Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Picks and Predictions August 28th 2024

Brewers face Giants, aim to resume march toward postseason

Wednesday’s matchup between the Giants and Brewers is set for 8:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Giants are 67-66 and their starting pitcher is Kyle Harrison, while the Brewers are 75-56 and they are starting Freddy Peralta.

Milwaukee comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -165, while the Giants are sitting at +140. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and NBCS will be televising this game.

San Francisco vs. Milwaukee Key Information

• Teams: Giants at Brewers
• Where: American Family Field Milwaukee
• Date: Wednesday, August 28th
• Betting Odds MIL -165 | SF +140 O/U 7.5

The Giants Can Win If…

Left-hander Kyle Harrison gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 4.00. Looking at his overall numbers, Harrison has a WHIP of 1.30 and has turned in nine quality starts. In his 22 outings, he has a total of 16 home runs allowed. The last time he took the mound, Harrison picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.

San Francisco’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game this season, which is 17th in the league. They are also 16th in home runs and have a team batting average of .242, which is 12th in the MLB. The Giants have two players who have hit over 20 homers this season, with Matt Chapman leading the team with 21 homers and a team-leading 64 RBIs.

Over the team’s last six games, Heliot Ramos has gone 8/23 with two homers and six RBIs. During this stretch, he has scored five runs. Mike Yastrzemski is also on a bit of a hot streak, as he has gone 7/22 with two homers in his last six games. Yastrzemski is also on a three-game hitting streak.

• The Giants are 6-4 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Giants are 2-3 vs. the run line.
• San Francisco has an over/under record of 4-4-2 in their last ten games.
• The Giants have an average of 3.8 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten road games, the Giants are 6-4
• Looking back across the Giants last five games as the favorite, they are 4-1
• San Francisco has gone 1-2 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Giants have averaged 4.6 runs per game on offense

The Brewers Can Win If…

Freddy Peralta will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up an earned run. Against the Cardinals on August 22nd, he went five innings, giving up just one unearned run. Peralta finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back further, he has made 26 appearances this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.86 ERA. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. This year, opponents are batting .214 off the right-hander. Peralta has made 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 10.37 strikeouts per nine innings.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Contreras having 17 homers and Adames leading the team with 24. Adames’ 88 RBIs are also 9th in the league. Adames has been hot of late, batting .267 over his last nine games, and has gone deep twice over that stretch. Rhys Hoskins is also a home run threat, with 21 long balls, but he is batting just .217 for the season.

As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been a good home run hitting club this season. They have the 6th best batting average in the league and are 2nd in walks. Milwaukee’s offense has been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per contest.

• The Brewers are 6-4 in their last ten games.
• Over their last five games, the Brewers are 3-2 vs. the run line.
• Milwaukee has an over/under record of 4-5-1 in their last ten games.
• The Brewers have an average of 5.4 runs per game over their last five games.
• Across their last ten home games, the Brewers are 6-4
• Looking back across the Brewers last five games as the favorite, they are 2-3
• Milwaukee has gone 2-1 in their last three games as the underdog
• In their ten most recent road games, the Brewers have averaged 6.9 runs per game on offense

The Lean

Our lean for an over/under pick would be to take the over, as this is projected to be the 9th highest-scoring game of today’s league slate. As for who is going to take this one straight-up, we have the Brewers coming out on top. Milwaukee starter Freddy Peralta has the 3rd best strikeout projection among today’s starters.

Take your MLB handicapping to the next level with our expert MLB handicappers

The Milwaukee Brewers, once cruising toward a National League Central title, have hit a minor speed bump with back-to-back losses. As they look to regain their momentum, they face the San Francisco Giants in the second game of a crucial three-game series on Wednesday night.

Brewers Eye Rebound Behind Freddy Peralta

Right-hander Freddy Peralta (8-7, 3.86 ERA) will take the mound for the Brewers, aiming to get his team back on track. Peralta has been in solid form recently, allowing just three hits over five scoreless innings in his last outing, though he did not earn a decision in the Brewers’ 3-0 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals. Despite his recent success, Peralta has struggled historically against the Giants, posting a 6.75 ERA in three career games at American Family Field.

Milwaukee’s offense, led by Willy Adames and rookie sensation Jackson Chourio, will look to provide Peralta with the run support he needs. Adames, who leads the team with 24 home runs and 88 RBIs, continues to be a key player in clutch situations, with many of his home runs coming with runners on base. Chourio, meanwhile, has been a revelation, hitting .315 over his last 67 games and smashing a 449-foot home run in the series opener, the longest by any Brewer this season.

Giants Riding High After Series Opener Victory

The Giants, 5 1/2 games out of the final NL wild-card spot, are in desperate need of wins to keep their postseason hopes alive. They secured a 5-4 victory in the series opener on Tuesday, thanks to a trio of home runs, including a go-ahead two-run shot by Mike Yastrzemski in the seventh inning. The win was a rare come-from-behind victory for San Francisco, who improved to just 10-52 when trailing after six innings.

San Francisco’s rookie outfielder Grant McCray has been a standout since being called up from Triple-A Sacramento on August 14. McCray has hit safely in eight of his 11 games, showcasing his power with three home runs and contributing both offensively and defensively for the Giants.

Pitching Duel: Peralta vs. Harrison

Opposing Peralta will be left-hander Kyle Harrison (7-5, 4.00 ERA), who has been a consistent presence in the Giants’ rotation. Harrison is coming off a strong performance against the Chicago White Sox, where he allowed just one run over six innings to secure a 5-3 victory. Over his last seven starts, Harrison is 3-1 with a 3.47 ERA, though he has been somewhat inconsistent in August, with a 5.59 ERA in four starts. This game will mark his first career start against the Brewers, adding an element of unpredictability to the matchup.

Postseason Implications

With the postseason rapidly approaching, every game carries significant weight. The Brewers, who led the NL Central by 11 1/2 games just a week ago, now hold a nine-game lead over the second-place Chicago Cubs. Despite their recent struggles, Milwaukee remains in a strong position but will need to avoid further slippage to secure the division title.

For the Giants, the stakes are even higher. With time running out to secure a wild-card spot, each win is crucial. Manager Bob Melvin acknowledged the pressure after Tuesday’s win, noting the intensity of each game as they fight to stay in the postseason hunt.

Conclusion

As the Brewers and Giants prepare for the second game of this pivotal series, both teams have much to play for. Milwaukee is eager to get back to its winning ways and inch closer to clinching the division, while San Francisco is fighting to keep its postseason dreams alive. With Freddy Peralta and Kyle Harrison set to face off, fans can expect a tightly contested game that could have significant implications for the postseason race.