Milwaukee Brewers vs Ny Mets Mets Picks and Predictions October 1st 2024

At 5:32 PM ET, the Mets and Brewers face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the betting favorite on the money line (-140). The money line odds for a Mets win are sitting at +119. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.

New York will be starting Luis Severino, while the Brewers are sending Freddy Peralta to the mound. Severino has a 2.76 ERA, while Peralta’s ERA is 4.37. In the NL East, the Mets are 2nd with a record of 89-73, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central at 93-69.

New York vs. Milwaukee Key Information

New York is sending Luis Severino to the mound today vs. the Brewers, and he comes in with a record of 11-7 and an ERA of 3.91. This year, he has made 31 starts, and opponents are batting .232 off the right-hander. In his 31 appearances, Severino has one complete game shutout and 14 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Severino took the loss vs. the Braves, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One positive note is that he has allowed just one earned run in three of his last four outings.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been a big reason why the Mets have the 6th best home run total in the league this season, as Lindor has 33 homers and Alonso has 34. Lindor is also hitting .273 for the season and has gone 6/17 with two homers over his last four games. Alonso is batting just .240 for the season but does have a good on-base percentage of .329.

Get the Latest MLB Data Instantly! See Live MLB Lines and Scores today.

Overall, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .246, which is 8th in the league, and are among the league leaders in isolated power.

Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Pirates, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. In that outing, which came on September 25th, he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Peralta finished with a total of 11 strikeouts in the outing. Looking back further, he has made 32 starts this season and has a record of 11-9 with a 3.68 ERA. Peralta has a total of 26 homers this season and is averaging 3.52 walks per nine innings compared to 10.36 strikeouts.

William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/23 in his last seven games, including one home run. For the season, he is batting .281 with 23 homers and 92 RBIs. Willy Adames is also a big power threat in the Brewers lineup, as he is 4th in the league with 112 RBIs and has 32 homers this season.

As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 7th in team batting average and have the league’s 4th best on-base percentage.

Today’s matchup between the Mets and Brewers has the highest projected runs scored total in the league, but our lean would be towards the under. As for who we like on the money line, we are leaning towards the Brewers to come out on top. Freddy Peralta has the 2nd best strikeout projection among today’s starters, and Luis Severino has the lowest for the Mets.

Mets Visit Brewers on Short Rest for Wild-Card Opener

MILWAUKEE – The National League Central champion Milwaukee Brewers will host the New York Mets in the opener of an NL wild-card series on Tuesday, after some last-minute drama decided the Mets’ fate.

Mets Clinch Final Wild-Card Spot in Thrilling Doubleheader

The Mets earned the No. 6 seed on Monday by winning the first game of a make-up doubleheader at Atlanta, 8-7. Francisco Lindor’s two-run homer in the ninth inning secured the win for New York, who mounted a six-run rally in the eighth. Despite the Mets’ efforts, the Braves won the nightcap 3-0, clinching the No. 5 seed and a matchup against the San Diego Padres in the other wild-card series.

Monday’s results eliminated the Arizona Diamondbacks from playoff contention, as the defending NL champions needed a sweep by either team to stay alive.

“We’ve answered the bell and we’ve earned the right to play in the postseason,” said Mets first baseman Pete Alonso. “This is when we have a great opportunity in front of us.”

Brewers’ Freddy Peralta to Face Mets’ Luis Severino

The Brewers will send right-hander Freddy Peralta (11-9, 3.68 ERA) to the mound on Tuesday, while the Mets will counter with righty Luis Severino (11-7, 3.91 ERA).

Peralta has been strong down the stretch, going 3-2 with a 2.48 ERA over his last seven starts. He also set career highs this season with 173 2/3 innings pitched and 200 strikeouts across 32 starts. In postseason play, Peralta is 0-1 with a 3.46 ERA in four career appearances, including two starts.

Severino, meanwhile, posted a 3.64 ERA in September but allowed four runs over four innings in his most recent start, a 5-1 loss to the Braves last week. The veteran has struggled in the postseason historically, with a 1-4 record and a 5.15 ERA in 11 playoff appearances.

Join the Elite Betting Circle! Register Now on SportsHub.

Brewers Look to Overcome Recent Postseason Struggles

Milwaukee is making its sixth postseason appearance in seven seasons, but the team has struggled in October. The Brewers have gone 1-8 in playoff games since falling to the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 7 of the 2018 NL Championship Series. Last year, they were swept by the Arizona Diamondbacks in the wild-card round.

However, Peralta and the Brewers are feeling confident heading into this year’s postseason.

“We feel different,” Peralta said. “You can see on everybody’s face that we all know where we are, where we’re going, and where we want to be.”

The Brewers finished the regular season strong, winning five of their last seven games, and went 5-1 against the Mets this year.

Injury Watch: Brewers’ Sal Frelick Could Miss Game 1

Milwaukee outfielder Sal Frelick, who suffered a bone bruise in his left hip after crashing into the outfield wall on Friday, is questionable for Game 1. Frelick batted .259 and stole 18 bases in 145 games this season. Although he ran the bases and shagged fly balls during practice on Monday, his status remains undecided.