Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks and Predictions September 3rd 2024

At 7:40 PM ET, the Cardinals and Brewers face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is taking place at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the heavy favorite on the money line (-146). The Cardinals have a record of 69-69, and they are starting Steven Matz. Aaron Civale is on the mound for the Brewers.

The over/under line for this one is currently 8.5 runs, and BSWI will be televising the game. In the NL Central, the Brewers are in first place with a record of 81-57, while the Cardinals are 3rd, also in the NL Central.

St. Louis vs. Milwaukee Key Information

Steven Matz gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far, he has made six starts and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 6.18. Matz’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.74. In his last outing, Matz finished with a no-decision, going 3 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Matz has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he has 5.53 strikeouts and 3.58 walks.

Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot bat for the Cardinals of late, going 9/20 in his last five games. However, he has yet to go deep during this stretch. Goldschmidt is 2nd on the team with 20 homers and has driven in 55 runs this season. Alec Burleson has been the team’s top power threat, leading the team with 21 homers, and is also batting a solid .280.

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As a team, the Cardinals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 23rd in the MLB. Their team batting average of .249 is 10th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in terms of avoiding strikeouts. Coming into the game, the Cardinals have four players who are on a hitting streak of at least four games.

Through 26 starts, Aaron Civale has a record of 5-8 and an ERA of 4.59. He has made seven quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing, he went seven innings and gave up just two hits. Looking back further, Civale has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .253 off the right-hander this year. At home, his ERA is 3.43, compared to 6.88 on the road.

Willy Adames has been on a tear for the Brewers over his last 10 games, hitting seven home runs and driving in 14 runs while batting .333. Adames is also on an 11-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .255 with a league-leading 29 homers and 99 RBIs. William Contreras is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he is 3rd on the team with 20 homers and is batting .280.

Overall, the Brewers are 5th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Brewers are batting .253, which is 8th in the league, and are 2nd in the league in walks.

Our lean for a money-line pick in this Cardinals vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers to come out on top. And despite our projections pointing to this being the 3rd lowest-scoring game of the day, we are leaning towards taking the over. Aaron Civale is our 17th ranked starting pitcher in terms of strikeouts today, and he has the 2nd best hits allowed projection on the slate.

Brewers Looking to Continue Power Surge as They Host Cardinals

Milwaukee Brewers shortstop Willy Adames has been on a tear recently, and he will look to extend his home run streak to six games as the Brewers continue their series against the St. Louis Cardinals on Tuesday night. Adames homered for the fifth straight game on Monday, leading the Brewers to a 9-3 victory over the Cardinals in the opener of their three-game series. His latest blast not only tied a club record but also placed him in elite company.

Adames’ three-run homer on Monday was his 13th of the season, tying him with Ken Griffey Jr. for the most three-run homers in a single season in Major League Baseball history.

“For me to have my name right next to his is just an honor,” Adames said. “It’s something that I never thought would happen. It’s just a special moment for me and my family.”

Chourio Shines in Rookie Season

Adding to the Brewers’ offensive onslaught, rookie Jackson Chourio belted his second grand slam of the season in Monday’s win. Chourio’s power display has been a highlight of his debut season, but it’s his all-around approach that has impressed Milwaukee manager Pat Murphy the most.

Chourio also drew three walks in the game, showing patience and discipline at the plate.

“He’s in that sweet spot, that right focus,” Murphy said. “He’s got just enough smile and just enough intensity and just enough focus. He’s just in a great spot. It seems like he was born to do this.”

Brewers Turn to Civale on the Mound

The Brewers will send right-hander Aaron Civale to the mound on Tuesday. Civale (5-8, 4.59 ERA) has been solid of late, going 3-1 with a 3.29 ERA in five starts during August. In his most recent outing, Civale dominated the San Francisco Giants, throwing seven shutout innings and allowing just two hits in a 6-0 victory.

Civale has faced the Cardinals only once in his career, back in 2020 when he was with the Cleveland Indians. He allowed five runs and eight hits in six innings in that start, a 7-2 loss. Despite the rough outing, Civale remains confident in his approach.

“It’s on me to go out there and compete,” Civale said. “That’s the emphasis with each pitch, is just to throw a competitive pitch. Whatever happens, know that the work behind it is valid, and just having confidence in that.”

Cardinals Counter with Gray

The Cardinals will counter with right-hander Sonny Gray (12-9, 3.96 ERA) as they look to bounce back from Monday’s loss. Gray ended a three-start losing streak in his most recent appearance, holding the San Diego Padres to one run on three hits over six innings in a 4-1 victory.

“(Gray’s) our guy. He’s going to continue to be on the attack,” St. Louis manager Oliver Marmol said. “He’s just so prepared. You watch him day to day, you watch him prepare for his start, and it’s impressive. He knows what’s on the line, and he’s going to give us his best shot.”

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Gray has faced the Brewers 15 times in his career, compiling a 4-5 record with a 3.31 ERA. This season, however, he has struggled against Milwaukee, losing both of his starts while allowing a combined eight runs over 10 1/3 innings.

Pages Provides Power for Cardinals

Despite the loss on Monday, Cardinals rookie catcher Pedro Pages provided a bright spot with two home runs off Brewers starter Freddy Peralta, bringing his season total to five.

“He’s continuing to take really good swings,” Marmol said. “I like where he’s at right now from an approach standpoint. He’s got enough power to do what he did (Monday); it’s a really good arm he did it against.”

As the Brewers and Cardinals continue their series, both teams will be looking to capitalize on recent power surges from their hitters. With Adames and Chourio leading the charge for Milwaukee, and Pages showing his potential for St. Louis, Tuesday’s matchup promises to be another exciting chapter in this NL Central showdown.