Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Picks and Predictions August 27th 2024

Giants begin brutal closing stretch against Central-leading Brewers

At 8:10 PM ET, the Giants and Brewers square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the slight money line favorites, with their odds sitting at -105 compared to the Giants at -114. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.

Logan Webb is starting for the Giants, and he is facing off against Tobias Myers. San Francisco is 66-66 this season, and they are 4th in the NL West, while the Brewers lead the NL Central with a record of 75-55.

San Francisco vs. Milwaukee Key Information

• Teams: Giants at Brewers
• Where: American Family Field Milwaukee
• Date: Tuesday, August 27th
• Betting Odds SF -114 | MIL -105 O/U 7.5

The Giants Can Win If…

San Francisco is sending right-hander Logan Webb to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 11-8 with a 3.13 ERA. Webb’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his 27 appearances, he has turned in 18 quality starts. Webb’s most recent outing came against the White Sox, where he finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he went 8 innings, giving up 2 earned runs, and 6 strikeouts. Before that, he had won three straight starts.

San Francisco’s offense has been pretty consistent this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game both at home and on the road. Overall, their 4.3 runs per contest is 16th in the league. The Giants are also 13th in team batting average at .242 and have the 16th best slugging percentage in the league.

Heliot Ramos and Matt Chapman are tied for the team lead in home runs, with 20 apiece. Ramos is also hitting .284 for the season and has gone 8/22 in his last six games. Chapman comes into the game batting just .242. Tyler Fitzgerald is hitting .298 and is also tied for 2nd on the team with 14 homers.

• The Giants are 5-5 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Giants are 3-2 vs. the run line.
• San Francisco has an over/under record of 4-4-2 in their last ten games.
• The Giants have an average of 3.6 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Giants are 6-4
• Looking back across the Giants last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
• San Francisco has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Giants have averaged 4.9 runs per game on offense

The Brewers Can Win If…

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Giants. Myers has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with an ERA of 2.87. So far, he has turned in six quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that appearance vs. the Reds, Myers went 7 1/3 innings. Myers’ ERA at home is 3.47, and he has a record of 2-0 at home. For the season, he has allowed 13 homers. Myers’ ERA on the road is 3.03.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Contreras having 17 homers and Adames leading the team with 23. Adames’ 86 RBIs are also 9th best in the league. However, Adames is hitting just .251, and Contreras is batting .283. Rhys Hoskins has also been a solid power threat, with 21 homers, but he is batting just .219.

Adames and Contreras have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Adames having two homers and five RBIs while batting .250 in his last nine games. Contreras has gone 9/35 in his last nine games. Adames is also on a three-game hitting streak.

• The Brewers are 7-3 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Brewers are 2-3 vs. the run line.
• Milwaukee has an over/under record of 4-5-1 in their last ten games.
• The Brewers have an average of 5.8 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Brewers are 6-4
• Looking back across the Brewers last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
• Milwaukee has gone 3-0 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Brewers have averaged 6.9 runs per game on offense

The Lean

Today’s matchup between the Giants and Brewers has the 6th highest combined run projection and 5th highest total strikeouts projection. We are leaning towards the Brewers picking up a win at home, and we would also be leaning towards taking the over. The Giants offense has the 7th highest team strikeout projection, and between the two starters, we have Tobias Myers finishing with more strikeouts than Logan Webb.

The San Francisco Giants are set to embark on a challenging final stretch of the season as they face the NL Central-leading Milwaukee Brewers in a crucial three-game series starting Tuesday. With both teams aiming to solidify their postseason aspirations, this series promises to be pivotal in the closing weeks of the MLB regular season.

Pitching Matchup: Myers vs. Webb

The Brewers will send their impressive rookie right-hander, Tobias Myers, to the mound. Myers, who has been a surprising standout this season, boasts a 6-5 record with a stellar 2.87 ERA. Despite his solid numbers, Myers has struggled to notch wins recently, going 1-2 over his last seven starts with a respectable 1.83 ERA. This indicates that the Brewers’ offense has not provided enough support during his outings, a trend that needs to change as they aim to maintain their division lead.

On the other side, the Giants will counter with their ace, Logan Webb. Webb has been a model of consistency throughout the season, posting an 11-8 record with a 3.13 ERA. His track record against Milwaukee is particularly strong, holding a 2-0 record with a 1.73 ERA in four career starts against the Brewers. Webb’s recent form is exceptional, especially in August, where he is 3-0 with a dominant 1.27 ERA. His ability to suppress the long ball has been key, as he has not allowed a home run in his last 28 1/3 innings.

Giants Face Tough Road Ahead

The Giants enter this series following a tough 4-3 loss to the Seattle Mariners on Sunday, a defeat that dropped them to a .500 record. Now sitting five games behind the final NL wild-card spot, San Francisco is running out of time to close the gap. Compounding their challenge is a brutal schedule ahead, with 27 of their final 30 games against teams with a .500 or better record. This series against Milwaukee is critical for the Giants as they look to stay afloat in the wild-card race.

Despite the daunting task, the Giants have been resilient, going 17-11 since late July. However, their recent loss to Seattle highlighted some concerns, particularly with their bullpen, as Sean Hjelle struggled in relief after Robbie Ray exited with a hamstring injury. The Giants will need to tighten up both their starting and relief pitching to navigate this difficult final stretch successfully.

Brewers Look to Solidify Division Lead

The Brewers, meanwhile, come into this series after a narrow 4-3 loss to the Oakland Athletics on Sunday, a defeat that prevented them from sweeping the series. Despite this setback, Milwaukee enjoys a comfortable 10-game lead in the NL Central, the largest margin of any division leader in MLB. However, the Brewers’ offensive inconsistencies are a cause for concern. In six of their last seven losses, Milwaukee has managed three or fewer runs. The Brewers are an impressive 57-17 when scoring four or more runs, but a dismal 18-38 when scoring three or fewer. To maintain their stronghold in the division and prepare for postseason success, the Brewers will need to find more consistency at the plate.

Key Player Movements

The Brewers’ bullpen received a boost with the return of left-hander Aaron Ashby, who was recalled from Triple-A Nashville after Nick Mears was placed on the injured list. Ashby, who missed most of 2023 recovering from shoulder surgery, has shown promise in his recent outings. He was scoreless over his last five relief appearances in Nashville and contributed two scoreless innings in Milwaukee’s loss on Sunday. His performance could be pivotal as the Brewers look to shore up their bullpen for the stretch run.

Quotes Reflect Team Mindsets

Brewers manager Pat Murphy acknowledged the team’s offensive struggles following Sunday’s loss, particularly their inability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. “The story was, obviously, that they stopped us offensively. We had one at-bat with a guy in scoring position,” Murphy said, emphasizing the need for better execution in clutch situations.

For the Giants, Logan Webb’s postgame comments after his last outing underscored the team’s mindset as they head into the final month of the season. “We all just have to put our heads down and try to win every game. I know that’s kind of hard to say. You can’t win 30-something straight. No teams have done that. But you’ve got to think that way,” Webb remarked, reflecting the urgency and determination within the Giants’ clubhouse.

Conclusion

As the Giants and Brewers face off in this crucial series, both teams are acutely aware of what’s at stake. The Giants are fighting for their playoff lives against a daunting schedule, while the Brewers are aiming to iron out their offensive inconsistencies and lock down the NL Central title. With top-tier pitching on display and postseason implications on the line, this series is set to be a critical juncture for both clubs.

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