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At 7:20 PM ET, the Braves and Brewers will face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are favored on the money line (-138). The money line odds for the Brewers are at +117, and they are currently 1st in the NL Central.
Today’s over/under line is at 9 runs, and the forecasted temperature in Atlanta calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 80s. Colin Rea will start for the Brewers, and he is facing off against Bryce Elder. TBS will be televising this matchup.
Milwaukee vs. Atlanta Key Information
- Teams: Brewers at Braves
- Where: Truist Park Atlanta
- Date: Tuesday, August 6th
- Betting Odds ATL -138 | MIL +117 O/U 9
The Brewers Can Win If…
Right-hander Colin Rea gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.59 ERA. Rea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20, and he has turned in six quality starts. In his last outing, Rea finished with a no-decision, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Rea’s ERA at home is 3.82, compared to 3.63 on the road.
Over the past 10 games, Rhys Hoskins has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, batting .278 with four homers. He also has nine RBIs during this stretch and has gone deep 19 times this season, which is the best mark on the team and 12th in the league. Hoskins is also on a 10-game hitting streak. William Contreras is batting .279 for the season and has 12 homers, which is 3rd on the team.
As a team, the Brewers are 5th in batting average and are 10th in runs scored at 4.7 per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are 3rd in walks and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league. Milwaukee’s team batting average of .254 is 5th in the MLB.
- The Brewers are 4-6 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Brewers are 1-4 vs. the run line.
- Milwaukee has an over/under record of 6-3-1 in their last ten games.
- The Brewers have an average of 3.6 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten road games, the Brewers are 6-4
- Looking back across the Brewers last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
- Milwaukee has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Brewers have averaged 4.8 runs per game on offense
The Braves Can Win If…
Right-hander Bryce Elder is getting the start for the Braves today as he faces off against the Brewers at home. So far this season, he has made nine starts and three of them have been quality starts. Elder’s record for the season is 2-4, and he is coming off a win in his last outing. Against the Brewers on July 30th, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Looking back at his last four starts, Elder has alternated between wins and losses. His ERA for the season is 5.67, along with a WHIP of 1.54.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .300 with 32 homers and 86 RBIs, which is 3rd in the league. He also comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team in RBIs, but he has struggled with a batting average of just .226.
Overall, the Braves are 7th in home runs and are averaging 4.2 runs per game. They have been good at home this season, averaging 4.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .239 and are 13th in the league in terms of strikeouts.
- The Braves are 6-4 in their last ten games.
- Over their last five games, the Braves are 3-2 vs. the run line.
- Atlanta has an over/under record of 4-6 in their last ten games.
- The Braves have an average of 3.6 runs per game over their last five games.
- Across their last ten home games, the Braves are 6-4
- Looking back across the Braves last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
- Atlanta has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
- In their ten most recent road games, the Braves have averaged 4.5 runs per game on offense
Colin Rea’s Start Against the Braves
Milwaukee’s Colin Rea will be on the mound when the Brewers kick off a three-game road series on Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves. Originally set to face Atlanta ace Chris Sale, the Brewers will now go up against Braves right-hander Bryce Elder (2-4, 5.67 ERA), who was called up Monday afternoon to pitch the series opener.
Rea’s Recent Performance and Season Stats
Colin Rea (9-3, 3.59 ERA) faced the Braves last Monday, pitching 5 1/3 innings and allowing two runs on three hits, with two walks and six strikeouts. Though he didn’t get a decision, Rea has been solid this season, starting 18 games with six quality starts. Opponents are batting just .233 against him, though he has given up 16 home runs. Over his career, Rea has made four starts against Atlanta, posting a 1-0 record with a 4.70 ERA.
Elder’s Return and Previous Performance
Bryce Elder was recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett to replace right-hander Reynaldo Lopez, who was placed on the injured list with right forearm inflammation. Chris Sale is now set to start Wednesday, and Charlie Morton has been pushed to Thursday, giving both pitchers two extra days of rest.
Elder was in a similar situation last Tuesday when he was called up for a start against the Brewers. He delivered one of his best outings of the season, pitching 6 1/3 innings and allowing just one run on five hits, with one walk and seven strikeouts. He was sent back to Triple-A after that game and hasn’t pitched since.
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Team Performance and Player Highlights
Braves’ Recent Struggles
Both teams are coming off disappointing weekends. The Braves have lost two straight after splitting a four-game series with the Miami Marlins. Meanwhile, the Brewers dropped the final two games of their series with the Washington Nationals and have lost four of their last five.
“I think we’re fine,” said Milwaukee pitcher Tobias Myers after Sunday’s game. “We’re a competitive ballclub, so we’re never going to give in. I think we just move on to the next series and get right back in there and compete.”
Manager Pat Murphy added, “We’re young and vulnerable and going through it a little bit. You can make all the excuses you want with injuries and inexperience, but we’re going through it — and we’ve been going through it.”
Rhys Hoskins’ Hitting Streak
Milwaukee’s Rhys Hoskins is on a 10-game hitting streak, his longest since a 12-game streak while playing for Philadelphia in 2021. Hoskins is 10-for-36 with four homers and nine RBIs during this hot stretch.
Braves’ Offensive Struggles
The Atlanta offense struggled against the Marlins, scoring only three runs over the final two games. The Braves were shut out on Sunday, the first time they’ve been blanked at home since August 28, 2021, ending a streak of 231 games.
“It’s frustrating that we didn’t score any more runs than we did,” said Braves manager Brian Snitker. “Especially Saturday night. We were playing so well coming into this series, won the first two games and you’re thinking, ‘Great.’ Then it’s every time you get a foothold or something in this game, you get smacked in the mouth and you’re right back having to get it going again. We’ll take a well-deserved day off and get back at it.”
The Lean
For a money-line pick, our lean would be to take the Brewers to come out on top. And with the way we are leaning on the over/under line, we would be looking at taking the under. This is projected to be the lowest-scoring game of the day, and we have this one as our 5th lowest home run-scoring game. Looking at today’s starters, we have Bryce Elder as the better strikeout option over Colin Rea.
