team and are also near the top of the league in terms of runs per game, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .256, which is 3rd in the league, and also have the best slugging percentage in the league.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been two of the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Santander leading the team with 32 homers and Henderson right behind him at 29. Henderson is batting .293 for the season, and Santander comes into the game on a hot streak, going 11/38 (.289) with three homers over his last 10 games. Colton Cowser has also been swinging a hot bat of late, hitting .375 over his last 10 games.
- The Orioles are 6-4 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Orioles are 3-2 vs. the run line.
- Baltimore has an over/under record of 9-1 in their last ten games.
- The Orioles have an average of 6.6 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten road games, the Orioles are 5-5
- Looking back across the Orioles last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
- Baltimore has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Orioles have averaged 5.5 runs per game on offense
The Blue Jays Can Win If…
Chris Bassitt will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles, as he gets the start for the Blue Jays today. In that July 30th outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Bassitt has taken the loss in each outing. His record for the season is 8-10, and he has an ERA of 4.02. Out of his 22 starts, Bassitt has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 8.41 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 12 homers and is averaging 3.51 walks per nine innings.
Over his last nine games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire, going 19/36 with four homers and 10 RBIs. Guerrero Jr. comes into the game with a league-leading 72 RBIs and is also 9th in the league with 22 homers. He is batting .316 for the season, and his on-base percentage of .388 is also the best mark on the Blue Jays.
Guerrero Jr. isn’t the only Blue Jays hitter with 13 homers, as George Springer and Daulton Varsho have also gone deep 13 times this season. However, Springer is batting just .226 for the season, and Varsho’s batting average is even worse at .199.
- The Blue Jays are 5-5 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Blue Jays are 2-3 vs. the run line.
- Toronto has an over/under record of 8-2 in their last ten games.
- The Blue Jays have an average of 4.0 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten home games, the Blue Jays are 3-7
- Looking back across the Blue Jays last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
- Toronto has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Blue Jays have averaged 4.6 runs per game on offense
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s Hitting Streak
Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. aims to extend his impressive 17-game hitting streak Tuesday night as the Blue Jays open a three-game series against the visiting Baltimore Orioles.
Impressive Performance Despite Team Struggles
Guerrero has been on fire, but his stellar performance hasn’t been enough to lift the new-look Blue Jays out of their slump. They wrapped up a tough 2-5 road trip with a 4-3, 10-inning loss to the New York Yankees on Sunday. In that game, Guerrero went 1-for-5 with a double. He’s been batting an incredible .500 (32-for-64) during this streak, which started on July 14. In that time, he’s hit nine home runs, 10 doubles, and driven in 18 runs. Despite Guerrero’s hot streak, the team has only managed an 8-9 record during this period.
“He’s at that point where he gets who he is,” said Toronto manager John Schneider. “Which is, I think, the last piece of a great player becoming a great player.”
Team Dynamics and Trade Impacts
Baltimore won three of four games from Toronto last week before splitting a four-game series with the Cleveland Guardians, kicking off a 10-game road trip. Guerrero has shouldered even more of Toronto’s offensive load since the departure of Justin Turner at the trade deadline, one of several deals made by the team.
For the season, Guerrero is batting .316 with 22 homers and 72 RBIs. “At the end of the day, it’s all confidence,” Guerrero said. “Of course, you’ve got to believe in your talent, but if I feel like I have my confidence, I’m 100 percent, I know I’m going to be OK.”
“He has goals that he sets for himself every single year, obviously, for the team and for himself,” Schneider added. “And I think if he just goes out and does what he’s doing, the last month or so, he’ll probably reach those individually, albeit not what the team wanted to do.”
Pitching Matchup: Bassitt vs. Rodriguez
Toronto is set to start right-hander Chris Bassitt (8-10, 4.02 ERA) on Tuesday. Bassitt is 3-3 with a 5.45 ERA in seven career starts against the Orioles. He struggled in his last start at Baltimore, allowing five runs on nine hits over four innings in a 6-2 loss for the Jays.
Baltimore is scheduled to start right-hander Grayson Rodriguez (13-4, 3.86 ERA). Rodriguez secured the win last Wednesday against Toronto, allowing four runs (three earned) on six hits over six innings. He is 2-1 with a 3.68 ERA in five career starts against Toronto, with both wins coming this season.
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Baltimore Orioles’ Recent Highlights
Baltimore managed to salvage a split with Cleveland by winning 9-5 on Sunday. Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday hit home runs for the Orioles, who remain tied for the American League East lead with the Yankees.
Holliday was 2-for-4 on Sunday, continuing his hot streak since being recalled from Triple-A Norfolk last week. The homer was the second of his career; his first was a grand slam against Toronto on Wednesday. In April, the 20-year-old Holliday struggled, going 2-for-34 with 18 strikeouts over 10 games before being sent down. Since his return, he is 7-for-18 (.389) with two home runs and seven RBIs in five games.
“I think definitely just having my feet under me helps,” Holliday said. “Being able to come to the ballpark and have a normal schedule. And just being able to go out there and play, have fun, and kind of put everything else to the side.”
“Showing a lot more confidence,” said Orioles manager Brandon Hyde. “The way he can stay on the baseball is much improved. He’s going to have some ups and downs. He’s a really, really young player. But it’s great to see him swing the bat this way this series.”
The Lean
For an over/under pick, our lean is on the over, as this is projected to be the 10th highest-scoring game of the day. As for who is going to take this one straight up, we have our lean on the Orioles to pick up the win. Looking at today’s starters, Chris Bassitt has the better strikeout potential, but Grayson Rodriguez is going to work deeper into the game.
