Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Picks and Predictions August 3rd 2024

At 7:20 PM ET, the Braves and Marlins will face off in an NL East matchup. This one is taking place at Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -248. The Marlins are +203 underdogs, and their money line odds are reflective of their 40-70 record.

Grant Holmes is starting for the Braves, and he is facing off against a Marlins team that has lost two straight. Miami is starting Kyle Tyler. The over/under line is sitting at 9 runs, and this game can be seen on BSFL.

Miami vs. Atlanta Key Information

Miami is sending right-hander Kyle Tyler to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made five starts this year and has a record of 0-2 with an ERA of 4.74. Tyler’s WHIP for the season is 1.58. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back at his last three outings, Tyler has finished with a no-decision in each one. Opponents are batting .276 vs. Tyler this year, and he has allowed a total of two homers. Per nine innings, Tyler is averaging 4.38 walks compared to 7.3 strikeouts.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average of .237 is 16th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. One area they have been good is avoiding strikeouts, as they are 14th in the league in strikeouts per game.

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Jake Burger has been one of the Marlins’ best hitters this season, as he is batting .240 with a team-high 16 homers and 44 RBIs. Burger has been even better of late, going 10/27 in his last eight games with four homers. Xavier Edwards has also been hot of late, going 13/30 in his last eight games.

Grant Holmes will be making the start for the Braves today and has made 11 appearances this season. He has a record of 0-0 and an ERA of 2.54. Opponents are batting .190 this season off Holmes, and his WHIP is currently .88. The last time he pitched, Holmes went five innings and gave up one earned run on three hits. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing. Holmes has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.21 strikeouts and just 1.59 walks.

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 31 homers are 4th in the MLB, and he is also 3rd in the league with 85 RBIs. Ozuna is batting .300 for the season and has also been one of the Braves’ most patient hitters, as his OBP of .375 is also a team best. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 18 homers but is hitting just .225 for the season and has gone 3/17 in his last five games.

Orlando Arcia has been swinging a hot bat for the Braves, going 7/17 with three homers and four RBIs over his last five games. This has pushed his season average to .235. Arcia is also currently on a 12-game hitting streak. Catcher Travis d’Arnaud is also on a solid hitting streak, coming into the game having hit safely in eight straight games.

There should be no shortage of offense in today’s Marlins and Braves matchup, as this is our 3rd highest projected scoring game of the day. The Braves are our top projected run-scoring team in the league today and are coming off a 20-run performance yesterday. For an over/under pick, we would be leaning towards the over. As for who is going to take this one straight up, we like the Braves to come out on top. Atlanta starter Grant Holmes has the 8th best chance to pick up a win among today’s starters.

Braves Rookie Grant Holmes Faces Marlins, Seeks First Career Win

The Atlanta Braves trust Grant Holmes can add to his vibe great story on Saturday night when they send the 28-year-old new kid on the block to the hill against the meeting Miami Marlins in the third game of their four-game series. The Braves have dominated the initial two matches of the series and improved to 7-1 against Miami this season after Friday’s 5-3 dig out from a deficit win.

Holmes’ Journey and Recent Performance

Holmes (0-0, 2.54 ERA) will face Miami’s Kyle Tyler (0-2, 4.74 ERA) in a matchup of right-handers. Holmes was a first-round draft pick by the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2014. He fought through injuries and bounced around the minor leagues, even being released by the Oakland organization in 2022 before signing with the Braves. He spent two summers with Triple-A Gwinnett before being recalled to the majors.

After waiting 10 years, Holmes made his major league debut with Atlanta on June 16 and has worked primarily in long relief. When Max Fried went on the injured list, Holmes got a chance to make his first career start on Monday against the Milwaukee Brewers. He allowed only one run and three hits over five innings with eight strikeouts in his team’s 8-3 loss.

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“I never thought I’d ever be starting for the Atlanta Braves, you know,” Holmes said. “So here it is. I’m just taking it with everything I can and doing everything I can.”

This will be his first career outing against the Marlins. With Fried still on the injured list and starter Reynaldo Lopez needing additional time off, Holmes earned at least one more start. Once the rotation comes back together, he is expected to return to the bullpen.

“It says everything about his character, who he is, what he’s about,” Atlanta reliever Jesse Chavez said. “He’s not in it for anything else but just the love of the game. That’s a unique trait to have for a guy that’s been around in his path. It’s good. It’s fun. I build off of it. I think everybody in the clubhouse does.”

Tyler’s Challenge

Tyler will make his seventh appearance and sixth start for the Marlins this season. In his most recent outing on Sunday, a 6-2 loss to the Brewers, he allowed four runs on seven hits, two walks, and five strikeouts in four innings. He has never faced the Braves, who are riding a four-game winning streak.

“He keeps working on his two-seamer down in Triple-A to neutralize the cutter so righties don’t lean out and get him off the field,” Miami manager Skip Schumaker said. “He’s always been effective against lefties because he’s got a natural cut. He’s got a real curveball that he could use more often.”

Braves’ Offensive Momentum

Atlanta shortstop Orlando Arcia broadened his career-best hitting streak to 13 games on Friday when he hit a solo homerun. He has dove deep in the two games of the series, contributing significantly to the Braves’ new success.

Marlins’ Bright Spot

Miami’s Jonah Bride homered on Friday against Atlanta’s Spencer Schwellenbach — his second homer in three games — and appears to be settling in at first base and in the cleanup spot.

“He’s doing the most with the opportunity,” Schumaker said. “We stuck him in the No. 4, and now he has an opportunity to play. He has hit two home runs against two good pitchers (Schwellenbach and Tampa Bay’s Taj Bradley). I think that’s what has impressed me.”

Game Outlook

As Grant Holmes searches for his most memorable career win, the Braves aim to broaden their series of wins and proceed with their dominance over the Marlins this season. With the two freshmen, Holmes and Tyler, taking the hill, this matchup vows to be a thrilling and cutthroat game. Fans can anticipate perceiving how these youthful pitchers perform and how the Braves’ offense, drove by the hot bat of Orlando Arcia, keeps on faring.