Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Predictions July 31st 2024

In rubber game vs. Brewers, Braves turn to ace Chris Sale

Wednesday’s Braves vs. Brewers game features Chris Sale for Atlanta and Freddy Peralta for Milwaukee. The Braves are 57-49 and are 2nd in the NL East, while the Brewers are 61-46 and lead the NL Central.

Atlanta is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7 runs. BSWI will be televising this game, and the first pitch from American Family Field in Milwaukee is set for 2:10 PM ET.

Atlanta vs. Milwaukee Key Information

• Teams: Braves at Brewers
• Where: American Family Field Milwaukee
• Date: Wednesday, July 31st
• Betting Odds ATL -130 | MIL +110 O/U 7

The Braves Can Win If…

Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 13-3 with a 2.69 ERA. Sale most recently faced the Mets, where he finished with a no-decision, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that outing, he had picked up the win in three straight starts. Sale’s ERA at home is 3.40, and he has been much better on the road, coming in with a 2.62 ERA and a record of 5-3.

Marcell Ozuna has been red hot at the plate for the Braves of late, going 6/22 in his last six games with three homers. He also has a five-game hitting streak coming into today’s game. For the season, Ozuna is batting .305, which is the best mark on the team, and his 31 homers are 3rd best in the league. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 15 homers but is batting just .223.

Overall, the Braves are 8th in home runs and are averaging 4.2 runs per game. This is only 19th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in strikeouts and walks. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the league.

• The Braves are 3-7 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Braves are 3-2 vs. the run line.
• Atlanta has an over/under record of 5-5 in their last ten games.
• The Braves have an average of 5.0 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Braves are 5-5
• Looking back across the Braves last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
• Atlanta has gone 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Braves have averaged 3.9 runs per game on offense

The Brewers Can Win If…

Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Marlins, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. In that July 26th start, he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up five runs (three earned). Looking at his overall numbers, Peralta has made 21 starts and has a record of 6-6. His ERA for the season is 3.94, along with a WHIP of 1.21. Peralta’s batting average allowed is .213, and he has a total of eight quality starts this year. Per 9 innings, Peralta is averaging 11.18 strikeouts, and his total for the season is 142, which ranks eighth in the majors.

Heading into today’s game, the Brewers offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 6th best mark in the league, and are 2nd in on-base percentage. Milwaukee’s offense is also one of the best in terms of avoiding strikeouts.

Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Adames’ 17 homers leading the team and Hoskins right behind him at 18. However, Hoskins is batting just .220 this season. Hoskins does come into the game on a 6-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 8/27 with four homers.

• The Brewers are 6-4 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Brewers are 2-3 vs. the run line.
• Milwaukee has an over/under record of 5-4-1 in their last ten games.
• The Brewers have an average of 4.0 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Brewers are 6-4
• Looking back across the Brewers last five games as the favorite, they are 3-2
• Milwaukee has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Brewers have averaged 4.4 runs per game on offense

The Lean

Today’s Braves vs. Brewers matchup is projected to be a low-scoring game, but with the line sitting at 7 runs, we are still leaning towards taking the over. As for who is going to take this one straight up, we like the Brewers to come out on top. Atlanta starter Chris Sale has the highest strikeout projections in the league, but we are still leaning towards taking the Brewers to win this one.

The Atlanta Braves are set to clash with the Milwaukee Brewers in the deciding game of their three-game series. With high stakes on the line, the Braves turn to their ace, Chris Sale, to lead them to victory. Sale’s impressive season record and consistent performance make him the key player to watch in this critical matchup.

Chris Sale: The Braves’ Ace

Season Highlights and Key Statistics

Chris Sale has been a powerhouse for the Braves this season, boasting a record of 13-3 and a stellar 2.68 ERA, making him the major league leader in victories. His remarkable consistency has been a cornerstone of Atlanta’s pitching rotation. Sale’s standout period from April to May saw him winning seven consecutive starts with a 1.17 ERA. Although he experienced a slight downturn in June with a 4.20 ERA over five outings, he has since rebounded with a 2.28 ERA in his last four starts.

Recent Performance

In his latest outing against the New York Mets, Sale delivered a strong performance, allowing just two runs over 7 1/3 innings. Despite his efforts, the Braves lost 3-2 in extra innings. This game was part of a six-game losing streak for Atlanta, but the team has since regained its footing, winning three of its last four games.

Historical Performance Against the Brewers

Sale’s experience against the Brewers is limited, with only two starts in his career, both in 2015 while with the Chicago White Sox. In those appearances, he recorded a 2.25 ERA, demonstrating his capability to handle Milwaukee’s lineup effectively.

Braves’ Offensive Surge

Key Contributors

The Braves’ offense has been thriving, as shown by their 5-1 victory over the Brewers in the series’ second game. Bryce Elder, newly recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett, played a crucial role, allowing just one run over 6 1/3 innings. Offensively, Jarred Kelenic stood out with a home run and a double, while Austin Riley’s four-hit performance added to Atlanta’s 14-hit effort.

Orlando Arcia’s Hitting Streak

Atlanta shortstop Orlando Arcia has been on a hot streak, extending his hitting streak to 10 games with a double and a single in the recent win. Over this period, Arcia is hitting .364 with two homers and five RBIs, providing a consistent offensive presence for the Braves.

Freddy Peralta: Brewers’ Starting Pitcher

Season Challenges and Inconsistencies

Freddy Peralta will take the mound for the Brewers, looking to counter Sale’s dominance. Peralta’s season has been marked by inconsistencies, reflected in his 6-6 record and 3.94 ERA. His recent performance has been shaky, allowing five runs (three earned) in his last outing against the Miami Marlins, resulting in a 6-2 loss. Over his past 15 games, Peralta has a 3-6 record with a 4.24 ERA, struggling to maintain control and consistency.

Career Performance Against the Braves

Peralta’s history against the Braves includes six career appearances (five starts), with a 3-2 record and a 4.45 ERA. This season, he has allowed 22 hits in 20 1/3 innings over four starts in July, indicating a challenging month for the right-hander.

Brewers’ Offensive Highlights

Garrett Mitchell’s Impact

The Brewers have benefited from the return of outfielder Garrett Mitchell, who missed the first three months of the season due to a finger injury. Mitchell has made an immediate impact, hitting .353 over his past 11 games with four doubles, a home run, and five runs. His speed and hitting ability add depth to Milwaukee’s lineup.

Conclusion

The decisive game between the Braves and the Brewers promises to be a thrilling contest, with both teams vying for a crucial win. Chris Sale’s presence on the mound gives the Braves a significant advantage, while Freddy Peralta will look to find consistency and lead the Brewers to victory. Fans can expect an intense and closely fought game as the series reaches its climax.

Take your MLB handicapping to the next level with our expert MLB handicappers